玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1195.84-8.559.961060.5610.64309.01N/A-
2024/10104.8-3.319.23964.7210.71321.41N/A-
2024/9108.380.1323.73859.929.75317.120.44-
2024/8108.237.6817.41751.557.99297.460.47-
2024/7100.5113.2917.29643.316.56285.670.49-
2024/688.72-8.07.3542.84.78278.770.48-
2024/596.443.0112.15454.094.3279.070.48-
2024/493.625.1711.86357.652.37265.430.5-
2024/389.017.52.73264.03-0.61264.030.44-
2024/282.8-10.212.57175.02-2.23256.860.45-
2024/192.2212.67-6.1892.22-6.18261.220.44-
2023/1281.85-6.08-23.151040.36-25.94256.890.43-
2023/1187.15-0.84-31.17958.52-26.17262.640.42-
2023/1087.890.34-34.28871.36-25.63267.660.41-
2023/987.59-4.97-35.32783.47-24.52265.460.39-
2023/892.187.57-24.01695.88-22.9260.550.4-
2023/785.693.64-27.25603.7-22.72254.350.41-
2023/682.68-3.84-32.9518.01-21.92252.350.37-
2023/585.982.74-29.26435.33-19.41256.310.37-
2023/483.69-3.4-24.99349.35-16.56251.040.38-
2023/386.647.33-18.88265.66-13.49265.660.39-
2023/280.72-17.88-15.5179.02-10.62285.530.36-
2023/198.3-7.69-6.1798.3-6.17331.440.31-
2022/12106.5-15.94.011404.8934.35366.90.35-
2022/11126.64-5.3223.231298.3937.65395.820.32-
2022/10133.76-1.2333.11171.7539.41390.50.33-
2022/9135.4311.6343.221037.9940.27374.540.38-
2022/8121.312.9826.75902.5739.83362.330.39-
2022/7117.79-4.429.18781.2542.11362.570.39-
2022/6123.221.3651.41663.4644.69356.350.38產能及客戶需求增加
2022/5121.568.9451.45540.2443.23339.940.39產能及客戶需求增加
2022/4111.574.4641.83418.6841.01313.910.43-
2022/3106.8111.837.59307.1140.72307.110.41-
2022/295.53-8.8144.47200.342.45302.70.42-
2022/1104.772.3240.66104.7740.66309.920.41-
2021/12102.39-0.3538.531045.6318.96305.640.4-
2021/11102.762.2541.75943.2317.16297.80.41-
2021/10100.496.2726.61840.4714.73290.750.42-
2021/994.55-1.219.31739.9813.29281.450.41-
2021/895.714.9627.98645.4312.46268.270.43-
2021/791.1812.0419.41549.7210.13252.820.45-
2021/681.381.3915.95458.548.45240.310.43-
2021/580.262.028.71377.166.96236.550.44-
2021/478.671.347.62296.96.5222.420.46-
2021/377.6217.383.08218.236.1218.230.44-
2021/266.13-11.226.12140.617.85214.520.45-
2021/174.480.769.4274.489.42220.880.43-
2020/1273.911.962.32878.936.49225.770.4-
2020/1172.49-8.66-3.59805.016.89231.10.39-
2020/1079.370.141.36732.538.05233.390.38-
2020/979.255.971.87653.168.92230.390.4-
2020/874.78-2.06-6.12573.919.97221.320.42-
2020/776.368.85.99499.1312.87220.360.42-
2020/670.18-4.937.25422.7714.21217.10.43-
2020/573.820.997.4352.5915.71222.220.42-
2020/473.09-2.9315.58278.7718.13210.70.44-
2020/375.320.8526.37205.6719.07205.670.44-
2020/262.31-8.4520.74130.3715.22202.610.44-
2020/168.07-5.7710.668.0710.60.0N/A-
2019/1272.23-3.9324.1825.368.980.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/192.222023/198.32022/1104.772021/174.482020/168.07
2024/282.82023/280.722022/295.532021/266.132020/262.31
2024/389.012023/386.642022/3106.812021/377.622020/375.3
2024/493.622023/483.692022/4111.572021/478.672020/473.09
2024/596.442023/585.982022/5121.562021/580.262020/573.82
2024/688.722023/682.682022/6123.222021/681.382020/670.18
2024/7100.512023/785.692022/7117.792021/791.182020/776.36
2024/8108.232023/892.182022/8121.312021/895.712020/874.78
2024/9108.382023/987.592022/9135.432021/994.552020/979.25
2024/10104.82023/1087.892022/10133.762021/10100.492020/1079.37
2024/1195.842023/1187.152022/11126.642021/11102.762020/1172.49
N/AN/A2023/1281.852022/12106.52021/12102.392020/1273.91
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 61.42%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)93.6720.7454.62
24Q2 (19)77.5816.8235.87
24Q1 (18)66.4115.9816.39
23Q4 (17)57.26-5.483.13
23Q3 (16)60.586.0915.54
23Q2 (15)57.10.0721.83
23Q1 (14)57.062.7740.13
22Q4 (13)55.525.89116.88
22Q3 (12)52.4311.86150.62
22Q2 (11)46.8715.1179.99
22Q1 (10)40.7259.06221.14
21Q4 (9)25.622.37203.32
21Q3 (8)20.9224.97406.54
21Q2 (7)16.7432.020
21Q1 (6)12.6850.240
20Q4 (5)8.44104.360
20Q3 (4)4.1300.0

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