玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.68-22.39-17.669.733.82.44N/A-
2024/90.880.74-6.079.045.892.830.6-
2024/80.87-19.037.118.167.373.070.55-
2024/71.08-3.5336.477.297.43.310.51-
2024/61.121.0432.576.213.563.530.49-
2024/51.11-14.7718.325.09-1.183.480.49-
2024/41.321.3229.283.98-5.512.90.59-
2024/31.07101.7-28.492.68-16.42.680.73-
2024/20.53-50.93-52.181.61-5.832.590.75今年2月份因農曆新年年假,工作天數較少,造成今年2月營收偏低。
2024/11.0811.1879.571.0879.573.040.64去年112年1月份因農曆新年年假,工作天數較少,造成112年1月營收偏低。
2023/120.97-1.0-16.611.32-24.942.790.61-
2023/110.9818.46-13.6210.35-25.642.750.61-
2023/100.83-11.46-20.279.37-26.712.580.65-
2023/90.9414.88-32.648.54-27.282.540.68-
2023/80.823.15-28.097.6-26.562.450.71-
2023/70.79-6.29-41.816.79-26.382.570.67-
2023/60.84-9.8-34.775.99-23.712.780.61-
2023/50.94-6.88-44.415.15-21.533.440.49-
2023/41.0-32.89-37.214.22-13.633.610.47-
2023/31.534.8815.143.21-2.133.210.63-
2023/21.1184.2747.541.71-13.482.880.7-
2023/10.6-48.36-50.910.6-50.912.910.69112年1月份因農曆新年年假,工作天數較少,造成112年1月營收偏低。
2022/121.172.52-14.4615.09-1.533.350.6-
2022/111.149.34-10.213.92-0.273.570.56-
2022/101.04-25.2-6.9612.780.713.570.56-
2022/91.3922.6412.1811.741.453.890.53-
2022/81.13-16.51-8.0410.350.173.790.54-
2022/71.365.045.639.221.284.340.47-
2022/61.29-23.13-14.217.860.564.580.51-
2022/51.685.1629.116.564.14.580.51-
2022/41.623.07-2.364.88-2.413.650.64-
2022/31.372.83-3.883.28-2.433.280.94-
2022/20.75-38.682.991.98-1.453.340.92-
2022/11.23-10.02-3.991.23-3.993.860.8-
2021/121.367.620.4415.3211.653.750.71-
2021/111.2713.29-4.6313.9612.883.630.74-
2021/101.12-9.813.3512.6914.993.590.74-
2021/91.240.52-8.6911.5716.263.760.7-
2021/81.23-4.09-0.3810.3320.24.030.65-
2021/71.29-14.714.059.123.674.10.64-
2021/61.5115.6828.717.8125.414.450.55-
2021/51.3-20.479.26.3124.654.30.57-
2021/41.6421.1535.965.029.423.720.65-
2021/31.3585.219.263.3626.463.360.77-
2021/20.73-42.857.32.0141.463.370.77-
2021/11.28-5.8672.91.2872.93.970.66去年1月份因農曆新年年假,工作天數較少,造成去年1月營收偏低。
2020/121.362.18-15.9413.72-22.213.770.57-
2020/111.3322.77-7.4712.37-22.843.770.57-
2020/101.08-20.32-19.8311.04-24.353.680.58-
2020/91.369.68-12.029.96-24.813.730.52-
2020/81.249.8-24.248.6-26.53.540.55-
2020/71.13-3.74-36.277.36-26.873.490.56-
2020/61.17-1.84-17.646.23-24.863.570.56-
2020/51.19-0.99-26.865.06-26.363.640.55-
2020/41.21-2.63-13.83.86-26.23.130.64-
2020/31.2481.89-23.952.66-30.722.660.83-
2020/20.68-7.91-8.051.42-35.723.040.72-
2020/10.74-54.23-49.660.74-49.663.790.58-
2019/121.6212.481.4117.646.690.0N/A-
2019/111.446.388.9716.037.250.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.082023/10.62022/11.232021/11.282020/10.74
2024/20.532023/21.112022/20.752021/20.732020/20.68
2024/31.072023/31.52022/31.32021/31.352020/31.24
2024/41.32023/41.02022/41.62021/41.642020/41.21
2024/51.112023/50.942022/51.682021/51.32020/51.19
2024/61.122023/60.842022/61.292021/61.512020/61.17
2024/71.082023/70.792022/71.362021/71.292020/71.13
2024/80.872023/80.822022/81.132021/81.232020/81.24
2024/90.882023/90.942022/91.392021/91.242020/91.36
2024/100.682023/100.832022/101.042021/101.122020/101.08
N/AN/A2023/110.982022/111.142021/111.272020/111.33
N/AN/A2023/120.972022/121.172021/121.362020/121.36
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季
合約負債 QoQ YoY

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