- 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
- 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
- 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
- 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
- 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
| 年/月 | 營收 | 月增率(%) | 去年同期年增率(%) | 累計營收 | 累計營收年增率(%) | 近三月累計營收 | 存貨銷售比 | 自結稅前EPS | 自結稅前累計EPS | 備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/10 | 0.89 | 31.11 | 59.88 | 6.91 | -42.46 | 2.49 | N/A | 大客戶已消化庫存,陸續下單,故營收較去年同期增加 | ||
| 2024/9 | 0.68 | -25.48 | -36.94 | 6.02 | -47.45 | 2.33 | 1.39 | - | ||
| 2024/8 | 0.91 | 24.95 | -26.89 | 5.34 | -48.54 | 2.33 | 1.39 | - | ||
| 2024/7 | 0.73 | 6.61 | -54.68 | 4.43 | -51.51 | 2.08 | 1.56 | 因本公司及大客戶近半年積極消化庫存, 導致營收較去年大幅下降,新產品已在試產中 | ||
| 2024/6 | 0.69 | 3.96 | -53.45 | 3.69 | -50.87 | 1.96 | 1.69 | 因本公司近幾月份公司及客戶積極消化庫存, 導致營收較去年大幅下降 | ||
| 2024/5 | 0.66 | 6.93 | -53.82 | 3.01 | -50.23 | 1.95 | 1.7 | 因本公司近幾月份積極消化庫存, 導致營收較去年大幅下降 | ||
| 2024/4 | 0.62 | -8.91 | -45.56 | 2.35 | -49.12 | 1.66 | 2.0 | 因本公司本月份積極銷化庫存, 導致營收較去年大幅下降 | ||
| 2024/3 | 0.68 | 84.36 | -58.35 | 1.73 | -50.28 | 1.73 | 1.94 | 因本公司本月份積極銷化庫存, 導致營收較去年大幅下降 | ||
| 2024/2 | 0.37 | -46.15 | -60.45 | 1.05 | -43.18 | 1.69 | 1.98 | 本月份正逢農曆過年營業天數少很多天, 導致營收大幅下降 | ||
| 2024/1 | 0.68 | 6.17 | -25.71 | 0.68 | -25.71 | 1.89 | 1.78 | - | ||
| 2023/12 | 0.64 | 14.33 | -51.06 | 13.22 | 5.14 | 1.76 | 1.87 | 營收減少，主係出貨量減少所致 | ||
| 2023/11 | 0.56 | 0.66 | -59.17 | 12.58 | 11.7 | 2.2 | 1.49 | 營收減少，主係出貨量減少所致 | ||
| 2023/10 | 0.56 | -48.28 | -50.99 | 12.02 | 21.57 | 2.89 | 1.14 | 營收減少，主係出貨量減少所致 | ||
| 2023/9 | 1.08 | -13.6 | -16.48 | 11.46 | 31.03 | 3.94 | 0.95 | - | ||
| 2023/8 | 1.25 | -22.54 | -15.56 | 10.38 | 39.28 | 4.34 | 0.86 | - | ||
| 2023/7 | 1.61 | 9.5 | 87.68 | 9.13 | 52.89 | 4.52 | 0.83 | 營收增加，主係出貨量增加所致 | ||
| 2023/6 | 1.47 | 3.13 | 42.39 | 7.51 | 47.03 | 4.04 | 1.06 | - | ||
| 2023/5 | 1.43 | 26.07 | 37.32 | 6.04 | 48.21 | 4.19 | 1.02 | - | ||
| 2023/4 | 1.13 | -30.31 | 17.98 | 4.61 | 51.94 | 3.69 | 1.16 | 營收增加，主係出貨量增加所致 | ||
| 2023/3 | 1.63 | 75.05 | 111.27 | 3.48 | 67.69 | 3.48 | 1.25 | 本月營收增加，主係出貨量增加所致 | ||
| 2023/2 | 0.93 | 1.15 | 81.83 | 1.85 | 41.92 | 3.16 | 1.37 | 本月營收增加，主係出貨量增加所致 | ||
| 2023/1 | 0.92 | -30.05 | 16.13 | 0.92 | 16.13 | 3.61 | 1.2 | - | ||
| 2022/12 | 1.31 | -4.61 | 38.46 | 12.58 | 25.74 | 3.83 | 1.16 | - | ||
