玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 理想的成長型公司, 本業EPS的成長幅度會大於營收的成長幅度
  • 營收到某個數字後, 本業EPS呈現不成比例的增加, 有可能是規模經濟的效應
  • 如果是有淡旺季的公司, 是否有淡季不淡, 旺季更旺的情況
  • 漲很多的股票要留意 EPS 較上季是否有大幅衰退的情況
  • 如果EPS衰退,要觀察同業是不是有一樣的狀況
  • 要留意增資減資和公司債對股本及EPS的影響
成長能力-近20季
加權平均股數 QoQ YoYEPS QoQ YoY本業EPS QoQ YoY累計EPS QoQ YoY營收 QoQ YoY毛利率(%) QoQ YoY營業利益率 QoQ YoY稅後淨利率 QoQ YoY營業利益 QoQ YoY稅後淨利 QoQ YoY稅前淨利率(%) QoQ YoY稅後淨利率(%) QoQ YoY兩季平均(YOY)營收成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)EPS成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)本業EPS成長率(%)
24Q3 (20)930.00.0-0.40-17.65-300.0-0.3415.0-78.95-0.82-95.24-28.121.40.72-6.0432.021.91-10.98-23.3711.94-70.21-26.56-15.48-226.29-0.3310.81-65.0-0.37-15.62-311.11-27.01-17.49-238.05-26.56-15.48-226.290.01-201.68-60.14
24Q2 (19)930.00.0-0.34-385.712.86-0.40-135.292.44-0.42-500.022.221.39-0.714.5131.42-21.76-14.18-26.54-143.044.6-23.00-376.196.43-0.37-146.670.0-0.32-357.143.03-22.99-430.954.96-23.00-376.196.43-4.00-146.70-32.82
24Q1 (18)930.00.0-0.0792.3163.16-0.1769.6410.53-0.0795.4863.161.4-7.28-7.8940.1654.820.05-10.9265.970.73-4.8390.9958.65-0.1568.7511.76-0.0791.6761.11-4.3391.8960.53-4.8390.9958.65-2.97-358.85-62.55
23Q4 (17)930.01.09-0.91-810.0-313.64-0.56-194.74-143.48-1.55-142.19-5266.671.511.341.3425.94-27.88-34.79-32.09-133.72-147.99-53.58-558.23-300.15-0.48-140.0-152.63-0.84-833.33-320.0-53.37-567.96-325.6-53.58-558.23-300.156.68-369.28-70.54
23Q3 (16)930.00.0-0.1071.43-1100.0-0.1953.66-216.67-0.64-18.52-356.01.4912.03-27.6735.97-1.75-1.18-13.7350.65-420.08-8.1466.88-3114.81-0.245.95-300.0-0.0972.73-1000.0-7.9966.97-1501.75-8.1466.88-3114.81-0.24-6.39-31.07
23Q2 (15)930.01.09-0.35-84.21-350.0-0.41-115.79-510.0-0.54-184.21-316.01.33-12.5-49.8136.61-8.79-1.45-27.82-152.91-858.04-24.58-110.45-594.57-0.37-117.65-470.0-0.33-83.33-353.85-24.19-120.51-569.71-24.58-110.45-594.57-5.25-35.28-49.20
23Q1 (14)931.094.49-0.1913.64-290.0-0.1917.390-0.19-733.33-290.01.522.01-43.740.140.920.07-11.0014.99-4683.33-11.6812.77-448.66-0.1710.53-1800.0-0.1810.0-300.0-10.9712.52-418.9-11.6812.77-448.66-12.83-1143.18-132.97
22Q4 (13)92-1.083.37-0.22-2300.0-344.44-0.23-283.33-283.330.03-88.0200.01.49-27.67-42.2539.789.2918.6-12.94-390.15-540.59-13.39-5059.26-509.48-0.19-280.0-280.0-0.2-2100.0-350.0-12.54-2300.0-473.21-13.39-5059.26-509.48-24.97-1196.43-221.66
22Q3 (12)931.094.490.01-92.86-90.91-0.06-160.0-154.550.250.0377.782.06-22.26-21.6736.40-2.023.35-2.64-171.93-159.460.27-94.57-92.86-0.05-150.0-141.670.01-92.31-90.00.57-88.93-87.660.27-94.57-92.86-12.06-26.43-80.00
22Q2 (11)923.374.550.1440.0255.560.100225.00.25150.0225.02.65-1.8523.2637.1511.13-2.523.671429.17388.984.9748.36238.060.1900.0433.330.1344.44262.55.1549.71419.884.9748.36238.061.4025.5550.00
