玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 收帳和銷貨天數如果一直上升, 就要當心了!
  • 存貨在不同時期有不同的意義, 像是滯銷, 或是因為報價回升而屯貨, 或是積極備料, 這都需要去看存貨細項和判斷當時的情況來分辨
  • 當存貨增加時, 還需要注意增加的是不是商品或製成品. 如果是在製品或原物料, 反而有可能是供給不順沒法變製成品又或者是需求旺盛(短期營收趨勢向上)
  • 處在景氣下行的公司當存貨細項-原料和在製品的回升可能代表訂單開始回溫了
  • 當記憶體模組廠, 像是威剛、十銓存貨增加時, 有可能是在增加低價庫存, 代表著景氣循環來到相對低點, 也許就是建立部位的好時機
  • 當存貨提列減損損失,虧損認列在該年度,但是存貨價格回升後,之後年度也會直接回沖增加EPS,這種情況很容易在記憶體模組廠見到
  • 存貨一直增加,但是存貨銷售比沒什麼改變,可以推測是公司因為銷售良好而準備的存貨
  • 當淨營業週期(日)接近於0, 代表公司好像在做無本生意
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近20季
存貨銷售比
近3年股價
應收帳款周轉率 QoQ YoY存貨周轉率 QoQ YoY平均收帳天數 QoQ YoY平圴銷貨天數 QoQ YoY應付帳款付現天數 QoQ YoY淨營業週期(日) QoQ YoY
24Q1 (20)9.79-20.41-34.860.60-15.491.699.2925.5453.55150.7817.83-2.7620.92-8.17-0.05139.1523.6-0.73
23Q4 (19)12.30-4.21-20.030.7142.018.337.404.3725.0127.96-29.76-15.9322.78-24.97-37.43112.58-29.15-7.49
23Q3 (18)12.8416.09-50.350.50-5.66-20.637.09-13.75101.42182.175.1226.9730.3652.79-22.27158.90-1.747.23
23Q2 (17)11.06-26.41-96.50.53-10.171.928.2235.872734.48173.2911.76-0.5519.87-5.06-54.0161.6515.3223.08
23Q1 (16)15.03-2.28-84.920.59-1.67-9.236.052.2564.84155.061.8810.6120.93-42.52-33.17140.1815.1827.7
22Q4 (15)15.38-40.53-21.050.60-4.76-29.415.9268.1826.77152.206.0841.8136.41-6.7831.49121.7012.7644.35
22Q3 (14)25.86-91.8287.660.6321.15-45.693.521113.79-46.67143.47-17.6682.4639.06-9.5872.68107.93-17.8272.38
22Q2 (13)316.31217.361199.550.52-20.0-48.00.29-68.13-92.25174.2524.391.9343.2037.9394.42131.3419.6581.66
22Q1 (12)99.67411.65193.410.65-23.53-45.830.91-80.51-66.04140.1830.6184.6731.3213.1175.27109.7730.280.78
21Q4 (11)19.4841.36-37.840.85-26.72-45.164.67-29.2461.03107.3336.583.0627.6922.41150.1484.3134.6667.05
21Q3 (10)13.78-43.39-73.511.1616.020.836.6076.47277.1478.63-13.39-17.022.621.870.262.61-13.4-24.75
21Q2 (9)24.34-28.35-10.511.00-16.6742.863.7439.5511.6490.7919.6-30.5522.2224.3432.7472.3019.07-38.38
21Q1 (8)33.978.39119.021.20-22.5855.842.68-7.59-54.3475.9129.47-36.0417.8761.43-45.860.7220.31-33.7
20Q4 (7)31.34-39.75132.841.5561.4672.222.9065.71-57.158.63-38.11-41.9311.07-16.7-66.6950.47-39.34-32.26
20Q3 (6)52.0291.25233.890.9637.1415.661.75-47.76-70.0394.74-27.53-13.5313.29-20.61-45.2683.20-29.09-8.7
20Q2 (5)27.2075.37-4.360.70-9.09-21.353.35-42.934.69130.7310.1428.3816.74-49.23-23.7117.3428.1341.22
20Q1 (4)15.5115.230.00.77-14.440.05.87-13.170.0118.6917.550.032.97-0.780.091.5822.930.0
19Q4 (3)13.46-13.610.00.908.430.06.7615.750.0100.97-7.850.033.2336.860.074.50-18.250.0
19Q3 (2)15.58-45.220.00.83-6.740.05.8482.50.0109.577.60.024.2810.670.091.139.680.0
19Q2 (1)28.440.00.00.890.00.03.200.00.0101.830.00.021.940.00.083.090.00.0
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近10年
應收帳款周轉率 YoY存貨周轉率 YoY平均收帳天數 YoY平圴銷貨天數 YoY應付帳款付現天數 YoY淨營業週期(日) YoY
2023 (10)51.20-54.752.32-8.667.13120.74157.309.4929.380.55135.0414.76
2022 (9)113.16-24.32.54-40.093.2332.38143.6667.0329.2248.7117.6771.01
2021 (8)149.4896.454.240.472.44-49.1786.01-0.6619.65-38.3268.8115.61
2020 (7)76.0911.424.229.044.80-10.1186.58-8.3131.867.9359.52-15.27
2019 (6)68.29-0.643.87-14.575.340.5694.4317.1729.5286.8470.250.23
2018 (5)68.7311.74.53-24.255.31-10.4680.5932.1115.80-10.8970.0942.46
2017 (4)61.53-25.465.98-17.745.9334.1661.0021.5617.73-14.3549.2045.09
2016 (3)82.55-21.587.27-2.024.4227.3850.182.0320.70-17.533.9123.04
2015 (2)105.26223.887.4227.053.47-69.149.18-21.3225.0915.4127.56-47.0
2014 (1)32.50254.425.8457.4111.23-71.862.51-36.4721.74-7.4552.00-54.67

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