- 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
- 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
- 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
- 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
- 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
| 年/月 | 營收 | 月增率(%) | 去年同期年增率(%) | 累計營收 | 累計營收年增率(%) | 近三月累計營收 | 存貨銷售比 | 自結稅前EPS | 自結稅前累計EPS | 備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/10 | 2.74 | 10.79 | 73.43 | 22.77 | -8.57 | 7.18 | N/A | 因歐美降息，市場開始回溫，終端銷售增加，客戶庫存水位降低。 為因應傳統旺季需求，客戶增加訂單出貨量。 | ||
| 2024/9 | 2.47 | 26.0 | 6.5 | 20.03 | -14.13 | 6.44 | 1.35 | - | ||
| 2024/8 | 1.96 | -1.86 | -10.95 | 17.56 | -16.41 | 6.44 | 1.35 | - | ||
| 2024/7 | 2.0 | -19.27 | -9.98 | 15.6 | -17.05 | 6.37 | 1.36 | - | ||
| 2024/6 | 2.48 | 30.73 | 11.04 | 13.6 | -18.0 | 6.61 | 1.21 | - | ||
| 2024/5 | 1.9 | -15.41 | -26.75 | 11.12 | -22.52 | 6.87 | 1.16 | - | ||
| 2024/4 | 2.24 | -18.05 | -22.79 | 9.22 | -21.58 | 7.36 | 1.09 | - | ||
| 2024/3 | 2.73 | 14.46 | 34.27 | 6.98 | -21.19 | 6.98 | 0.95 | - | ||
| 2024/2 | 2.39 | 28.54 | -14.27 | 4.25 | -37.75 | 7.5 | 0.88 | - | ||
| 2024/1 | 1.86 | -42.91 | -53.96 | 1.86 | -53.96 | 7.15 | 0.93 | 去年同期因逢市場需求從高點剛開始下滑，全球出貨量較為平均，本期歐美市場有假期與歐洲海運線受戰爭因素影響交期致使出貨較低。 | ||
| 2023/12 | 3.26 | 60.28 | -17.4 | 30.2 | -55.7 | 6.87 | 0.97 | 12月主要客戶於歐美的出貨較上月有明顯增加，顯見客戶庫存穩健持續改善，惟較去年同期數量相比仍未完全恢復。 | ||
| 2023/11 | 2.03 | 28.54 | -70.15 | 26.94 | -58.05 | 5.93 | 1.12 | 客戶庫存去化速度已加快，原先客戶延遲訂單出貨狀況已逐步改善，且新訂單也陸續增加中。 | ||
| 2023/10 | 1.58 | -31.95 | -80.5 | 24.91 | -56.61 | 6.11 | 1.09 | 去年客戶因H1大缺料而累積的未交訂單集中在9月開始大量出貨,而今年市場需求降低且通路庫存仍未完全消化,使得本年出貨相對較低 | ||
| 2023/9 | 2.32 | 5.35 | -84.42 | 23.33 | -52.68 | 6.75 | 1.3 | 去年客戶因H1大缺料而累積的未交訂單集中在9月開始大量出貨,而今年市場需求降低且通路庫存仍未完全消化,使得本年出貨相對較低 | ||
| 2023/8 | 2.2 | -0.8 | -67.71 | 21.01 | -38.92 | 6.66 | 1.32 | 客戶調整庫存水位，導致本公司出貨遞延 | ||
| 2023/7 | 2.22 | -0.4 | -45.62 | 18.8 | -31.79 | 7.04 | 1.25 | - | ||
| 2023/6 | 2.23 | -13.76 | -57.48 | 16.58 | -29.38 | 7.72 | 0.99 | 出美國最大客戶開始拉貨,但歐洲客群仍消化庫存中 | ||
| 2023/5 | 2.59 | -10.84 | -37.97 | 14.35 | -21.29 | 7.53 | 1.02 | - | ||
| 2023/4 | 2.9 | 42.51 | 29.88 | 11.76 | -16.34 | 7.73 | 0.99 | - | ||
| 2023/3 | 2.04 | -26.92 | -61.93 | 8.86 | -25.07 | 8.86 | 1.42 | 客戶調整庫存水位，導致本公司出貨遞延 | ||
| 2023/2 | 2.79 | -30.96 | 39.2 | 6.82 | 5.37 | 10.77 | 1.17 | - | ||
| 2023/1 | 4.04 | 2.4 | -9.76 | 4.04 | -9.76 | 14.79 | 0.85 | - | ||
