玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 收帳和銷貨天數如果一直上升, 就要當心了!
  • 存貨在不同時期有不同的意義, 像是滯銷, 或是因為報價回升而屯貨, 或是積極備料, 這都需要去看存貨細項和判斷當時的情況來分辨
  • 當存貨增加時, 還需要注意增加的是不是商品或製成品. 如果是在製品或原物料, 反而有可能是供給不順沒法變製成品又或者是需求旺盛(短期營收趨勢向上)
  • 處在景氣下行的公司當存貨細項-原料和在製品的回升可能代表訂單開始回溫了
  • 當記憶體模組廠, 像是威剛、十銓存貨增加時, 有可能是在增加低價庫存, 代表著景氣循環來到相對低點, 也許就是建立部位的好時機
  • 當存貨提列減損損失,虧損認列在該年度,但是存貨價格回升後,之後年度也會直接回沖增加EPS,這種情況很容易在記憶體模組廠見到
  • 存貨一直增加,但是存貨銷售比沒什麼改變,可以推測是公司因為銷售良好而準備的存貨
  • 當淨營業週期(日)接近於0, 代表公司好像在做無本生意
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近20季
存貨銷售比
近3年股價
應收帳款周轉率 QoQ YoY存貨周轉率 QoQ YoY平均收帳天數 QoQ YoY平圴銷貨天數 QoQ YoY應付帳款付現天數 QoQ YoY淨營業週期(日) QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)1.2522.5535.871.7253.5744.5472.87-18.07-26.3952.86-35.16-30.8957.09-13.088.8968.64-34.5-44.23
24Q2 (19)1.024.0825.931.120.92.7588.94-4.5-20.8481.52-0.94-2.4665.6816.0820.47104.79-11.82-25.9
24Q1 (18)0.9815.293.161.1119.35-12.693.13-12.64-2.782.29-15.514.4756.58-19.2513.82118.84-11.260.81
23Q4 (17)0.85-7.61-23.420.93-21.85-26.19106.607.6829.5997.3927.3234.4870.0733.6422.71133.928.8237.24
23Q3 (16)0.9213.58-22.691.199.17-0.8399.00-11.8929.4376.49-8.481.2252.43-3.83-14.98123.07-12.9836.14
23Q2 (15)0.81-14.74-30.171.09-14.175.83112.3617.443.2483.5816.26-5.2454.529.68-24.27141.4219.9649.41
23Q1 (14)0.95-14.41-21.491.270.7918.6995.7116.3527.171.89-0.73-15.149.71-12.94-28.57117.8920.8130.42
22Q4 (13)1.11-6.720.911.265.014.5582.267.54-0.4772.42-4.17-12.3657.10-7.41-13.7797.587.94-1.5
22Q3 (12)1.192.59-9.161.2016.5-1.6476.49-2.499.875.57-14.321.0761.67-14.341.5390.40-4.498.02
22Q2 (11)1.16-4.13-34.091.03-3.74-30.8778.444.1752.188.204.1644.4571.993.4546.9894.654.7148.7
22Q1 (10)1.2110.017.481.07-2.73-10.0875.30-8.89-14.8484.682.4810.5569.595.092.6990.39-8.76-7.05
21Q4 (9)1.10-16.03-9.841.10-9.84-27.1582.6518.6510.4782.6310.5136.866.229.0211.2499.0718.3830.87
21Q3 (8)1.31-25.57-10.881.22-18.12-21.2969.6635.0812.8174.7722.4527.7260.7424.0121.5383.6931.4819.03
21Q2 (7)1.7670.8762.961.4925.2136.751.57-41.68-39.061.06-20.29-27.1248.98-27.73-28.163.65-34.55-36.48
21Q1 (6)1.03-15.5730.381.19-21.195.3188.4218.18-23.276.6026.82-4.567.7713.84-16.4397.2528.47-14.88
20Q4 (5)1.22-17.0128.421.51-2.58-13.2274.8221.17-22.2160.403.1815.2759.5319.11-4.9675.707.67-11.92
20Q3 (4)1.4736.110.01.5542.20.061.75-26.960.058.54-30.130.049.98-26.630.070.31-29.830.0
20Q2 (3)1.0836.710.01.09-3.540.084.54-26.570.083.784.450.068.12-15.990.0100.20-12.30.0
20Q1 (2)0.79-16.840.01.13-35.060.0115.1319.70.080.2153.070.081.0929.450.0114.2532.940.0
19Q4 (1)0.950.00.01.740.00.096.180.00.052.400.00.062.640.00.085.940.00.0
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近10年
應收帳款周轉率 YoY存貨周轉率 YoY平均收帳天數 YoY平圴銷貨天數 YoY應付帳款付現天數 YoY淨營業週期(日) YoY
2023 (10)3.30-34.524.04-23.34110.7052.7590.4430.5461.6719.91139.4654.41
2022 (9)5.04-10.645.27-8.8272.4711.9769.289.7451.430.0290.3218.19
2021 (8)5.6454.525.786.8464.72-35.2163.13-6.4351.42-27.2776.42-20.94
2020 (7)3.65-20.315.41-14.1399.8925.367.4716.4970.7022.9496.6620.64
2019 (6)4.586.766.304.8379.72-6.3157.92-4.657.51-5.6980.12-5.54
2018 (5)4.2917.866.01-1.1585.09-15.1560.711.260.98-16.2984.82-2.97
2017 (4)3.64-15.156.08-36.13100.2817.7459.9956.4372.8520.7387.4238.37
2016 (3)4.298.619.52-11.4485.17-7.7538.3512.9960.34-19.5863.1823.3
2015 (2)3.9520.0610.75-3.2492.33-16.8333.943.2975.032.651.24-27.57
2014 (1)3.2914.6311.1133.86111.02-12.8632.86-25.2773.138.4470.74-31.93

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