| 2022/11 | 1.38 | 20.83 | 111.07 | 11.26 | 24.41 | 3.81 | 1.16 | 本月營收較去年同期增加，主係出貨量增加所致 | ||
| 2022/10 | 1.14 | -11.87 | 18.9 | 9.88 | 17.67 | 3.91 | 1.13 | - | ||
| 2022/9 | 1.29 | -12.65 | 45.85 | 8.74 | 17.52 | 3.63 | 1.38 | - | ||
| 2022/8 | 1.48 | 72.15 | 51.64 | 7.45 | 13.68 | 3.38 | 1.48 | 係主力客戶拉貨 | ||
| 2022/7 | 0.86 | -16.92 | 10.11 | 5.97 | 7.04 | 2.94 | 1.71 | - | ||
| 2022/6 | 1.04 | -0.53 | 13.95 | 5.11 | 6.54 | 3.04 | 1.68 | - | ||
| 2022/5 | 1.04 | 8.31 | 31.74 | 4.07 | 4.8 | 2.77 | 1.84 | - | ||
| 2022/4 | 0.96 | 24.78 | 9.91 | 3.03 | -2.06 | 2.24 | 2.28 | - | ||
| 2022/3 | 0.77 | 50.66 | -3.97 | 2.07 | -6.77 | 2.07 | 2.39 | - | ||
| 2022/2 | 0.51 | -35.39 | -7.71 | 1.3 | -8.35 | 2.25 | 2.2 | - | ||
| 2022/1 | 0.79 | -16.6 | -8.76 | 0.79 | -8.76 | 2.39 | 2.07 | - | ||
| 2021/12 | 0.95 | 45.4 | -4.3 | 10.0 | -4.34 | 2.56 | 1.91 | - | ||
| 2021/11 | 0.65 | -31.93 | -25.64 | 9.05 | -4.35 | 2.5 | 1.95 | - | ||
| 2021/10 | 0.96 | 8.1 | 5.97 | 8.4 | -2.17 | 2.82 | 1.73 | - | ||
| 2021/9 | 0.89 | -9.18 | -1.79 | 7.44 | -3.13 | 2.64 | 1.89 | - | ||
| 2021/8 | 0.98 | 25.01 | 12.47 | 6.55 | -3.31 | 2.67 | 1.88 | - | ||
| 2021/7 | 0.78 | -14.02 | -21.53 | 5.58 | -5.62 | 2.48 | 2.02 | - | ||
| 2021/6 | 0.91 | 14.98 | 2.01 | 4.8 | -2.43 | 2.57 | 1.7 | - | ||
| 2021/5 | 0.79 | -9.62 | -30.27 | 3.89 | -3.41 | 2.47 | 1.77 | - | ||
| 2021/4 | 0.87 | 9.01 | -5.29 | 3.1 | 6.95 | 2.23 | 1.96 | - | ||
| 2021/3 | 0.8 | 44.79 | 9.17 | 2.22 | 12.68 | 2.22 | 1.87 | - | ||
| 2021/2 | 0.55 | -36.13 | 0.92 | 1.42 | 14.75 | 2.41 | 1.72 | - | ||
| 2021/1 | 0.87 | -12.53 | 25.76 | 0.87 | 25.76 | 2.74 | 1.52 | - | ||
| 2020/12 | 0.99 | 12.98 | -30.92 | 10.46 | -14.14 | 2.77 | 1.38 | - | ||
| 2020/11 | 0.88 | -2.99 | -6.1 | 9.46 | -11.9 | 2.69 | 1.42 | - | ||
| 2020/10 | 0.9 | 0.18 | -20.65 | 8.59 | -12.45 | 2.68 | 1.43 | - | ||
| 2020/9 | 0.9 | 4.0 | -11.9 | 7.68 | -11.37 | 2.77 | 1.47 | - | ||
| 2020/8 | 0.87 | -12.78 | -27.87 | 6.78 | -11.3 | 2.75 | 1.48 | - | ||
| 2020/7 | 1.0 | 11.78 | 10.44 | 5.91 | -8.15 | 3.02 | 1.35 | - | ||
| 2020/6 | 0.89 | -21.4 | -5.98 | 4.98 | -10.2 | 2.95 | 1.37 | - | ||
| 2020/5 | 1.13 | 22.73 | 32.85 | 4.03 | -12.27 | 2.79 | 1.44 | - | ||
| 2020/4 | 0.92 | 25.68 | 13.42 | 2.9 | -22.46 | 2.21 | 1.83 | - | ||
| 2020/3 | 0.73 | 33.84 | -46.61 | 1.97 | -32.46 | 1.97 | 2.14 | - | ||
