玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1110.961.434.11117.68-5.0832.84N/A-
2024/1010.8-2.524.77106.73-5.9332.84N/A-
2024/911.081.08-8.1895.93-7.034.110.76-
2024/810.96-9.18-1.8684.85-6.8533.540.77-
2024/712.0714.826.673.89-7.5433.530.77-
2024/610.51-3.95-3.7961.82-9.8832.420.83-
2024/510.94-0.2-5.1551.3-11.0332.30.84-
2024/410.975.610.1340.36-12.528.840.94-
2024/310.3838.73-13.9329.39-16.4429.390.99-
2024/27.48-35.04-41.719.01-17.7527.451.06-
2024/111.5236.4512.1711.5212.1730.490.95-
2023/128.44-19.75-11.22132.48-12.129.281.07-
2023/1110.522.07-12.84124.03-12.1532.870.95-
2023/1010.31-14.38-9.18113.51-12.0933.520.93-
2023/912.047.78-5.53103.2-12.3734.530.95-
2023/811.17-1.34-3.591.16-13.233.480.98-
2023/711.323.04-5.1679.99-14.433.850.97-
2023/610.99-4.78-15.8868.67-15.7633.481.02-
2023/511.545.36-9.6157.68-15.7334.570.99-
2023/410.95-9.33-12.5646.14-17.1435.870.95-
2023/312.08-5.91-17.9835.19-18.4635.190.98-
2023/212.8424.984.9423.11-18.7132.681.06-
2023/110.277.32-36.5810.27-36.5831.921.08-
2022/129.57-20.72-6.1150.95-9.0832.991.1-
2022/1112.076.36-9.97141.37-9.2736.251.0-
2022/1011.35-11.53-1.0129.3-9.235.761.01-
2022/912.8310.83-4.45117.95-9.9236.351.02-
2022/811.58-3.04-19.71105.12-10.5536.671.01-
2022/711.94-9.23-20.2293.54-9.2737.860.98-
2022/613.153.02-9.4281.61-7.4138.450.94-
2022/512.771.91-17.0268.45-7.0140.020.91-
2022/412.53-14.93-11.4755.68-4.3639.490.92-
2022/314.7320.36-8.0343.16-2.0843.160.76-
2022/212.23-24.4711.9428.431.338.590.85-
2022/116.259.5-5.4816.2-5.4839.770.83主要受惠於客戶需求提升且於農曆年前積極備貨
2021/1210.16-24.26-17.81165.9211.8735.030.88-
2021/1113.4116.95-3.75155.7614.5738.280.81-
2021/1011.47-14.44-7.54142.3516.6739.290.79-
2021/913.4-7.05-14.54130.8919.4142.790.62-
2021/814.42-3.658.67117.4925.0843.880.6-
2021/714.973.2418.59103.0727.7844.850.59-
2021/614.5-5.7928.088.129.4844.030.52-
2021/515.398.7325.7273.629.7845.540.51-
2021/414.15-11.5610.3958.2230.8941.080.56-
2021/316.046.4126.944.0739.1944.070.46-
2021/210.93-36.2332.6228.0747.3340.410.5-
2021/117.1438.8258.5417.1458.5443.420.47主要受惠於遠距商機、網通等產品需求持續暢旺,且客戶農曆年前備貨積極
2020/1212.35-11.3923.93148.261.5338.680.59-
2020/1113.9312.341.74135.91-0.141.990.54-
2020/1012.4-20.78-11.27121.98-0.341.330.55-
2020/915.6617.996.67109.581.141.540.51-
2020/813.275.140.793.920.2337.210.57-
2020/712.6211.43-0.4680.650.1536.180.58-
2020/611.32-7.46-7.2168.030.2736.380.66-
2020/512.24-4.52-8.0256.711.9137.660.64-
2020/412.821.76.6744.475.0333.660.72-
2020/312.652.9410.1631.654.3831.650.72-
2020/28.24-23.774.8819.050.8829.030.79-
2020/110.818.3-1.9510.81-1.950.0N/A-
2019/129.98-27.1115.51145.96-10.730.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/111.522023/110.272022/116.22021/117.142020/110.81
2024/27.482023/212.842022/212.232021/210.932020/28.24
2024/310.382023/312.082022/314.732021/316.02020/312.6
2024/410.972023/410.952022/412.532021/414.152020/412.82
2024/510.942023/511.542022/512.772021/515.392020/512.24
2024/610.512023/610.992022/613.152021/614.52020/611.32
2024/712.072023/711.322022/711.942021/714.972020/712.62
2024/810.962023/811.172022/811.582021/814.422020/813.27
2024/911.082023/912.042022/912.832021/913.42020/915.66
2024/1010.82023/1010.312022/1011.352021/1011.472020/1012.4
2024/1110.962023/1110.522022/1112.072021/1113.412020/1113.93
N/AN/A2023/128.442022/129.572021/1210.162020/1212.35
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 4.94%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.82-4.65-2.38
24Q2 (19)0.86-8.518.86
24Q1 (18)0.94-12.15-7.84
23Q4 (17)1.0727.38-28.67
23Q3 (16)0.846.33-17.65
23Q2 (15)0.79-22.55-22.55
23Q1 (14)1.02-32.0-23.31
22Q4 (13)1.547.0625.0
22Q3 (12)1.020.020.0
22Q2 (11)1.02-23.31-9.73
22Q1 (10)1.3310.83101.52
21Q4 (9)1.241.1848.15
21Q3 (8)0.85-24.7818.06
21Q2 (7)1.1371.2191.53
21Q1 (6)0.66-18.523.12
20Q4 (5)0.8112.5-19.8
20Q3 (4)0.7222.030.0
20Q2 (3)0.59-7.810.0
20Q1 (2)0.64-36.630.0
19Q4 (1)1.010.00.0

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