玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/101.89-11.6468.5219.148.146.04N/A因應市場需求,低軌衛星客戶出貨增加,推動本月營收大幅上升。
2024/92.146.1976.7817.2146.26.40.31因應市場需求,低軌衛星客戶出貨增加,推動本月營收大幅上升。
2024/82.01-10.3580.3915.0742.76.40.31因應市場需求,低軌衛星客戶出貨增加,推動本月營收大幅上升。
2024/72.255.0957.0213.0638.256.50.31低軌衛星產業需求持續增長,對相關客戶出貨增加,推動本月營收大幅上升。
2024/62.140.94105.3710.8134.96.480.31因應市場需求,低軌衛星客戶出貨增加,推動本月營收大幅上升。
2024/52.12-4.8674.558.6824.396.190.33因應市場需求,低軌衛星客戶出貨增加,推動本月營收大幅上升。
2024/42.2320.4547.126.5613.845.080.4-
2024/31.8583.262.314.342.04.340.42-
2024/21.01-31.93-21.342.491.773.970.46-
2024/11.48-0.0527.241.4827.244.440.41-
2023/121.480.264.6415.85-13.734.080.39-
2023/111.4831.8520.2214.37-15.273.810.42-
2023/101.12-7.31-23.4512.89-18.043.450.47-
2023/91.218.36-20.5111.77-17.493.760.46-
2023/81.12-21.96-35.7910.56-17.133.590.49-
2023/71.4337.45-21.379.45-14.183.680.47-
2023/61.04-14.2-50.818.02-12.753.770.56主係因客戶提前盤點而出貨時程遞延及子公司芮特-KY客戶庫存調整等影響,致單月營收減幅較大。
2023/51.21-19.81-29.956.98-1.384.530.46-
2023/41.51-16.2362.125.767.884.60.46去年同期(111年4月)因昆山防疫停工影響,致子公司芮特科技出貨金額減少,故兩期金額差異較大。
2023/31.8140.880.064.25-3.594.250.45-
2023/21.2810.113.822.45-6.123.860.5-
2023/11.16-17.8-21.311.16-21.313.810.5-
2022/121.4215.19-9.5718.384.54.110.57-
2022/111.23-16.04-31.9216.965.884.210.56因子公司芮特-KY客戶出貨遞延同步影響本月營收金額,預期12月出貨即可恢復正常規模。
2022/101.46-3.76-13.4115.7310.684.720.5-
2022/91.52-12.46-3.2314.2713.945.080.5-
2022/81.74-4.4314.9612.7516.45.670.44-
2022/71.82-14.016.8611.0116.645.670.44-
2022/62.1222.1754.469.1918.794.780.59營收較去年同期成長54.4%,5G回傳元件增1830萬YoY+33%,射頻元件增2400萬YoY+34%,衛星元件增3200萬(6月營收突破4300萬)YoY+292%
2022/51.7385.625.647.0711.124.470.64-
2022/40.93-48.3-29.695.347.13.860.74本月因子公司芮特科技受昆山防疫停工影響出貨金額減少,此單月遞延已近全面復工,未來將加班產出,接單順暢下預期全年度影響不大
2022/31.860.2729.124.4120.444.410.67-
2022/21.13-23.8826.512.615.084.170.71-
2022/11.48-5.397.681.487.684.850.61-
2021/121.56-13.47.0117.5818.675.070.57-
2021/111.816.0846.5816.0219.955.070.57-
2021/101.79.0341.5414.2117.244.780.61-
2021/91.563.2523.1912.5114.564.780.49-
2021/81.51-11.1731.5810.9513.434.580.51-
2021/71.724.2715.669.4410.984.450.52-
2021/61.37-0.65.797.7410.04.070.56-
2021/51.383.85-11.46.3710.954.10.56-
2021/41.33-5.04-6.934.9919.273.610.63-
2021/31.457.0220.633.6632.823.660.55-
2021/20.89-35.2148.482.2641.653.720.54-
2021/11.37-5.9837.551.3737.554.070.49-
2020/121.4618.6142.0814.81-15.543.90.54-
2020/111.232.42-0.1913.35-19.123.70.57-
2020/101.2-5.15.3312.12-20.653.620.58-
2020/91.2710.28-5.5910.92-22.753.890.55-
2020/81.15-21.92-11.529.65-24.553.920.55-
2020/71.4713.67-4.688.5-26.034.320.5-
2020/61.29-16.76-19.057.03-29.344.280.54-
2020/51.569.09-17.735.74-31.314.140.56-
2020/41.4323.09-27.364.18-35.283.180.73-
2020/31.1693.26-37.722.76-38.742.760.78-
2020/20.6-39.98-41.261.6-39.452.630.82-
2020/11.0-2.89-38.321.0-38.323.260.66-
2019/121.03-16.68-22.7417.54-0.140.0N/A-
2019/111.238.1-13.0616.511.70.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.482023/11.162022/11.482021/11.372020/11.0
2024/21.012023/21.282022/21.132021/20.892020/20.6
2024/31.852023/31.812022/31.82021/31.42020/31.16
2024/42.232023/41.512022/40.932021/41.332020/41.43
2024/52.122023/51.212022/51.732021/51.382020/51.56
2024/62.142023/61.042022/62.122021/61.372020/61.29
2024/72.252023/71.432022/71.822021/71.72020/71.47
2024/82.012023/81.122022/81.742021/81.512020/81.15
2024/92.142023/91.212022/91.522021/91.562020/91.27
2024/101.892023/101.122022/101.462021/101.72020/101.2
N/AN/A2023/111.482022/111.232021/111.812020/111.23
N/AN/A2023/121.482022/121.422021/121.562020/121.46
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.94%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.0650.0-14.29
24Q2 (19)0.040.0-20.0
24Q1 (18)0.040.0-20.0
23Q4 (17)0.04-42.86-42.86
23Q3 (16)0.0740.040.0
23Q2 (15)0.050.0-78.26
23Q1 (14)0.05-28.570.0
22Q4 (13)0.0740.016.67
22Q3 (12)0.05-78.2666.67
22Q2 (11)0.23360.0475.0
22Q1 (10)0.05-16.6725.0
21Q4 (9)0.06100.050.0
21Q3 (8)0.03-25.0-25.0
21Q2 (7)0.040.00
21Q1 (6)0.040.00
20Q4 (5)0.040.00.0
20Q3 (4)0.0400.0

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