| 2020/2 | 0.55 | -20.41 | 36.36 | 1.24 | -19.86 | 2.67 | 1.58 | - | ||
| 2020/1 | 0.69 | -51.95 | -39.68 | 0.69 | -39.68 | 3.06 | 1.38 | - | ||
| 2019/12 | 1.44 | 53.58 | 41.5 | 12.18 | 16.07 | 0.0 | N/A | - | ||
| 2019/11 | 0.93 | -18.02 | -5.99 | 10.74 | 13.33 | 0.0 | N/A | - |
| 年/月 | 營收 | 年/月 | 營收 | 年/月 | 營收 | 年/月 | 營收 | 年/月 | 營收 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/1 | 0.68 | 2023/1 | 0.92 | 2022/1 | 0.79 | 2021/1 | 0.87 | 2020/1 | 0.69 |
| 2024/2 | 0.37 | 2023/2 | 0.93 | 2022/2 | 0.51 | 2021/2 | 0.55 | 2020/2 | 0.55 |
| 2024/3 | 0.68 | 2023/3 | 1.63 | 2022/3 | 0.77 | 2021/3 | 0.8 | 2020/3 | 0.73 |
| 2024/4 | 0.62 | 2023/4 | 1.13 | 2022/4 | 0.96 | 2021/4 | 0.87 | 2020/4 | 0.92 |
| 2024/5 | 0.66 | 2023/5 | 1.43 | 2022/5 | 1.04 | 2021/5 | 0.79 | 2020/5 | 1.13 |
| 2024/6 | 0.69 | 2023/6 | 1.47 | 2022/6 | 1.04 | 2021/6 | 0.91 | 2020/6 | 0.89 |
| 2024/7 | 0.73 | 2023/7 | 1.61 | 2022/7 | 0.86 | 2021/7 | 0.78 | 2020/7 | 1.0 |
| 2024/8 | 0.91 | 2023/8 | 1.25 | 2022/8 | 1.48 | 2021/8 | 0.98 | 2020/8 | 0.87 |
| 2024/9 | 0.68 | 2023/9 | 1.08 | 2022/9 | 1.29 | 2021/9 | 0.89 | 2020/9 | 0.9 |
| 2024/10 | 0.89 | 2023/10 | 0.56 | 2022/10 | 1.14 | 2021/10 | 0.96 | 2020/10 | 0.9 |
| N/A | N/A | 2023/11 | 0.56 | 2022/11 | 1.38 | 2021/11 | 0.65 | 2020/11 | 0.88 |
| N/A | N/A | 2023/12 | 0.64 | 2022/12 | 1.31 | 2021/12 | 0.95 | 2020/12 | 0.99 |
- 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
| 合約負債 QoQ YoY | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 24Q3 (20) | 0.34 | 161.54 | 41.67 |
| 24Q2 (19) | 0.13 | -40.91 | -31.58 |
| 24Q1 (18) | 0.22 | 4.76 | -29.03 |
| 23Q4 (17) | 0.21 | -12.5 | -30.0 |
| 23Q3 (16) | 0.24 | 26.32 | -51.02 |
| 23Q2 (15) | 0.19 | -38.71 | -36.67 |
| 23Q1 (14) | 0.31 | 3.33 | 19.23 |
| 22Q4 (13) | 0.3 | -38.78 | 76.47 |
| 22Q3 (12) | 0.49 | 63.33 | 390.0 |
| 22Q2 (11) | 0.3 | 15.38 | 130.77 |
| 22Q1 (10) | 0.26 | 52.94 | 13.04 |
| 21Q4 (9) | 0.17 | 70.0 | 6.25 |
| 21Q3 (8) | 0.1 | -23.08 | -28.57 |
| 21Q2 (7) | 0.13 | -43.48 | -7.14 |
| 21Q1 (6) | 0.23 | 43.75 | 130.0 |
| 20Q4 (5) | 0.16 | 14.29 | 45.45 |
| 20Q3 (4) | 0.14 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 20Q2 (3) | 0.14 | 40.0 | 0.0 |
| 20Q1 (2) | 0.1 | -9.09 | 0.0 |
| 19Q4 (1) | 0.11 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
