玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/103.11209.54105.2614.619.855.45N/A本月子公司建案完工開始交屋,使營收增加
2024/91.01-24.6-19.6811.5-2.423.85.18-
2024/81.33-8.6333.0410.49-0.373.994.93-
2024/71.4621.9615.829.16-3.884.174.72-
2024/61.2-20.75-27.447.7-6.894.224.23-
2024/51.510.079.916.5-1.764.044.42-
2024/41.5147.8144.124.99-4.823.944.53-
2024/31.02-27.53-33.463.48-17.043.484.32-
2024/21.4133.99-1.842.46-7.573.444.38-
2024/11.057.54-14.271.05-14.273.024.99-
2023/120.98-0.8461.4915.272.73.484.19海外客戶銷售較去年同期增加
2023/110.99-34.9811.2714.290.213.763.89-
2023/101.5221.1218.7113.3-0.523.773.87-
2023/91.2524.8820.8711.79-2.553.523.7-
2023/81.0-20.45-37.2810.53-4.743.913.32-
2023/71.26-23.59-23.689.530.754.293.04-
2023/61.6520.0518.528.275.924.073.05-
2023/51.3731.2145.186.623.193.963.14-
2023/41.05-31.75-37.395.25-4.074.023.09-
2023/31.536.89-6.774.210.614.22.82-
2023/21.4417.0256.592.6623.933.273.63海外客戶銷售較去年同期增加
2023/11.23102.61-0.381.23-0.382.724.36-
2022/120.61-31.67-43.1514.86-3.122.774.18-
2022/110.89-30.63-0.0914.26-0.133.23.62-
2022/101.2823.32-25.6513.37-0.143.912.96-
2022/91.04-35.2-35.2512.093.614.292.3-
2022/81.6-3.255.8211.069.794.642.12海外訂單需求增加
2022/71.6518.6611.09.464.573.992.47-
2022/61.3947.0627.577.813.34.012.37-
2022/50.95-43.41-28.836.41-0.794.272.23-
2022/41.671.6243.435.476.464.242.24-
2022/31.6579.5426.983.79-4.393.792.08-
2022/20.92-25.55-18.792.15-19.613.212.46-
2022/11.2315.62-20.211.23-20.213.182.48-
2021/121.0720.0753.0915.3419.783.672.03今年海外訂單增加
2021/110.89-48.38-23.5414.2817.874.211.77-
2021/101.727.4111.2813.3922.264.351.71海外外銷增加營收
2021/91.655.9398.611.6715.124.111.64海外車用電子訂單增加
2021/81.03-31.04-30.8710.077.913.611.87-
2021/71.4936.37-10.599.0515.253.911.73-
2021/61.09-17.95-25.657.5622.23.591.77-
2021/51.3314.0333.36.4737.13.791.68-
2021/41.17-10.0216.865.1438.123.591.77-
2021/31.314.8134.93.9745.913.970.69-
2021/21.13-26.8542.352.6751.933.370.82去年同期海外疫情關係影響營收
2021/11.54121.8659.791.5459.793.40.81海外外銷增加營收
2020/120.7-40.03-30.0512.81-5.072.671.17-
2020/111.1642.6435.3512.11-3.082.781.13-
2020/100.810.96-23.3810.95-5.923.11.01-
2020/90.81-45.72-31.0910.14-4.163.950.7-
2020/81.48-10.8120.479.33-0.824.620.6-
2020/71.6613.3919.297.85-4.034.130.67-
2020/61.4747.115.126.18-8.823.460.94-
2020/51.0-0.02-7.664.72-14.372.961.1-
2020/41.03.868.193.72-16.012.751.18-
2020/30.9621.15-29.932.72-22.382.721.05-
2020/20.79-17.8921.041.76-17.522.751.03-
2020/10.97-2.88-34.630.97-34.632.821.01-
2019/120.9916.0357.8613.49-14.310.0N/A去年同期營收依IFRS15判斷以淨額額表達,經會計師查核後調減營收所致。
2019/110.86-19.26-46.1412.5-16.640.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.052023/11.232022/11.232021/11.542020/10.97
2024/21.412023/21.442022/20.922021/21.132020/20.79
2024/31.022023/31.532022/31.652021/31.32020/30.96
2024/41.512023/41.052022/41.672021/41.172020/41.0
2024/51.512023/51.372022/50.952021/51.332020/51.0
2024/61.22023/61.652022/61.392021/61.092020/61.47
2024/71.462023/71.262022/71.652021/71.492020/71.66
2024/81.332023/81.02022/81.62021/81.032020/81.48
2024/91.012023/91.252022/91.042021/91.62020/90.81
2024/103.112023/101.522022/101.282021/101.722020/100.81
N/AN/A2023/110.992022/110.892021/110.892020/111.16
N/AN/A2023/120.982022/120.612021/121.072020/120.7
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 23.2%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)6.437.8922.01
24Q2 (19)5.96-0.1724.43
24Q1 (18)5.979.1448.88
23Q4 (17)5.473.850.27
23Q3 (16)5.2710.0262.65
23Q2 (15)4.7919.4566.32
23Q1 (14)4.0110.1619.7
22Q4 (13)3.6412.3544.44
22Q3 (12)3.2412.536.13
22Q2 (11)2.88-14.0321.52
22Q1 (10)3.3532.94946.88
21Q4 (9)2.525.88950.0
21Q3 (8)2.380.423866.67
21Q2 (7)2.37640.622270.0
21Q1 (6)0.3233.33113.33
20Q4 (5)0.24300.050.0
20Q3 (4)0.06-40.00.0
20Q2 (3)0.1-33.330.0
20Q1 (2)0.15-6.250.0
19Q4 (1)0.160.00.0

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