玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/103.150.0266.325.3416.248.09N/A自113年度起新增合併子公司 TL Electronic GmbH及本月出貨增加
2024/92.06-29.56-5.0722.2411.567.840.63自113年度起新增合併子公司 TL Electronic GmbH
2024/82.933.0336.8620.1813.67.920.62自113年度起新增合併子公司 TL Electronic GmbH
2024/72.8432.6614.8617.2510.417.460.66自113年度起新增合併子公司 TL Electronic GmbH
2024/62.14-13.38-10.3314.49.577.40.71自113年度起新增合併子公司 TL Electronic GmbH
2024/52.47-11.1329.6312.2614.07.860.67自113年度起新增合併子公司 TL Electronic GmbH
2024/42.787.027.699.7910.637.480.7自113年度起新增合併子公司 TL Electronic GmbH
2024/32.624.54-1.327.011.847.00.74自113年度起新增合併子公司 TL Electronic GmbH
2024/22.09-9.5919.864.421.426.670.77-
2024/12.311.7122.862.3122.866.50.8自113年度起新增合併子公司 TL Electronic GmbH
2023/122.2718.56-8.6725.99-2.286.050.8-
2023/111.922.93-24.823.71-1.625.950.81-
2023/101.86-14.37-5.5521.81.116.180.78-
2023/92.171.55-19.7119.941.786.790.73-
2023/82.14-13.52-17.5317.765.237.010.71-
2023/72.483.566.015.629.376.770.74-
2023/62.3925.2215.5313.1510.036.880.82-
2023/51.91-26.17-7.2110.758.887.130.79-
2023/42.59-1.9433.058.8513.116.970.81-
2023/32.6451.28-7.636.266.526.260.94-
2023/21.74-7.3337.463.6219.896.110.96-
2023/11.88-24.397.191.887.196.920.85-
2022/122.49-2.373.1626.596.37.010.91-
2022/112.5529.2827.424.116.637.230.88-
2022/101.97-27.218.5121.564.627.280.87-
2022/92.714.36.8319.594.247.640.83-
2022/82.611.168.0616.883.847.00.9-
2022/72.3412.8823.3714.283.16.460.98-
2022/62.070.5711.9311.95-0.16.071.15-
2022/52.065.86-18.769.88-2.36.861.01-
2022/41.94-31.9312.267.823.196.071.15-
2022/32.85125.1635.185.880.515.881.1-
2022/21.27-27.74-28.563.02-19.085.431.19-
2022/11.75-27.23-10.51.75-10.56.171.04-
2021/122.4120.5633.9425.0235.486.230.96-
2021/112.010.1111.1122.635.656.350.94-
2021/101.82-28.34-13.1320.638.626.750.89-
2021/92.535.5117.6118.7947.096.830.81-
2021/82.426.928.1716.2553.086.140.9出貨增加
2021/71.892.4123.8113.8558.426.270.88出貨增加
2021/61.85-27.0140.9511.9665.756.110.8出貨增加
2021/52.5346.3114.210.1171.266.370.77出貨增加
2021/41.73-18.0341.737.5860.515.620.87出貨增加
2021/32.1118.9858.525.8567.065.850.77出貨增加
2021/21.77-9.4753.573.7472.315.540.81出貨增加
2021/11.968.8993.71.9693.75.560.81出貨增加
2020/121.80.0123.0118.4610.815.690.78-
2020/111.8-13.9136.5816.669.646.050.73-
2020/102.09-2.9762.4714.867.086.120.72出貨增加
2020/92.1614.9834.7512.771.425.560.76出貨增加
2020/81.8722.5951.3410.62-3.424.710.9專案客戶出貨所致
2020/71.5316.5919.698.74-10.374.021.05-
2020/61.3110.91-4.717.21-14.93.711.01-
2020/51.18-3.19-24.995.9-16.873.741.01-
2020/41.22-8.32-19.254.72-14.563.711.02-
2020/31.3315.27-1.453.5-12.793.50.82-
2020/21.1614.17-2.882.17-18.553.630.79-
2020/11.01-30.84-31.221.01-31.223.790.75-
2019/121.4611.04-7.1716.666.450.0N/A-
2019/111.322.4-0.4515.27.980.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/12.312023/11.882022/11.752021/11.962020/11.01
2024/22.092023/21.742022/21.272021/21.772020/21.16
2024/32.62023/32.642022/32.852021/32.112020/31.33
2024/42.782023/42.592022/41.942021/41.732020/41.22
2024/52.472023/51.912022/52.062021/52.532020/51.18
2024/62.142023/62.392022/62.072021/61.852020/61.31
2024/72.842023/72.482022/72.342021/71.892020/71.53
2024/82.932023/82.142022/82.62021/82.42020/81.87
2024/92.062023/92.172022/92.712021/92.532020/92.16
2024/103.12023/101.862022/101.972021/101.822020/102.09
N/AN/A2023/111.922022/112.552021/112.02020/111.8
N/AN/A2023/122.272022/122.492021/122.412020/121.8
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 7.4%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.593.5122.92
24Q2 (19)0.5735.7154.05
24Q1 (18)0.42-2.33-10.64
23Q4 (17)0.43-10.42-6.52
23Q3 (16)0.4829.73-14.29
23Q2 (15)0.37-21.28-43.94
23Q1 (14)0.472.17-18.97
22Q4 (13)0.46-17.86-14.81
22Q3 (12)0.56-15.1516.67
22Q2 (11)0.6613.7911.86
22Q1 (10)0.587.4152.63
21Q4 (9)0.5412.58.0
21Q3 (8)0.48-18.6460.0
21Q2 (7)0.5955.26126.92
21Q1 (6)0.38-24.035.71
20Q4 (5)0.566.670
20Q3 (4)0.315.380.0
20Q2 (3)0.26-7.140.0
20Q1 (2)0.2800.0

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