玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/105.77-2.01-13.9560.41-11.0717.27N/A-
2024/95.895.2-16.5854.64-10.7516.040.65-
2024/85.623.12-19.1548.75-9.9914.740.71-
2024/74.55-0.87-32.5543.15-8.6515.50.68-
2024/64.59-27.89-34.5138.6-4.6718.320.62-
2024/56.36-13.54-15.6434.011.5720.110.57-
2024/47.3615.281.927.646.5719.590.58-
2024/36.399.24-15.2120.288.3820.280.73-
2024/25.85-27.388.0913.924.2820.840.71-
2024/18.0515.8839.448.0539.4421.650.69-
2023/126.954.4535.0381.5327.6820.310.76-
2023/116.65-0.8811.374.5927.0420.420.75-
2023/106.71-5.0121.7867.9428.8220.70.74-
2023/97.061.9628.1961.2329.6420.740.68-
2023/86.932.7133.7854.1629.8320.680.68-
2023/76.74-3.7634.7747.2429.2821.30.66-
2023/67.01-7.1244.1540.4928.421.780.68-
2023/57.554.4440.633.4825.5322.30.67-
2023/47.22-4.0833.2925.9421.7420.170.74-
2023/37.5339.2839.1318.7117.818.710.75-
2023/25.41-6.3226.911.186.7716.330.86-
2023/15.7712.22-7.035.77-7.0316.890.83-
2022/125.14-13.89-18.8863.85-23.1716.630.92-
2022/115.978.444.2558.71-23.5216.990.9-
2022/105.51-0.01-10.0552.74-25.7616.20.94-
2022/95.516.41-12.4747.23-27.2515.690.94-
2022/85.183.47-16.7741.72-28.8315.040.98-
2022/75.02.93-18.8236.54-30.2615.230.97-
2022/64.86-9.4-27.8731.53-31.7915.651.13-
2022/55.37-0.99-28.5826.67-32.4616.21.09-
2022/45.420.11-22.7221.31-33.3715.11.17-
2022/35.4127.04-36.1715.89-36.3615.891.25-
2022/24.26-31.38-17.9510.47-36.4616.811.18-
2022/16.21-2.07-44.986.21-44.9818.281.09-
2021/126.3410.66-23.4683.11-9.3218.21.07-
2021/115.73-6.44-40.3876.77-7.9118.151.07-
2021/106.13-2.71-29.6271.04-3.6818.641.04-
2021/96.31.19-43.3664.92-0.2118.680.91-
2021/86.220.92-26.2458.628.6719.130.89-
2021/76.16-8.54-21.5852.415.1520.420.83-
2021/66.74-10.29-1.7946.2322.8221.270.8-
2021/57.517.1311.3739.4928.3123.010.74-
2021/47.01-17.3-1.9231.9833.0720.690.83-
2021/38.4863.330.8724.9647.8924.960.62-
2021/25.19-53.9827.3116.4858.524.770.62訂單增加
2021/111.2936.2178.6411.2978.6429.190.53訂單增加
2020/128.29-13.7925.7891.6619.3326.60.59-
2020/119.6110.4433.6583.3718.7229.430.53-
2020/108.7-21.727.5873.7617.0228.260.56-
2020/911.1231.7857.1565.0515.7427.410.53訂單增加
2020/88.447.326.1253.949.7723.160.63-
2020/77.8614.5231.7445.57.221.470.67-
2020/66.861.7215.2837.643.1920.760.63-
2020/56.75-5.6512.0930.780.8320.380.65-
2020/47.1510.3523.2324.03-1.9317.710.74-
2020/36.4858.87-1.2516.88-9.7416.880.71-
2020/24.08-35.430.210.4-14.3316.990.7-
2020/16.32-4.09-21.666.32-21.6620.10.59-
2019/126.59-8.43.4776.813.330.0N/A-
2019/117.195.420.6970.223.320.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/18.052023/15.772022/16.212021/111.292020/16.32
2024/25.852023/25.412022/24.262021/25.192020/24.08
2024/36.392023/37.532022/35.412021/38.482020/36.48
2024/47.362023/47.222022/45.422021/47.012020/47.15
2024/56.362023/57.552022/55.372021/57.512020/56.75
2024/64.592023/67.012022/64.862021/66.742020/66.86
2024/74.552023/76.742022/75.02021/76.162020/77.86
2024/85.62023/86.932022/85.182021/86.222020/88.44
2024/95.892023/97.062022/95.512021/96.32020/911.12
2024/105.772023/106.712022/105.512021/106.132020/108.7
N/AN/A2023/116.652022/115.972021/115.732020/119.61
N/AN/A2023/126.952022/125.142021/126.342020/128.29
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 43.43%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)4.92343.241130.0
24Q2 (19)1.11-17.16117.65
24Q1 (18)1.3461.4597.06
23Q4 (17)0.83107.5-39.86
23Q3 (16)0.4-21.57-60.0
23Q2 (15)0.51-25.0-8.93
23Q1 (14)0.68-50.72-26.09
22Q4 (13)1.3838.048.39
22Q3 (12)1.078.57-4.76
22Q2 (11)0.56-39.13-49.09
22Q1 (10)0.92-1.08-31.34
21Q4 (9)0.93-11.43-37.16
21Q3 (8)1.05-4.55-49.52
21Q2 (7)1.1-17.91-47.12
21Q1 (6)1.34-9.46-44.4
20Q4 (5)1.48-28.85-39.59
20Q3 (4)2.080.00.0
20Q2 (3)2.08-13.690.0
20Q1 (2)2.41-1.630.0
19Q4 (1)2.450.00.0

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