22Q1 (10)890.01.140.1011.11183.330.00100.0100.00.10900.0183.332.74.6526.7633.43-0.33-14.280.24111.88105.963.352.45170.080.01120.0111.110.0912.5190.03.442.38175.113.352.45170.081.38-3.54-27.28
21Q4 (9)890.04.710.09-18.18125.71-0.06-154.5581.820.01111.11101.452.58-1.911.2133.54-4.77-1.81-2.02-145.583.13.27-13.49125.39-0.05-141.6782.140.08-20.0126.673.36-27.27128.843.27-13.49125.3910.21102.0241.47
21Q3 (8)891.145.950.11222.22129.730.11237.5128.21-0.0955.073.532.6322.3312.3935.22-7.5816.014.44449.61130.753.78205.0128.640.12500.0135.290.1225.0132.264.62386.96137.23.78205.0128.6411.63123.61128.75
21Q2 (7)880.0-45.34-0.0925.0-129.03-0.0820.089.33-0.20-66.67-2100.02.150.943.3738.11-2.2823.21-1.2768.4994.97-3.6024.69-112.31-0.0366.6794.23-0.0820.0-116.0-1.6164.85-104.93-3.6024.69-112.31-3.6245.3544.85
21Q1 (6)883.53-45.34-0.1265.7160.0-0.1069.777.27-0.1282.6160.02.13-8.19-26.5539.0014.1720.97-4.0366.2871.38-4.7862.8970.92-0.0967.8678.05-0.166.6779.17-4.5860.6971.99-4.7862.8970.92-4.5235.5642.54
20Q4 (5)851.19-47.2-0.355.4143.55-0.3315.3865.26-0.69-102.9465.842.32-0.85-37.4734.1612.5232.1-11.9517.2437.83-12.882.4252.1-0.2817.6560.56-0.33.2370.0-11.656.248.34-12.882.4252.1--0.00
20Q3 (4)84-47.830.0-0.37-219.350.0-0.3948.00.0-0.34-3500.00.02.3412.50.030.36-1.840.0-14.4442.830.0-13.20-145.130.0-0.3434.620.0-0.31-162.00.0-12.42-138.050.0-13.20-145.130.0--0.00
20Q2 (3)1610.00.00.31203.330.0-0.75-70.450.00.01103.330.02.08-28.280.030.93-4.060.0-25.26-79.40.029.25277.920.0-0.52-26.830.00.5204.170.032.64299.630.029.25277.920.0--0.00
20Q1 (2)1610.00.0-0.3051.610.0-0.4453.680.0-0.3085.150.02.9-21.830.032.2424.670.0-14.0826.740.0-16.4438.860.0-0.4142.250.0-0.4852.00.0-16.3527.490.0-16.4438.860.0--0.00
19Q4 (1)1610.00.0-0.620.00.0-0.950.00.0-2.020.00.03.710.00.025.860.00.0-19.220.00.0-26.890.00.0-0.710.00.0-1.00.00.0-22.550.00.0-26.890.00.0--0.00
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.35-37.68-32.194.54-6.291.31N/A-
2024/90.5636.23-16.824.19-3.241.42.4-
2024/80.41-6.86-5.543.64-0.761.32.58-
2024/70.44-4.0513.033.23-0.131.332.53-
2024/60.465.78-19.692.79-1.921.392.66-
2024/50.43-13.37-1.222.332.511.472.52-
2024/40.5-7.056.01.93.41.452.54去年同期營收較平均水準低,目前客戶庫存已逐步改善, 公司接單升溫中
2024/30.5428.74-28.571.4-7.641.42.86-
2024/20.42-7.878.540.8712.741.412.86-
2024/10.45-16.116.910.4516.911.452.77-
2023/120.5416.81-6.815.85-34.331.512.73-
2023/110.46-9.75-1.215.31-36.241.642.51-
2023/100.51-23.5614.674.85-38.321.612.56-
2023/90.6754.79.464.33-41.511.492.9-
2023/80.4311.46-40.23.67-46.091.393.11-
2023/70.39-31.84-46.873.23-46.791.393.1-
2023/60.5730.1-41.072.85-46.771.333.33-
2023/50.4436.81-55.412.28-48.031.512.93整體出貨量仍受到客戶持續消化庫存影響,俄烏戰爭、通膨升息造成的需求趨緩,保守看待成長動能。
