玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.5-14.6442.425.9711.91.57N/A-
2024/90.5922.4928.375.479.741.51.17-
2024/80.4811.78-24.734.887.851.711.02-
2024/70.43-46.1215.064.413.212.00.88-
2024/60.83.76-2.613.9713.011.950.79-
2024/50.77100.49-1.463.1717.761.90.81-
2024/40.38-48.45-11.582.425.61.80.85-
2024/30.7410.06-1.732.0236.492.020.77-
2024/20.6812.455.461.2876.491.810.86客戶訂單需求增加
2024/10.612.72108.140.6108.141.541.0客戶訂單需求增加
2023/120.5330.1850.166.28-17.911.31.2客戶訂單需求增加
2023/110.4116.16-9.245.74-21.221.221.27-
2023/100.35-23.06-37.045.34-22.011.451.07-
2023/90.46-28.17-51.834.98-20.671.471.1面臨客戶同步去化庫存的壓力,出貨量較去年同期下修。
2023/80.6470.8914.924.52-15.111.830.89-
2023/70.37-54.4-29.483.89-18.61.970.82-
2023/60.824.9910.423.51-17.252.030.73-
2023/50.7879.887.582.69-23.11.970.76-
2023/40.43-42.71-31.211.91-31.111.630.92-
2023/30.7674.13-33.161.48-31.081.481.28-
2023/20.4350.49-9.790.72-28.771.081.76-
2023/10.29-18.67-45.90.29-45.91.11.73-
2022/120.36-21.32-63.147.65-4.271.371.41面臨客戶同步去化庫存的壓力,出貨量較去年同期下修。
2022/110.45-19.4-12.667.293.791.960.98-
2022/100.56-41.15-10.756.845.092.070.93-
2022/90.9571.382.466.286.792.041.02-
2022/80.564.850.645.337.61.831.13-
2022/70.53-28.597.664.778.472.01.04-
2022/60.742.3-0.284.248.572.10.86-
2022/50.7215.0-12.033.510.652.490.72-
2022/40.63-44.332.972.7818.642.240.8-
2022/31.13135.0266.392.1524.182.150.94因客戶需求同步強勁,營業額比去年同期大增66.4%。
2022/20.48-9.741.331.02-3.191.981.02-
2022/10.53-44.59-6.940.53-6.942.011.0-
2021/120.9686.4217.297.9953.12.110.87因歐美疫情趨緩,市場需求逐恢復正常所致
2021/110.52-17.6311.37.0359.792.070.89因歐美疫情趨緩,市場需求逐恢復正常所致
2021/100.63-32.4354.26.5165.512.110.87因歐美疫情趨緩,市場需求逐漸恢復正常所致
2021/90.9368.3361.245.8866.821.970.9因歐美疫情趨緩,市場需求逐漸恢復正常所致
2021/80.5512.1785.134.9567.911.791.0因歐美疫情趨緩,市場需求逐漸恢復正常所致
2021/70.49-33.8637.274.465.972.060.86因歐美疫情趨緩,市場需求逐漸恢復正常所致
2021/60.74-9.75102.373.9170.452.180.82因歐美疫情趨緩,市場需求逐漸恢復正常所致。
2021/50.8234.63151.23.1764.362.120.85因歐美疫情趨緩,市場需求逐漸恢復正常所致。
2021/40.61-10.0584.762.3446.541.771.01主係新冠肺炎影響趨緩,市場需求逐漸恢復正常所致。
2021/30.6843.1320.841.7336.541.731.0-
2021/20.48-17.1219.131.0549.111.870.92-
2021/10.57-30.1688.420.5788.421.860.93主係新冠肺炎影響趨緩,市場需求逐漸恢復正常所致。
2020/120.8276.91-6.565.22-24.751.690.88-
2020/110.4614.11-11.534.4-27.391.451.03-
2020/100.41-29.34-4.153.93-28.91.281.16-
2020/90.5893.27-6.273.53-30.961.231.11-
2020/80.3-16.82-31.952.95-34.331.021.34-
2020/70.36-2.5-31.232.65-34.591.051.3-
2020/60.3712.02-44.342.29-35.081.031.48-
2020/50.33-0.97-41.571.93-32.961.221.24-
2020/40.33-41.17-37.821.6-30.861.291.18-
2020/30.5641.111.191.27-28.781.271.27-
2020/20.431.07-27.730.7-42.431.581.02-
2020/10.3-65.36-54.550.3-54.551.710.94客戶調整庫存延遲出貨,新產品出貨不順暢及工作天數因農曆新年減少
2019/120.8867.4914.266.94-5.470.0N/A-
2019/110.5223.63-29.736.06-7.780.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.62023/10.292022/10.532021/10.572020/10.3
2024/20.682023/20.432022/20.482021/20.482020/20.4
2024/30.742023/30.762022/31.132021/30.682020/30.56
2024/40.382023/40.432022/40.632021/40.612020/40.33
2024/50.772023/50.782022/50.722021/50.822020/50.33
2024/60.82023/60.822022/60.742021/60.742020/60.37
2024/70.432023/70.372022/70.532021/70.492020/70.36
2024/80.482023/80.642022/80.562021/80.552020/80.3
2024/90.592023/90.462022/90.952021/90.932020/90.58
2024/100.52023/100.352022/100.562021/100.632020/100.41
N/AN/A2023/110.412022/110.452021/110.522020/110.46
N/AN/A2023/120.532022/120.362021/120.962020/120.82
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季
合約負債 QoQ YoY

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