玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.12-11.61-11.251.11-14.140.38N/A-
2024/90.13-0.29-10.441.0-14.460.350.6-
2024/80.1349.990.940.86-15.040.310.67-
2024/70.09-4.98-38.40.73-17.410.30.69-
2024/60.09-24.07-24.70.64-13.360.320.65-
2024/50.1213.37-4.220.55-11.110.340.61-
2024/40.11-5.36-9.140.43-12.90.320.66-
2024/30.1119.81-3.930.32-14.090.320.65-
2024/20.1-14.97-20.020.21-18.810.330.63-
2024/10.11-12.65-17.750.11-17.750.40.52-
2023/120.13-21.69-7.171.591.80.420.5-
2023/110.1624.4926.541.462.670.440.48-
2023/100.13-10.80.161.30.290.410.51-
2023/90.1512.382.51.160.30.420.52-
2023/80.13-8.47-7.741.020.00.40.55-
2023/70.1416.148.350.891.250.390.56-
2023/60.12-3.41-4.470.740.00.370.51-
2023/50.137.543.240.620.920.360.52-
2023/40.120.063.650.490.340.360.53-
2023/30.12-0.26-7.480.37-0.660.370.51-
2023/20.12-12.56-0.860.252.860.390.48-
2023/10.14-1.416.360.146.360.40.47-
2022/120.146.7411.171.56-9.150.40.48-
2022/110.13-1.45-13.441.42-10.730.40.47-
2022/100.13-8.72-10.171.29-10.450.420.46-
2022/90.141.14-9.01.16-10.490.420.48-
2022/80.147.493.551.02-10.690.40.5-
2022/70.132.39-2.860.87-12.640.380.52-
2022/60.134.38-20.70.74-14.180.370.55-
2022/50.127.97-13.060.61-12.670.370.55-
2022/40.11-10.68-9.350.49-12.570.360.55-
2022/30.136.87-21.090.38-13.50.380.48-
2022/20.12-6.182.110.25-8.980.370.48-
2022/10.133.04-17.40.13-17.40.40.45-
2021/120.12-16.89-18.021.7210.760.420.38-
2021/110.152.26-6.771.5913.880.450.35-
2021/100.15-7.536.951.4416.560.440.36-
2021/90.1615.110.211.317.750.430.32-
2021/80.140.83-1.721.1418.870.440.32-
2021/70.14-16.415.341.022.390.440.32-
2021/60.1614.4550.710.8725.580.430.32去年因大陸疫情關係收入下降.今年逐漸恢復
2021/50.1412.5718.350.720.920.430.33-
2021/40.13-22.2516.990.5621.580.410.34-
2021/30.1638.313.470.4322.990.430.37-
2021/20.12-24.1132.680.2729.460.420.38-
2021/10.152.2627.110.1527.110.470.34-
2020/120.15-5.49-15.291.55-23.130.450.27-
2020/110.1617.33-16.221.4-23.890.440.27-
2020/100.14-4.72-15.81.24-24.780.420.29-
2020/90.142.63-32.021.1-25.770.410.39-
2020/80.148.08-8.030.96-24.730.380.43-
2020/70.1319.59-21.830.82-26.990.360.45-
2020/60.11-10.11-40.550.69-27.880.340.6-
2020/50.1211.28-24.220.58-24.910.370.54-
2020/40.11-24.59-26.170.46-25.090.340.59-
2020/30.1461.7215.20.35-24.750.350.59-
2020/20.09-27.29-38.630.21-39.120.390.54-
2020/10.12-31.85-39.470.12-39.470.490.43-
2019/120.18-6.5234.022.016.230.0N/A-
2019/110.1917.930.451.844.130.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.112023/10.142022/10.132021/10.152020/10.12
2024/20.12023/20.122022/20.122021/20.122020/20.09
2024/30.112023/30.122022/30.132021/30.162020/30.14
2024/40.112023/40.122022/40.112021/40.132020/40.11
2024/50.122023/50.132022/50.122021/50.142020/50.12
2024/60.092023/60.122022/60.132021/60.162020/60.11
2024/70.092023/70.142022/70.132021/70.142020/70.13
2024/80.132023/80.132022/80.142021/80.142020/80.14
2024/90.132023/90.152022/90.142021/90.162020/90.14
2024/100.122023/100.132022/100.132021/100.152020/100.14
N/AN/A2023/110.162022/110.132021/110.152020/110.16
N/AN/A2023/120.132022/120.142021/120.122020/120.15
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 1.75%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.11-8.33-26.67
24Q2 (19)0.12-33.33-29.41
24Q1 (18)0.1838.46-5.26
23Q4 (17)0.13-13.33-13.33
23Q3 (16)0.15-11.76-6.25
23Q2 (15)0.17-10.53-5.56
23Q1 (14)0.1926.675.56
22Q4 (13)0.15-6.25-21.05
22Q3 (12)0.16-11.116.67
22Q2 (11)0.180.00.0
22Q1 (10)0.18-5.2612.5
21Q4 (9)0.1926.670.0
21Q3 (8)0.15-16.67-11.76
21Q2 (7)0.1812.528.57
21Q1 (6)0.16-15.7923.08
20Q4 (5)0.1911.7618.75
20Q3 (4)0.1721.430.0
20Q2 (3)0.147.690.0
20Q1 (2)0.13-18.750.0
19Q4 (1)0.160.00.0

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