2023/40.32-57.41-54.431.84-45.91.453.03客戶持續調整庫存中, 需求面仍然疲弱,另關鍵零組件缺料致部分產品無法出貨
2023/30.7595.65-31.651.52-43.691.522.89-
2023/20.38-0.77-46.780.77-51.941.353.26因通膨及地緣政治風險加劇造成的供應鏈庫存高築及終端需求疲軟目前仍在消化中。公司正密切關注市場狀況,審慎因應。
2023/10.39-33.13-56.150.39-56.151.433.071.客戶仍持續調整庫存 2. 因農曆年休假,造成工作天數減少
2022/120.5823.83-36.928.9-6.161.492.87-
2022/110.474.76-41.238.32-2.871.522.81-
2022/100.45-27.03-48.537.861.041.782.41-
2022/90.61-15.49-46.027.417.252.061.99-
2022/80.72-0.96-8.876.817.692.421.7-
2022/70.73-24.43.366.0821.922.681.54-
2022/60.97-1.553.495.3524.982.651.55-
2022/50.9839.8239.674.3830.972.781.47-
2022/40.7-36.1237.073.428.662.521.63-
2022/31.152.3230.192.726.642.71.51-
2022/20.72-18.2421.131.624.332.521.62-
2022/10.88-3.7927.070.8827.072.591.57-
2021/120.9215.3723.339.49-1.532.581.65-
2021/110.79-8.25-11.668.57-3.612.791.52-
2021/100.87-23.4728.587.78-2.712.791.52-
2021/91.1342.6628.686.91-5.592.631.57-
2021/80.7912.33-0.095.78-10.272.431.69-
2021/70.71-24.35.744.98-11.72.341.76-
2021/60.9332.8541.264.28-14.042.151.82-
2021/50.737.22-3.593.35-22.52.061.9-
2021/40.51-39.33-25.512.64-26.331.952.0-
2021/30.8441.72-7.452.13-26.522.131.85-
2021/20.6-14.23-42.571.29-35.262.031.94-
2021/10.69-6.63-27.310.69-27.312.341.69-
2020/120.74-17.36-33.799.63-22.652.321.78-
2020/110.933.54-37.878.89-21.542.451.68-
2020/100.67-23.41-41.087.99-19.152.351.76-
2020/90.8810.76-4.677.32-16.282.342.0-
2020/80.7918.88-18.156.44-17.652.122.2-
2020/70.671.13-26.515.65-17.582.062.27-
2020/60.66-9.33-36.04.98-16.222.082.41-
2020/50.736.01-31.14.32-12.062.332.15-
2020/40.69-24.62-25.373.59-6.842.631.9-
2020/30.91-12.06-9.742.9-1.022.91.85-
2020/21.048.5516.381.993.563.141.71-
2020/10.95-17.09-7.50.95-7.53.551.51-
2019/121.15-20.45-20.4512.48-31.750.0N/A-
2019/111.4526.6426.511.33-32.650.0N/A-
成長能力-近10年
加權平均股數 YoYEPS YoY本業EPS YoY營收 YoY毛利率(%) YoY營業利益率 YoY稅後淨利率 YoY營業利益 YoY稅前淨利 YoY稅後淨利 YoY
2023 (10)931.09-1.550-1.3305.85-34.2734.61-4.63-20.960-24.530-1.230-1.410-1.430
2022 (9)923.370.03200.0-0.1808.9-6.2236.290.06-1.6100.32540.0-0.1400.05-37.50.030
2021 (8)894.710.010-0.1309.49-1.4536.2713.45-0.5100.050-0.0500.08000
2020 (7)85-47.2-0.690-1.9009.63-22.7131.975.16-16.060-4.950-1.550-0.360-0.580
2019 (6)1610.0-2.020-3.25012.46-31.8830.40-5.56-22.630-26.250-2.820-3.070-3.270
2018 (5)1610.0-0.400-0.44018.29-0.2232.19-12.19-1.360-3.480-0.250-0.480-0.640
2017 (4)1610.0-3.730-4.92018.33-31.436.66-8.37-23.600-32.840-4.330-5.750-6.010
2016 (3)1610.0-2.030-2.24026.72-10.6440.01-5.44-7.230-12.280-1.930-3.120-3.270
2015 (2)1611.260.47-80.891.05-73.3529.9-21.6942.31-7.74.57-61.852.59-75.821.37-70.091.17-76.550.78-80.88
2014 (1)1596.712.4616.593.9413.5438.185.5645.84011.98010.7104.5823.784.9932.014.0823.26

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