. 愛玩股

   玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看、自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/101.013.1424.918.715.382.88N/A-
2024/90.88-12.47.767.723.292.760.9-
2024/81.014.4616.296.842.742.770.9-
2024/70.88-1.26-4.325.830.732.650.94-
2024/60.890.3518.474.951.682.561.0-
2024/50.8912.12-10.184.07-1.372.341.1-
2024/40.7919.2131.783.181.392.171.18-
2024/30.66-8.12-21.572.39-5.772.391.09-
2024/20.72-28.5118.431.732.092.531.03-
2024/11.0125.33-7.061.01-7.062.491.05-
2023/120.819.364.49.74-9.072.281.19-
2023/110.67-15.39-20.058.94-10.112.291.18-
2023/100.8-2.39-35.88.27-9.192.481.09-
2023/90.82-5.468.247.47-4.992.61.12-
2023/80.86-5.82-9.426.65-6.42.531.15-
2023/70.9222.261.395.79-5.932.651.09-
2023/60.75-23.92-31.244.87-7.22.331.28-
2023/50.9964.5219.564.12-0.892.431.23-
2023/40.6-29.05-30.553.14-5.952.051.45-
2023/30.8438.74-19.382.542.622.541.13-
2023/20.61-43.9-12.291.6918.82.461.16-
2023/11.0940.848.291.0948.292.71.06-
2022/120.77-8.59-42.3310.7215.012.851.07-
2022/110.84-32.06-14.649.9524.612.841.08-
2022/101.2464.5864.479.130.152.951.04客戶拉貨，以備未來數月庫存。
2022/90.75-20.9-1.827.8626.02.611.2-
2022/80.955.4369.027.1129.912.951.06客戶拉貨，以備未來數月庫存。
2022/70.9-17.0930.676.1625.422.821.11-
2022/61.0932.2962.545.2524.562.781.12客戶拉貨，以備其下一季庫存。
2022/50.82-4.4310.384.1617.362.731.13-
2022/40.86-17.6433.843.3419.232.61.19-
2022/31.0550.9553.082.4714.862.471.05客戶拉貨，以備其下一季庫存。
2022/20.69-5.15-0.791.43-2.942.760.94-
2022/10.73-45.25-4.890.73-4.893.060.85-
2021/121.3435.359.489.3213.473.080.83客戶拉貨，以備其下一季庫存。
2021/110.9930.932.427.988.242.511.02-
2021/100.75-1.7619.056.995.522.091.23-
2021/90.7736.1851.16.244.092.021.53客戶拉貨，以備其下一季庫存。
2021/80.56-18.48-19.485.47-0.261.931.6-
2021/70.693.12-9.944.912.552.111.46-
2021/60.67-10.1610.164.224.942.061.3-
2021/50.7515.8737.133.544.02.081.3-
2021/40.64-5.81-26.262.8-2.292.031.33-
2021/30.68-2.1710.82.158.232.151.17-
2021/20.7-9.06-3.871.477.072.311.1-
2021/10.77-8.1919.450.7719.452.351.08-
2020/120.8412.3440.158.213.892.221.15-
2020/110.7517.6912.07.370.921.891.35-
2020/100.6324.68-1.156.63-0.181.841.38-
2020/90.51-27.43-20.525.99-0.081.981.19-
2020/80.7-8.83-12.065.492.352.081.14-
2020/70.7726.159.134.794.871.921.23-
2020/60.6111.8216.814.024.092.031.41-
2020/50.54-37.69-7.023.412.12.041.4-
2020/40.8741.54-5.792.864.052.221.28-
2020/30.62-15.14-10.061.999.061.991.28-
2020/20.7313.082.481.3720.62.041.25108年02月適逢農曆新年，工作天數少。
2020/10.64-3.17-12.80.64-12.81.981.29-
2019/120.67-0.1117.138.298.380.0N/A-
2019/110.67-2.291.07.627.680.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.012023/11.092022/10.732021/10.772020/10.64
2024/20.722023/20.612022/20.692021/20.72020/20.73
2024/30.662023/30.842022/31.052021/30.682020/30.62
2024/40.792023/40.62022/40.862021/40.642020/40.87
2024/50.892023/50.992022/50.822021/50.752020/50.54
2024/60.892023/60.752022/61.092021/60.672020/60.61
2024/70.882023/70.922022/70.92021/70.692020/70.77
2024/81.02023/80.862022/80.952021/80.562020/80.7
2024/90.882023/90.822022/90.752021/90.772020/90.51
2024/101.02023/100.82022/101.242021/100.752020/100.63
N/AN/A2023/110.672022/110.842021/110.992020/110.75
N/AN/A2023/120.82022/120.772021/121.342020/120.84
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 2.14%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.09-30.77-43.75
24Q2 (19)0.13-50.0-40.91
24Q1 (18)0.26136.36-18.75
23Q4 (17)0.11-31.25-68.57
23Q3 (16)0.16-27.27-5.88
23Q2 (15)0.22-31.2569.23
23Q1 (14)0.32-8.57128.57
22Q4 (13)0.35105.88118.75
22Q3 (12)0.1730.7730.77
22Q2 (11)0.13-7.14-48.0
22Q1 (10)0.14-12.540.0
21Q4 (9)0.1623.0860.0
21Q3 (8)0.13-48.030.0
21Q2 (7)0.25150.0150.0
21Q1 (6)0.10.011.11
20Q4 (5)0.10.066.67
20Q3 (4)0.10.00.0
20Q2 (3)0.111.110.0
20Q1 (2)0.0950.00.0
19Q4 (1)0.060.00.0

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