玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/102.14-0.187.6320.946.896.49N/A-
2024/92.14-2.858.4618.86.816.650.0-
2024/82.21-3.897.4716.656.66.640.0-
2024/72.37.461.8514.446.476.670.0-
2024/62.14-4.373.912.157.396.520.0-
2024/52.244.256.2310.018.176.560.0-
2024/42.14-1.7216.457.778.746.040.0-
2024/32.1827.525.885.636.065.630.0-
2024/21.71-1.33-4.483.456.185.30.0-
2024/11.73-6.4119.321.7319.325.440.0-
2023/121.85-0.0811.7523.296.895.70.0-
2023/111.85-6.765.4321.446.485.820.0-
2023/101.990.588.419.596.596.020.0-
2023/91.98-3.730.4717.66.386.290.0-
2023/82.05-8.927.9815.627.186.370.0-
2023/72.269.6215.9913.567.066.420.0-
2023/62.06-2.2212.6911.315.446.00.0-
2023/52.114.2815.169.253.966.010.0-
2023/41.84-10.64-1.477.151.065.690.0-
2023/32.0615.02-2.575.311.975.310.0-
2023/21.7923.2615.333.245.094.90.0-
2023/11.45-12.35-5.261.45-5.264.870.0-
2022/121.66-5.73-1.4921.7917.735.250.0-
2022/111.76-4.139.7920.1319.655.560.0-
2022/101.83-6.779.1118.3820.695.710.0-
2022/91.973.4521.816.5422.135.820.0-
2022/81.9-2.1618.1714.5722.175.670.0-
2022/71.946.4942.112.6722.85.60.0-
2022/61.83-0.0741.7110.7219.855.520.0-
2022/51.83-2.2310.958.916.175.810.0-
2022/41.87-11.6314.387.0717.65.540.0-
2022/32.1236.1719.915.218.815.20.0-
2022/21.551.2530.653.0918.064.770.0-
2022/11.53-8.867.561.537.564.820.0-
2021/121.685.0626.118.5113.244.970.0-
2021/111.6-4.7319.5416.8312.14.90.0-
2021/101.684.0715.0715.2211.374.910.0-
2021/91.620.3612.7513.5410.924.590.0-
2021/81.6117.659.111.9310.684.270.0-
2021/71.376.2-4.3110.3210.934.30.0-
2021/61.29-21.76-0.138.9513.714.570.0-
2021/51.650.7823.837.6616.425.040.0-
2021/41.63-7.3627.646.0114.544.590.0-
2021/31.7648.3728.164.3810.324.380.0-
2021/21.19-16.64-16.782.620.853.950.0-
2021/11.436.8422.51.4322.54.10.0-
2020/121.33-0.391.7616.34-0.114.140.0-
2020/111.34-8.295.0315.01-0.284.230.0-
2020/101.461.961.313.67-0.774.370.0-
2020/91.43-2.888.0512.21-1.014.340.0-
2020/81.483.181.2110.78-2.14.20.0-
2020/71.4310.84-2.699.3-2.614.050.0-
2020/61.29-2.98-7.347.87-2.63.90.0-
2020/51.333.88-9.736.58-1.613.990.0-
2020/41.28-6.98-11.075.250.674.090.0-
2020/31.38-3.66-7.993.975.153.970.0-
2020/21.4322.7228.552.5913.793.90.0-
2020/11.16-11.24-0.261.16-0.263.750.0-
2019/121.312.84.316.363.720.0N/A-
2019/111.28-11.542.5515.053.670.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.732023/11.452022/11.532021/11.432020/11.16
2024/21.712023/21.792022/21.552021/21.192020/21.43
2024/32.182023/32.062022/32.122021/31.762020/31.38
2024/42.142023/41.842022/41.872021/41.632020/41.28
2024/52.242023/52.12022/51.832021/51.652020/51.33
2024/62.142023/62.062022/61.832021/61.292020/61.29
2024/72.32023/72.262022/71.942021/71.372020/71.43
2024/82.212023/82.052022/81.92021/81.612020/81.48
2024/92.142023/91.982022/91.972021/91.622020/91.43
2024/102.142023/101.992022/101.832021/101.682020/101.46
N/AN/A2023/111.852022/111.762021/111.62020/111.34
N/AN/A2023/121.852022/121.662021/121.682020/121.33
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 330.82%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)10.982.2316.31
24Q2 (19)10.743.3712.93
24Q1 (18)10.397.5614.05
23Q4 (17)9.662.3315.55
23Q3 (16)9.44-0.7417.85
23Q2 (15)9.514.3923.19
23Q1 (14)9.118.9722.94
22Q4 (13)8.364.3722.4
22Q3 (12)8.013.7619.73
22Q2 (11)7.724.1822.35
22Q1 (10)7.418.4917.06
21Q4 (9)6.832.0913.64
21Q3 (8)6.696.0214.16
21Q2 (7)6.31-0.329.74
21Q1 (6)6.335.3213.24
20Q4 (5)6.012.5616.02
20Q3 (4)5.861.910.0
20Q2 (3)5.752.860.0
20Q1 (2)5.597.920.0
19Q4 (1)5.180.00.0

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