| 2022/12 | 3.94 | -42.08 | -40.2 | 68.17 | 45.98 | 18.86 | 0.9 | 貨物塞港，延遲出貨 | ||
| 2022/11 | 6.81 | -16.04 | 188.09 | 64.23 | 60.15 | 29.83 | 0.57 | 產能穩定，出貨順暢 | ||
| 2022/10 | 8.11 | -45.64 | 159.47 | 57.42 | 52.14 | 29.85 | 0.57 | 產能穩定，出貨順暢 | ||
| 2022/9 | 14.92 | 118.41 | 134.59 | 49.31 | 42.45 | 25.83 | 0.75 | 產能穩定，出貨順暢 | ||
| 2022/8 | 6.83 | 67.08 | 52.79 | 34.4 | 21.72 | 16.17 | 1.19 | 疫情趨緩，產能穩定，出貨順暢 | ||
| 2022/7 | 4.09 | -22.12 | 136.26 | 27.57 | 15.89 | 13.51 | 1.43 | 去年同期因疫情影響，營收減少 | ||
| 2022/6 | 5.25 | 25.8 | 29.32 | 23.48 | 6.44 | 11.66 | 1.23 | - | ||
| 2022/5 | 4.17 | 86.69 | 28.93 | 18.23 | 1.29 | 11.76 | 1.22 | - | ||
| 2022/4 | 2.23 | -58.23 | -39.36 | 14.06 | -4.76 | 9.59 | 1.5 | - | ||
| 2022/3 | 5.35 | 167.25 | 34.86 | 11.83 | 6.74 | 11.83 | 1.22 | - | ||
| 2022/2 | 2.0 | -55.24 | -31.35 | 6.48 | -8.94 | 13.07 | 1.11 | - | ||
| 2022/1 | 4.47 | -32.13 | 6.64 | 4.47 | 6.64 | 13.43 | 1.08 | - | ||
| 2021/12 | 6.59 | 179.0 | 34.71 | 46.7 | -8.5 | 12.08 | 1.28 | - | ||
| 2021/11 | 2.36 | -24.38 | -40.28 | 40.1 | -13.09 | 11.85 | 1.31 | - | ||
| 2021/10 | 3.12 | -50.85 | -22.47 | 37.74 | -10.54 | 13.95 | 1.11 | - | ||
| 2021/9 | 6.36 | 42.25 | 18.56 | 34.62 | -9.28 | 12.56 | 1.05 | - | ||
| 2021/8 | 4.47 | 158.36 | -14.33 | 28.26 | -13.83 | 10.26 | 1.28 | - | ||
| 2021/7 | 1.73 | -57.37 | -67.72 | 23.79 | -13.74 | 9.02 | 1.46 | 因供應鏈尚未穩定,導致部分訂單延後出貨 | ||
| 2021/6 | 4.06 | 25.42 | -10.03 | 22.06 | -0.71 | 10.98 | 0.85 | - | ||
| 2021/5 | 3.24 | -12.2 | -21.22 | 18.0 | 1.65 | 10.89 | 0.86 | - | ||
| 2021/4 | 3.69 | -7.1 | -7.65 | 14.76 | 8.56 | 10.57 | 0.88 | - | ||
| 2021/3 | 3.97 | 36.02 | -12.78 | 11.08 | 15.3 | 11.08 | 0.84 | - | ||
| 2021/2 | 2.92 | -30.47 | 7.24 | 7.11 | 40.55 | 12.0 | 0.77 | - | ||
| 2021/1 | 4.19 | -14.27 | 79.26 | 4.19 | 79.26 | 13.05 | 0.71 | 客戶出貨需求 | ||
| 2020/12 | 4.89 | 23.66 | 32.2 | 51.04 | 3.8 | 12.88 | 0.71 | - | ||
| 2020/11 | 3.96 | -1.83 | -5.52 | 46.15 | 1.49 | 13.35 | 0.68 | - | ||
| 2020/10 | 4.03 | -24.83 | -0.12 | 42.19 | 2.2 | 14.61 | 0.62 | - | ||
| 2020/9 | 5.36 | 2.78 | 51.31 | 38.16 | 2.46 | 15.94 | 0.57 | 客戶出貨需求 | ||
| 2020/8 | 5.22 | -2.65 | 36.02 | 32.8 | -2.67 | 15.09 | 0.6 | - | ||
| 2020/7 | 5.36 | 18.81 | 32.1 | 27.58 | -7.64 | 13.98 | 0.65 | - | ||
| 2020/6 | 4.51 | 9.82 | 34.99 | 22.22 | -13.89 | 12.61 | 0.89 | - | ||
| 2020/5 | 4.11 | 2.92 | -3.65 | 17.71 | -21.17 | 12.65 | 0.89 | - | ||
