玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/101.04-3.6350.1912.5625.433.37N/A本月營收較去年提高,因訂單增加所致。
2024/91.07-14.9945.0311.5323.63.770.64-
2024/81.26-11.4251.710.4521.754.330.56本月營收較去年提高,因訂單增加所致。
2024/71.43-13.196.749.1918.534.850.5本月營收較去年提高,因訂單增加所致。
2024/61.64-7.9156.537.7610.454.580.55本月營收較去年提高,因訂單增加所致。
2024/51.7853.9162.36.122.364.10.62本月營收較去年提高,因訂單增加所致。
2024/41.160.42-9.844.33-11.133.260.78-
2024/31.1521.86-9.163.18-11.593.180.61-
2024/20.95-11.97-21.72.02-12.922.580.76-
2024/11.0893.86-3.371.08-3.372.290.85-
2023/120.55-15.43-49.5411.22-8.641.90.81-
2023/110.66-4.82-43.510.67-4.622.090.74-
2023/100.69-6.95-37.310.01-0.122.260.68-
2023/90.74-11.08-30.679.324.452.30.44-
2023/80.8314.87-22.018.589.232.610.39-
2023/70.73-30.86-25.057.7514.152.870.36-
2023/61.05-4.52-1.137.0320.663.430.3-
2023/51.1-14.53.085.9825.523.650.28-
2023/41.291.1815.54.8831.993.760.27-
2023/31.275.0431.713.5939.13.590.36-
2023/21.218.6271.092.3243.53.420.38本月營收較去年提高,因訂單增加及去年二月份工作日較今年度為少所致。
2023/11.111.2322.111.1122.113.370.39-
2022/121.1-5.3139.3612.2926.833.360.35-
2022/111.165.6127.6811.1925.723.330.36-
2022/101.12.8828.6710.0325.53.240.37-
2022/91.070.0224.838.9325.123.10.36-
2022/81.0710.425.637.8625.163.10.36-
2022/70.97-8.8-5.786.7925.083.090.36-
2022/61.06-0.4424.565.8232.293.240.46-
2022/51.07-4.237.974.7634.143.140.47-
2022/41.1115.3836.683.733.082.780.54-
2022/30.9636.4429.02.5831.582.580.6-
2022/20.71-22.4654.111.6233.172.410.64本月營收較去年同期增加主係客戶需求增加所致
2022/10.9115.5320.480.9120.482.610.59-
2021/120.79-13.2444.89.6934.462.550.64-
2021/110.916.4372.18.933.612.620.62本月較去年同期增加72.11%,係今年客戶業績回溫,業務維持成長所致
2021/100.85-0.1894.857.9930.32.560.64本月較去年同期增加94.86%,主係去年客戶受疫情影響出貨較少,今年客戶業績回溫,業務持續成長所致
2021/90.860.6630.237.1325.322.730.6-
2021/80.85-17.227.896.2824.682.730.6-
2021/71.0320.5630.325.4324.22.650.61-
2021/60.8510.2716.384.422.852.440.71-
2021/50.77-5.096.883.5524.512.330.75-
2021/40.818.910.832.7830.52.020.86-
2021/30.7562.991.781.9640.871.960.68-
2021/20.46-39.3897.061.2284.451.760.76去年同期因COVID-19疫情影響,以至去年同期營收下降。
2021/10.7638.8677.560.7677.561.830.73去年(109)同期適逢農曆春節,以至去年同期營收偏低 。
2020/120.543.1-8.177.2-10.721.510.56-
2020/110.5320.49-7.616.66-10.931.620.52-
2020/100.44-33.28-25.266.13-11.21.760.48-
2020/90.66-1.13-0.125.69-9.892.110.34-
2020/80.66-15.62-5.815.04-11.032.180.33-
2020/70.797.662.024.37-11.782.240.32-
2020/60.731.27-2.913.58-14.332.190.41-
2020/50.72-1.59-6.782.85-16.842.190.41-
2020/40.730.016.712.13-19.781.70.52-
2020/30.73215.56-11.581.39-29.061.390.7-
2020/20.23-45.38-51.460.66-41.871.250.78因武漢肺炎,影響大陸產能,致使2月出貨遞延。
2020/10.43-28.18-34.850.43-34.851.590.62-
2019/120.593.73-4.998.07-0.240.0N/A-
2019/110.57-2.52-3.247.480.150.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.082023/11.112022/10.912021/10.762020/10.43
2024/20.952023/21.212022/20.712021/20.462020/20.23
2024/31.152023/31.272022/30.962021/30.752020/30.73
2024/41.162023/41.292022/41.112021/40.812020/40.73
2024/51.782023/51.12022/51.072021/50.772020/50.72
2024/61.642023/61.052022/61.062021/60.852020/60.73
2024/71.432023/70.732022/70.972021/71.032020/70.79
2024/81.262023/80.832022/81.072021/80.852020/80.66
2024/91.072023/90.742022/91.072021/90.862020/90.66
2024/101.042023/100.692022/101.12021/100.852020/100.44
N/AN/A2023/110.662022/111.162021/110.912020/110.53
N/AN/A2023/120.552022/121.12021/120.792020/120.54
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.16%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.010.0-75.0
24Q2 (19)0.010.0-95.24
24Q1 (18)0.010-90.0

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