玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/102.53-2.98-20.7626.3-16.387.68N/A-
2024/92.613.07-18.4923.77-15.887.80.99-
2024/82.53-4.59-13.9921.16-15.557.760.99-
2024/72.663.33-8.7718.62-15.768.010.96-
2024/62.57-7.72-20.3315.96-16.828.350.92-
2024/52.79-6.82-12.2813.39-16.118.560.9-
2024/42.997.41-19.7910.61-17.067.621.01-
2024/32.7850.98-17.47.62-15.947.620.98-
2024/21.84-38.36-32.994.83-15.078.030.93-
2024/12.99-6.341.672.991.679.260.81-
2023/123.193.97-21.4237.72-17.029.460.79-
2023/113.07-3.97-16.1934.53-16.589.480.79-
2023/103.2-0.19-3.5831.46-16.629.350.8-
2023/93.218.75-23.9528.26-17.889.060.87-
2023/82.951.2-16.1625.05-17.039.090.87-
2023/72.91-9.74-37.322.11-17.159.310.85-
2023/63.231.58-33.0319.19-12.910.130.7-
2023/53.18-14.79-18.3115.97-7.2610.270.69-
2023/43.7310.619.8112.79-4.049.850.72-
2023/33.3722.49-0.559.06-8.789.060.86-
2023/22.75-6.484.55.69-13.049.760.8-
2023/12.94-27.62-24.842.94-24.8410.670.73-
2022/124.0610.893.6645.46-3.7411.050.81-
2022/113.6710.47-10.2441.39-4.4111.20.8-
2022/103.32-21.28-20.0437.73-3.811.050.81-
2022/94.2119.89-7.3534.41-1.8812.370.73-
2022/83.52-24.31-18.5730.2-1.0712.980.7-
2022/74.64-3.610.9826.681.813.350.68-
2022/64.8223.9221.1322.040.0612.10.88-
2022/53.8914.54-2.6117.22-4.5710.671.0-
2022/43.390.17-13.3313.33-5.139.421.13-
2022/33.3928.73-10.989.94-1.969.941.19-
2022/22.63-32.7418.016.553.4610.471.13-
2022/13.91-0.16-4.453.91-4.4511.920.99-
2021/123.92-3.989.3247.2313.4312.150.95-
2021/114.08-1.589.3143.3113.8212.780.9-
2021/104.15-8.7824.5139.2214.3113.020.88-
2021/94.555.3717.1635.0713.2213.050.94-
2021/84.323.1511.6430.5212.6512.480.98-
2021/74.195.28.5726.2112.8212.161.01-
2021/63.98-0.3711.3122.0213.6711.891.06-
2021/53.991.935.3518.0414.211.721.08-
2021/43.922.895.0914.0516.999.951.27-
2021/33.8170.6726.9510.1322.3510.131.03-
2021/22.23-45.551.136.3319.749.911.06-
2021/14.114.2333.084.133.0811.420.92-
2020/123.59-3.994.2241.63-7.9410.650.8-
2020/113.7412.090.0338.05-8.9410.950.78-
2020/103.33-14.17-8.3134.31-9.8211.080.77-
2020/93.880.41-5.4130.98-9.9811.60.64-
2020/83.870.31-2.527.1-10.611.290.66-
2020/73.857.86-4.6123.23-11.8111.220.66-
2020/63.57-5.7-2.1119.37-13.1211.090.66-
2020/53.791.674.3315.8-15.2810.520.7-
2020/43.7324.29-7.7512.01-20.018.930.82-
2020/33.035.96-22.198.28-24.548.280.91-
2020/22.21-28.35-18.745.28-25.818.730.86-
2020/13.08-10.53-30.163.08-30.1610.250.73-
2019/123.44-7.85-8.5845.22-7.090.0N/A-
2019/113.732.74-13.7941.78-6.960.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/12.992023/12.942022/13.912021/14.12020/13.08
2024/21.842023/22.752022/22.632021/22.232020/22.21
2024/32.782023/33.372022/33.392021/33.812020/33.0
2024/42.992023/43.732022/43.392021/43.922020/43.73
2024/52.792023/53.182022/53.892021/53.992020/53.79
2024/62.572023/63.232022/64.822021/63.982020/63.57
2024/72.662023/72.912022/74.642021/74.192020/73.85
2024/82.532023/82.952022/83.522021/84.322020/83.87
2024/92.612023/93.212022/94.212021/94.552020/93.88
2024/102.532023/103.22022/103.322021/104.152020/103.33
N/AN/A2023/113.072022/113.672021/114.082020/113.74
N/AN/A2023/123.192022/124.062021/123.922020/123.59
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.49%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.1-16.67-9.09
24Q2 (19)0.120.0-64.71
24Q1 (18)0.120.0-85.0
23Q4 (17)0.129.09-75.51
23Q3 (16)0.11-67.65-78.85
23Q2 (15)0.34-57.5-51.43
23Q1 (14)0.863.2731.15
22Q4 (13)0.49-5.77390.0
22Q3 (12)0.52-25.71246.67
22Q2 (11)0.714.75775.0
22Q1 (10)0.61510.06000.0
21Q4 (9)0.1-33.3342.86
21Q3 (8)0.1587.5200.0
21Q2 (7)0.08700.00.0
21Q1 (6)0.01-85.71-88.89
20Q4 (5)0.0740.0600.0
20Q3 (4)0.05-37.50.0
20Q2 (3)0.08-11.110.0
20Q1 (2)0.09800.00.0
19Q4 (1)0.010.00.0

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