| 2020/4 | 3.99 | -12.26 | -12.85 | 13.6 | -25.27 | 11.26 | 0.99 | - | ||
| 2020/3 | 4.55 | 67.26 | -14.76 | 9.61 | -29.45 | 9.61 | 0.98 | - | ||
| 2020/2 | 2.72 | 16.21 | -11.63 | 5.06 | -38.91 | 8.76 | 1.07 | - | ||
| 2020/1 | 2.34 | -36.77 | -55.04 | 2.34 | -55.04 | 10.23 | 0.92 | 受春節及新冠狀病毒的影響 | ||
| 2019/12 | 3.7 | -11.62 | -39.9 | 49.17 | -4.24 | 0.0 | N/A | - | ||
| 2019/11 | 4.19 | 3.77 | -2.62 | 45.46 | 0.61 | 0.0 | N/A | - |
| 年/月 | 營收 | 年/月 | 營收 | 年/月 | 營收 | 年/月 | 營收 | 年/月 | 營收 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/1 | 1.86 | 2023/1 | 4.04 | 2022/1 | 4.47 | 2021/1 | 4.19 | 2020/1 | 2.34 |
| 2024/2 | 2.39 | 2023/2 | 2.79 | 2022/2 | 2.0 | 2021/2 | 2.92 | 2020/2 | 2.72 |
| 2024/3 | 2.73 | 2023/3 | 2.04 | 2022/3 | 5.35 | 2021/3 | 3.97 | 2020/3 | 4.55 |
| 2024/4 | 2.24 | 2023/4 | 2.9 | 2022/4 | 2.23 | 2021/4 | 3.69 | 2020/4 | 3.99 |
| 2024/5 | 1.9 | 2023/5 | 2.59 | 2022/5 | 4.17 | 2021/5 | 3.24 | 2020/5 | 4.11 |
| 2024/6 | 2.48 | 2023/6 | 2.23 | 2022/6 | 5.25 | 2021/6 | 4.06 | 2020/6 | 4.51 |
| 2024/7 | 2.0 | 2023/7 | 2.22 | 2022/7 | 4.09 | 2021/7 | 1.73 | 2020/7 | 5.36 |
| 2024/8 | 1.96 | 2023/8 | 2.2 | 2022/8 | 6.83 | 2021/8 | 4.47 | 2020/8 | 5.22 |
| 2024/9 | 2.47 | 2023/9 | 2.32 | 2022/9 | 14.92 | 2021/9 | 6.36 | 2020/9 | 5.36 |
| 2024/10 | 2.74 | 2023/10 | 1.58 | 2022/10 | 8.11 | 2021/10 | 3.12 | 2020/10 | 4.03 |
| N/A | N/A | 2023/11 | 2.03 | 2022/11 | 6.81 | 2021/11 | 2.36 | 2020/11 | 3.96 |
| N/A | N/A | 2023/12 | 3.26 | 2022/12 | 3.94 | 2021/12 | 6.59 | 2020/12 | 4.89 |
- 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
| 合約負債 QoQ YoY | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 24Q3 (20) | 0.16 | -68.63 | 128.57 |
| 24Q2 (19) | 0.51 | 82.14 | 920.0 |
| 24Q1 (18) | 0.28 | -6.67 | 47.37 |
| 23Q4 (17) | 0.3 | 328.57 | 7.14 |
| 23Q3 (16) | 0.07 | 40.0 | -76.67 |
| 23Q2 (15) | 0.05 | -73.68 | -61.54 |
| 23Q1 (14) | 0.19 | -32.14 | -24.0 |
| 22Q4 (13) | 0.28 | -6.67 | 55.56 |
| 22Q3 (12) | 0.3 | 130.77 | 650.0 |
| 22Q2 (11) | 0.13 | -48.0 | 160.0 |
| 22Q1 (10) | 0.25 | 38.89 | 177.78 |
| 21Q4 (9) | 0.18 | 350.0 | 100.0 |
| 21Q3 (8) | 0.04 | -20.0 | -63.64 |
| 21Q2 (7) | 0.05 | -44.44 | -50.0 |
| 21Q1 (6) | 0.09 | 0.0 | 125.0 |
| 20Q4 (5) | 0.09 | -18.18 | 80.0 |
| 20Q3 (4) | 0.11 | 10.0 | 0.0 |
| 20Q2 (3) | 0.1 | 150.0 | 0.0 |
| 20Q1 (2) | 0.04 | -20.0 | 0.0 |
| 19Q4 (1) | 0.05 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
