玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/107.05-7.750.5565.5728.0922.46N/A銷售量增加及原料價格上漲
2024/97.64-1.540.1858.5125.8322.910.69-
2024/87.763.3643.1750.8723.9222.360.71-
2024/77.515.8742.9943.1120.9921.750.73-
2024/67.09-0.9332.1835.617.1920.610.71-
2024/57.1612.4836.4928.5113.9818.730.78-
2024/46.3622.224.3421.368.0115.850.93-
2024/35.2121.55-0.7614.992.3114.990.75-
2024/24.28-22.15-11.369.794.0314.620.77-
2024/15.513.7620.35.520.315.450.73-
2023/124.84-5.26-12.2661.13-28.9714.630.94-
2023/115.118.98-8.9756.29-30.1215.240.91-
2023/104.68-14.06-12.3451.19-31.715.560.89-
2023/95.450.59-12.5146.5-33.1916.120.81-
2023/85.423.23-15.6841.05-35.2216.030.81-
2023/75.25-2.13-21.6635.63-37.4315.860.82-
2023/65.362.29-26.430.38-39.5315.730.78-
2023/55.242.47-31.0825.02-41.7615.610.79-
2023/45.12-2.47-41.9119.77-44.0615.20.81純錫金屬價格下跌所致
2023/35.258.56-40.1214.65-44.7714.650.88-
2023/24.835.66-44.769.41-47.0614.920.86-
2023/14.57-17.03-49.294.57-49.2915.70.82-
2022/125.51-1.7-35.2486.075.3416.470.89-
2022/115.614.95-34.0580.5610.0617.190.85-
2022/105.34-14.23-29.4574.9515.8618.00.81-
2022/96.23-3.04-22.7669.6121.8719.360.83-
2022/86.43-4.08-9.5963.3729.2120.420.79-
2022/76.7-8.054.4456.9535.7921.60.75-
2022/67.29-4.213.4150.2441.4623.710.87-
2022/57.61-13.6314.8342.9647.6525.180.82-
2022/48.810.5365.2835.3557.3326.330.78因出貨量成長
2022/38.760.1453.1326.5454.8626.540.71因出貨量成長
2022/28.75-3.074.6717.7755.7326.290.71因出貨量成長
2022/19.025.9640.99.0240.926.040.72-
2021/128.510.146.581.7154.7224.60.63因出貨量成長
2021/118.5112.2669.4173.1955.7424.150.64因出貨量成長
2021/107.58-6.148.7764.6954.122.750.68因出貨量成長
2021/98.0713.4833.5857.1154.8421.590.68因出貨量成長及金屬價格上揚
2021/87.1110.855.2149.0459.019.950.74因出貨量成長及金屬價格上揚
2021/76.42-0.1644.7841.9359.6619.470.76因出貨量成長及金屬價格上揚
2021/66.43-3.063.6335.5262.6818.380.82因出貨量成長及金屬價格上揚
2021/56.6324.358.1329.0962.4817.680.85因出貨量成長及金屬價格上揚
2021/45.33-6.8526.6922.4763.816.060.94因出貨量成長及金屬價格上揚
2021/35.7214.2382.1517.1480.2317.140.79因出貨量成長及金屬價格上揚
2021/25.01-21.7584.0811.4179.2817.220.78因出貨量成長及金屬價格上揚
2021/16.410.1675.696.475.6917.240.78因出貨量成長及金屬價格上揚
2020/125.8115.7625.5452.811.2315.920.78-
2020/115.02-1.4112.4847.0-1.1316.150.77-
2020/105.09-15.6911.8841.98-2.5415.710.79-
2020/96.0431.8633.2536.88-4.2415.050.74-
2020/84.583.355.2830.84-9.2412.940.86-
2020/74.4312.84-0.9226.26-11.3812.550.89-
2020/63.93-6.27-11.2321.83-13.2412.320.92-
2020/54.19-0.4-7.0517.9-13.6611.540.99-
2020/44.2133.9111.9213.71-15.510.071.13-
2020/33.1415.44-28.549.51-23.779.511.33-
2020/22.72-25.31-12.886.37-21.1710.991.15-
2020/13.64-21.28-26.413.64-26.4112.740.99-
2019/124.633.7110.5652.16-4.780.0N/A-
2019/114.46-1.932.3847.53-6.050.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/15.52023/14.572022/19.022021/16.42020/13.64
2024/24.282023/24.832022/28.752021/25.012020/22.72
2024/35.212023/35.252022/38.762021/35.722020/33.14
2024/46.362023/45.122022/48.812021/45.332020/44.21
2024/57.162023/55.242022/57.612021/56.632020/54.19
2024/67.092023/65.362022/67.292021/66.432020/63.93
2024/77.512023/75.252022/76.72021/76.422020/74.43
2024/87.762023/85.422022/86.432021/87.112020/84.58
2024/97.642023/95.452022/96.232021/98.072020/96.04
2024/107.052023/104.682022/105.342021/107.582020/105.09
N/AN/A2023/115.112022/115.612021/118.512020/115.02
N/AN/A2023/124.842022/125.512021/128.512020/125.81
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.67%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.09-18.180
24Q2 (19)0.11-31.2583.33
24Q1 (18)0.16128.57100.0
23Q4 (17)0.070-69.57

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