玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/102.88-7.5718.2929.3319.489.76N/A-
2024/93.12-17.2718.7326.4519.619.990.62-
2024/83.7721.0133.8623.3419.739.720.64-
2024/73.119.3137.0519.5717.348.950.7-
2024/62.85-4.9421.616.4614.248.840.64-
2024/52.99-0.2228.2913.6112.818.930.63-
2024/43.02.2433.0110.629.17.910.71-
2024/32.9348.3712.657.621.887.620.74-
2024/21.98-26.86-22.094.68-3.877.650.74-
2024/12.7-8.8915.952.715.958.150.7-
2023/122.9719.724.5230.0-23.097.880.75-
2023/112.481.88-21.3127.03-25.267.540.79-
2023/102.43-7.23-20.3524.55-25.637.870.75-
2023/92.62-6.72-25.7922.11-26.177.710.83-
2023/82.8123.89-28.5419.49-26.227.420.86-
2023/72.27-3.0-36.316.68-25.826.940.92-
2023/62.340.28-29.5514.41-23.846.930.94-
2023/52.333.45-22.112.07-22.637.20.9-
2023/42.26-13.4-15.289.73-22.757.40.88-
2023/32.612.61-27.417.48-24.757.480.97-
2023/22.548.84-11.414.87-23.267.710.94-
2023/12.33-17.87-33.012.33-33.018.320.87-
2022/122.84-9.87-0.0339.015.679.050.86-
2022/113.153.1322.8336.1617.119.740.8-
2022/103.06-13.57-0.0233.0116.5910.530.74-
2022/93.54-10.1719.1929.9618.611.040.71-
2022/83.9410.4520.8426.4218.5310.820.73-
2022/73.567.2610.2222.4818.139.880.8-
2022/63.3210.8924.7418.9219.758.980.93-
2022/53.012.5125.4415.618.749.250.9-
2022/42.66-25.81.6512.617.259.120.91-
2022/33.5925.2228.329.9422.279.940.79-
2022/22.87-17.6830.436.3519.19.190.85-
2022/13.4822.5511.153.4811.158.890.88-
2021/122.8410.7318.8333.7223.818.461.04-
2021/112.57-16.060.0530.8824.298.591.02-
2021/103.063.0423.5628.3127.099.280.94-
2021/92.97-8.9319.3225.2627.529.460.87-
2021/83.260.7429.8322.2928.79.150.9-
2021/73.2321.3923.9919.0328.518.291.0-
2021/62.6611.5111.6915.829.487.671.05-
2021/52.39-8.824.013.1333.87.81.03-
2021/42.62-6.3319.210.7542.97.611.06-
2021/32.827.2845.688.1352.688.130.92110/3累計營收較去年同期變動逾50%,係因去年同期受疫情影響出貨延遲,現已恢復正常運作,故兩期變動幅度較大.
2021/22.2-29.8570.525.3356.637.720.97110/2及累計營收較去年同期變動逾50%,係因去年同期受疫情影響導致開工及出貨皆延遲,現已恢復正常運作,故兩期變動幅度較大.
2021/13.1331.0148.173.1348.178.090.92-
2020/122.39-6.765.5427.238.057.430.97-
2020/112.563.6621.7624.848.37.520.96-
2020/102.47-0.4919.8822.286.947.470.97-
2020/92.49-0.9119.9819.85.527.60.85-
2020/82.51-3.7814.717.323.727.50.87-
2020/72.619.3414.114.812.077.290.89-
2020/62.383.8411.2312.2-0.176.880.95-
2020/52.34.493.69.82-2.66.411.02-
2020/42.214.470.827.52-4.355.411.21-
2020/31.9248.98-4.55.32-6.335.321.08-
2020/21.29-39.04-12.563.4-7.345.671.01-
2020/12.11-6.67-3.832.11-3.836.490.89-
2019/122.277.554.8425.25.870.0N/A-
2019/112.112.064.2122.945.970.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/12.72023/12.332022/13.482021/13.132020/12.11
2024/21.982023/22.542022/22.872021/22.22020/21.29
2024/32.932023/32.612022/33.592021/32.82020/31.92
2024/43.02023/42.262022/42.662021/42.622020/42.2
2024/52.992023/52.332022/53.02021/52.392020/52.3
2024/62.852023/62.342022/63.322021/62.662020/62.38
2024/73.112023/72.272022/73.562021/73.232020/72.61
2024/83.772023/82.812022/83.942021/83.262020/82.51
2024/93.122023/92.622022/93.542021/92.972020/92.49
2024/102.882023/102.432022/103.062021/103.062020/102.47
N/AN/A2023/112.482022/113.152021/112.572020/112.56
N/AN/A2023/122.972022/122.842021/122.842020/122.39
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 3.55%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.3488.89-20.93
24Q2 (19)0.18-21.74-67.86
24Q1 (18)0.23-11.54-52.08
23Q4 (17)0.26-39.53-53.57
23Q3 (16)0.43-23.21-37.68
23Q2 (15)0.5616.6755.56
23Q1 (14)0.48-14.294.35
22Q4 (13)0.56-18.84-72.55
22Q3 (12)0.6991.67-50.71
22Q2 (11)0.36-21.74-72.09
22Q1 (10)0.46-77.45-69.13
21Q4 (9)2.0445.719.09
21Q3 (8)1.48.537.69
21Q2 (7)1.29-13.42-14.57
21Q1 (6)1.49-20.3231.86
20Q4 (5)1.8743.85117.44
20Q3 (4)1.3-13.910.0
20Q2 (3)1.5133.630.0
20Q1 (2)1.1331.40.0
19Q4 (1)0.860.00.0

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