玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/107.3712.3612.6858.93-25.9220.58N/A-
2024/96.56-1.5415.1451.57-29.3818.940.88-
2024/86.6616.36-7.7745.01-33.1518.260.91-
2024/75.72-2.67-44.1438.35-36.1917.070.97-
2024/65.887.59-28.3332.63-34.5616.80.82-
2024/55.460.2-37.2726.75-35.7917.180.8-
2024/45.45-12.87-37.2821.29-35.415.840.87-
2024/36.2651.48-11.6415.83-34.7315.830.88-
2024/24.13-24.07-52.349.57-44.2516.510.84主因受整體市場影響,客戶的需求動態調整,出現需求遞延情形
2024/15.44-21.52-35.995.44-35.9917.50.79-
2023/126.9435.27-37.5691.62-7.8918.60.81-
2023/115.13-21.57-55.684.69-4.1617.360.87主因受整體市場影響,客戶的需求動態調整,出現需求遞延情形
2023/106.5414.82-42.1879.563.5619.450.78-
2023/95.69-21.14-28.4573.0211.4523.160.71-
2023/87.22-29.51-21.6567.3316.9725.670.64-
2023/710.2424.8720.560.1124.3327.160.61-
2023/68.2-5.836.1449.8725.1525.610.83-
2023/58.710.1938.0541.6629.7224.490.87-
2023/48.6922.7322.332.9527.6924.450.87-
2023/37.08-18.3-0.5724.2629.7324.261.03-
2023/28.671.9739.1217.1748.428.280.89-
2023/18.5-23.4459.238.559.2331.160.8本公司因客戶訂單增加,故本月營收較去年同期成長達59.24%
2022/1211.11-3.8291.4399.4882.4833.960.78本公司因客戶訂單增加,故本月營收較去年同期成長達91.44%;本年營收較去年同期成長達82.48%
2022/1111.552.14158.488.3781.4130.810.86本公司因客戶訂單增加,故本月營收較去年同期成長達158.41%;本年營收較去年同期成長達81.41%
2022/1011.3142.09193.9276.8273.6328.480.94本公司因客戶訂單增加,故本月營收較去年同期成長達193.92%;本年營收較去年同期成長達73.64%
2022/97.96-13.6595.3965.5262.1825.670.95本公司因客戶訂單增加,故本月營收較去年同期成長達95.4%;本年營收較去年同期成長達62.18%
2022/89.228.4121.2157.5658.4525.440.96本公司因客戶訂單增加,故本月營收較去年同期成長達121.21%;本年營收較去年同期成長達58.46%
2022/78.59.99107.4848.3550.3322.541.09因出貨量成長,故本月營收較去年同期成長達107.48%;本年營收較去年同期成長達50.33%
2022/67.7322.4644.4739.8541.9821.151.2-
2022/56.31-11.2321.0732.1241.420.541.24-
2022/47.11-0.2251.6125.8147.4520.471.24因出貨量成長,故本月營收較去年同期成長達51.61%
2022/37.1314.3150.0518.745.9318.71.25因出貨量成長,故本月營收較去年同期成長達50.06%
2022/26.2316.7258.1511.5743.517.371.34因出貨量成長,故本月營收較去年同期成長達58.15%
2022/15.34-7.9629.495.3429.4915.611.49-
2021/125.829.8225.3954.52-1.6714.121.52-
2021/114.4716.1819.4948.71-4.1312.391.73-
2021/103.85-5.53-3.7244.24-6.0112.081.77-
2021/94.07-2.247.8440.4-6.2212.341.39-
2021/84.171.67-7.9336.33-7.5813.611.26-
2021/74.1-23.4-17.532.16-7.5314.661.17-
2021/65.352.6312.8228.06-5.8715.250.94-
2021/55.2111.1512.222.71-9.414.650.97-
2021/44.69-1.241.1517.5-14.3213.381.07-
2021/34.7520.48-19.4112.81-18.8612.810.97-
2021/23.94-4.42-20.768.06-18.5312.690.98-
2021/14.12-10.88-16.294.12-16.2912.491.0-
2020/124.6323.717.1955.44-15.6512.360.87-
2020/113.74-6.39-12.0650.82-17.2611.510.93-
2020/104.05.8-18.8347.08-17.6412.30.87-
2020/93.78-16.54-23.943.08-17.5313.270.9-
2020/84.52-8.89-21.239.31-16.8614.230.84-
2020/74.974.75-2.2334.78-16.2614.350.83-
2020/64.742.06-22.1729.81-18.2214.020.97-
2020/54.650.2-29.4325.07-17.4315.170.9-
2020/44.64-21.33-30.4220.43-14.1115.50.88-
2020/35.8918.47-6.6915.79-7.7615.790.88-
2020/24.970.9613.49.9-8.3814.220.97-
2020/14.9314.12-23.274.93-23.2713.51.03-
2019/124.321.48-11.9765.7425.540.0N/A-
2019/114.25-13.59-15.3161.4229.420.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/15.442023/18.52022/15.342021/14.122020/14.93
2024/24.132023/28.672022/26.232021/23.942020/24.97
2024/36.262023/37.082022/37.132021/34.752020/35.89
2024/45.452023/48.692022/47.112021/44.692020/44.64
2024/55.462023/58.712022/56.312021/55.212020/54.65
2024/65.882023/68.22022/67.732021/65.352020/64.74
2024/75.722023/710.242022/78.52021/74.12020/74.97
2024/86.662023/87.222022/89.222021/84.172020/84.52
2024/96.562023/95.692022/97.962021/94.072020/93.78
2024/107.372023/106.542022/1011.312021/103.852020/104.0
N/AN/A2023/115.132022/1111.552021/114.472020/113.74
N/AN/A2023/126.942022/1211.112021/125.82020/124.63
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 4.51%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.3956.0-50.0
24Q2 (19)0.25-46.81-19.35
24Q1 (18)0.47-29.85-39.74
23Q4 (17)0.67-14.1-72.08
23Q3 (16)0.78151.6190.24
23Q2 (15)0.31-60.26-16.22
23Q1 (14)0.78-67.565.96
22Q4 (13)2.4485.37263.64
22Q3 (12)0.4110.8146.43
22Q2 (11)0.37-21.2832.14
22Q1 (10)0.47-28.79-62.7
21Q4 (9)0.66135.7111.86
21Q3 (8)0.280.0-59.42
21Q2 (7)0.28-77.780
21Q1 (6)1.26113.560
20Q4 (5)0.59-14.490
20Q3 (4)0.6900.0

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