玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1034.14.8-10.05336.5627.296.92N/A-
2024/932.547.43-2.65302.4633.4393.361.82-
2024/830.29-0.831.93269.9339.6790.361.88-
2024/730.543.3834.03239.6446.5392.351.84-
2024/629.54-8.4629.37209.148.56100.291.79-
2024/532.27-16.1231.51179.5652.27110.511.63記憶體價格上漲
2024/438.48-3.280.75147.2957.73111.641.61記憶體價格上漲
2024/339.7519.0156.58108.8150.93108.811.81記憶體價格上漲
2024/233.4-6.3133.9869.0647.86100.511.96-
2024/135.6513.3563.7535.6563.75108.051.82記憶體價格上漲
2023/1231.45-23.1833.51336.98-3.86110.311.360.836.6-
2023/1140.958.056.21305.53-6.55112.281.341.145.76記憶體價格上漲
2023/1037.9113.4339.59264.58-12.02101.051.491.034.63-
2023/933.4212.493.95226.67-17.1485.921.690.933.6-
2023/829.7130.4-1.12193.25-19.9675.331.92-
2023/722.78-0.2-14.55163.54-22.6370.162.07-
2023/622.83-6.95-23.86140.75-23.868.661.67-
2023/524.5415.27-12.53117.92-23.7971.221.61-
2023/421.29-16.15-26.7593.38-26.2871.611.6-
2023/325.391.83-21.9972.09-26.1472.091.01-
2023/224.9314.5-21.7446.7-28.2270.261.04-
2023/121.77-7.57-34.4321.77-34.4371.541.02-
2022/1223.56-10.12-27.89350.52-11.4276.930.81-
2022/1126.21-3.48-26.7326.96-9.9485.520.73-
2022/1027.16-15.52-18.23300.75-8.189.360.7-
2022/932.156.990.37273.59-6.9688.870.77-
2022/830.0512.69-6.62241.44-7.8686.710.78-
2022/726.67-11.08-18.4211.39-8.0384.710.8-
2022/629.996.89-11.4184.72-6.3187.111.03-
2022/528.06-3.47-22.78154.73-5.2589.671.0-
2022/429.07-10.69-19.31126.68-0.2493.470.96-
2022/332.552.16-2.9497.617.3197.611.12-
2022/231.86-4.0713.2965.0713.397.741.12-
2022/133.211.6413.333.2113.3101.641.08-
2021/1232.67-8.6416.79395.7223.36101.650.89-
2021/1135.767.6614.52363.0523.99101.010.9-
2021/1033.223.714.93327.2925.1297.430.93-
2021/932.03-0.470.09294.0726.3896.91.08-
2021/832.18-1.5219.99262.0430.5798.721.06-
2021/732.68-3.4620.32229.8633.37102.871.01-
2021/633.85-6.8322.98197.1734.4106.211.08-
2021/536.340.8639.25163.3237.04105.891.08-
2021/436.027.4274.03126.9936.4297.681.17銷貨增加
2021/333.5319.2515.890.9625.6790.961.12-
2021/228.12-4.0612.2657.4332.2585.41.19-
2021/129.314.7859.529.3159.588.511.15銷貨增加
2020/1227.97-10.4217.09320.7825.5688.10.78-
2020/1131.238.0523.4292.8126.4392.130.75-
2020/1028.9-9.6835.41261.5826.887.720.79-
2020/932.019.352.62232.6825.8185.980.66銷貨增加
2020/826.82-1.2514.82200.6822.3881.510.7-
2020/727.16-1.3231.69172.3322.7380.780.7-
2020/627.535.4941.74146.722.0574.320.75-
2020/526.0926.0544.28119.1718.2675.750.74-
2020/420.7-28.5112.693.0812.5774.70.75-
2020/328.9615.6127.1672.3812.5672.381.1-
2020/225.0536.322.1943.424.5567.311.18-
2020/118.38-23.07-12.6318.38-12.6367.571.17-
2019/1223.89-5.5914.16255.48-19.230.0N/A-
2019/1125.3118.577.64231.59-21.590.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/135.652023/121.772022/133.212021/129.312020/118.38
2024/233.42023/224.932022/231.862021/228.122020/225.05
2024/339.752023/325.392022/332.552021/333.532020/328.96
2024/438.482023/421.292022/429.072021/436.022020/420.7
2024/532.272023/524.542022/528.062021/536.342020/526.09
2024/629.542023/622.832022/629.992021/633.852020/627.53
2024/730.542023/722.782022/726.672021/732.682020/727.16
2024/830.292023/829.712022/830.052021/832.182020/826.82
2024/932.542023/933.422022/932.152021/932.032020/932.0
2024/1034.12023/1037.912022/1027.162021/1033.222020/1028.9
N/AN/A2023/1140.952022/1126.212021/1135.762020/1131.23
N/AN/A2023/1231.452022/1223.562021/1232.672020/1227.97
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 4.73%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)1.4129.51225.58
24Q2 (19)0.61-47.4148.78
24Q1 (18)1.16-3.33146.81
23Q4 (17)1.2179.0715.38
23Q3 (16)0.434.88-10.42
23Q2 (15)0.41-12.77-21.15
23Q1 (14)0.47-54.81-25.4
22Q4 (13)1.04116.67147.62
22Q3 (12)0.48-7.6954.84
22Q2 (11)0.52-17.4633.33
22Q1 (10)0.6350.075.0
21Q4 (9)0.4235.48250.0
21Q3 (8)0.31-20.51-95.1
21Q2 (7)0.398.3395.0
21Q1 (6)0.36200.0157.14
20Q4 (5)0.12-98.133.33
20Q3 (4)6.333065.00.0
20Q2 (3)0.242.860.0
20Q1 (2)0.1455.560.0
19Q4 (1)0.090.00.0

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