玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/101.0117.7439.558.6928.62.83N/A-
2024/90.86-9.7910.997.6827.282.90.57-
2024/80.95-11.8745.376.8229.682.820.58-
2024/71.0838.6475.595.8627.442.740.6係因各事業部訂單量增加。
2024/60.78-10.6137.774.7820.02.70.65-
2024/50.87-16.4525.514.017.052.730.64-
2024/41.0429.1770.563.1314.892.240.78係因電子零組件部門訂單量增加。
2024/30.81111.13-15.392.08-1.262.080.84-
2024/20.38-56.98-48.261.2710.432.020.86-
2024/10.8919.83115.750.89115.752.50.7因今年與去年農曆春節落點不同,去年1月工作日數較少。
2023/120.74-13.85-42.958.36-16.672.330.61-
2023/110.8618.90.397.62-12.752.360.61-
2023/100.73-6.352.446.76-14.182.160.66-
2023/90.7718.15-12.06.03-15.832.110.71-
2023/80.666.44-20.515.26-16.361.910.79-
2023/70.6820.57-25.644.67-14.511.950.77-
2023/60.57-18.56-18.113.98-12.261.870.77-
2023/50.713.53-14.883.42-11.212.260.64-
2023/40.61-35.920.082.72-10.222.310.63-
2023/30.9629.17.272.11-12.832.110.72-
2023/20.7479.3920.531.15-24.552.460.61-
2023/10.41-68.31-54.840.41-54.842.580.59因農曆新年,營業日比去年減少
2022/121.351.5893.7410.0462.012.870.51係新增電子事業部營收。
2022/110.8621.328.388.7358.142.450.59係新增電子事業部營收。
2022/100.71-19.5638.347.8766.492.410.6係新增電子事業部營收。
2022/90.886.7361.287.1769.92.620.62係新增電子事業部營收。
2022/80.83-10.1755.336.2971.192.440.67係新增電子事業部營收。
2022/70.9232.7965.45.4673.872.430.68係新增電子事業部營收。
2022/60.69-15.3534.254.5475.692.120.9係新增電子事業部營收。
2022/50.8233.49103.343.8586.02.320.82係新增電子事業部營收。
2022/40.61-31.3417.543.0381.822.120.9係新增電子事業部營收。
2022/30.8945.11192.912.42111.022.420.67係新增電子事業部營收。
2022/20.61-32.7973.791.5381.463.050.53係新增電子事業部營收。
2022/10.91-39.8287.010.9187.013.690.44係線材事業部及新增電子事業部營收。
2021/121.5220.69-20.2111.786.383.760.47-
2021/111.2628.36-0.6510.2611.913.280.54-
2021/100.98-6.0236.719.013.922.930.61-
2021/91.0414.9325.318.0211.653.220.52-
2021/80.91-28.41-16.46.989.853.040.56-
2021/71.2747.463.386.0715.272.820.6-
2021/60.8624.87-7.914.818.882.620.74-
2021/50.69-35.77-12.833.9426.952.680.72-
2021/41.0716.337.023.2540.532.490.77-
2021/30.9284.5887.622.1866.12.180.69係網路資安系統整合服務部門專案訂單完工所致
2021/20.5-34.2249.191.2653.243.160.48係去年受疫情影響復工致營業天數較少,比較基期偏低所致
2021/10.76-60.1256.020.7656.023.930.38係去年同期適逢農曆春節,工作天數減少,比較基期偏低所致。
2020/121.950.3120.1611.0732.13.890.32係網路資安系統整合服務部門特殊專案訂單完工所致
2020/111.2776.6475.099.1721.972.820.44係特定專案訂單完工所致
2020/100.72-13.858.037.916.312.640.47-
2020/90.83-23.3326.987.1817.213.150.38-
2020/81.09-11.4644.056.3516.043.250.37-
2020/71.2331.3469.525.2711.562.950.41係網路資安系統整合服務部門特殊專案訂單完工所致
2020/60.9318.211.034.041.072.730.58-
2020/50.79-21.147.113.1-1.582.280.69-
2020/41.0103.9462.162.31-4.231.830.86因疫情影響遞延銷貨所致
2020/30.4946.77-14.61.31-27.041.310.96-
2020/20.33-31.210.760.82-32.881.690.75-
2020/10.49-43.73-45.420.49-45.422.080.61-
2019/120.8619.53-3.468.38-3.40.0N/A-
2019/110.728.99-21.527.52-3.390.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.892023/10.412022/10.912021/10.762020/10.49
2024/20.382023/20.742022/20.612021/20.52020/20.33
2024/30.812023/30.962022/30.892021/30.922020/30.49
2024/41.042023/40.612022/40.612021/41.072020/41.0
2024/50.872023/50.72022/50.822021/50.692020/50.79
2024/60.782023/60.572022/60.692021/60.862020/60.93
2024/71.082023/70.682022/70.922021/71.272020/71.23
2024/80.952023/80.662022/80.832021/80.912020/81.09
2024/90.862023/90.772022/90.882021/91.042020/90.83
2024/101.012023/100.732022/100.712021/100.982020/100.72
N/AN/A2023/110.862022/110.862021/111.262020/111.27
N/AN/A2023/120.742022/121.32021/121.522020/121.9
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 1.02%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.0775.00.0
24Q2 (19)0.04-71.43-42.86
24Q1 (18)0.14-78.12-50.0
23Q4 (17)0.64814.29137.04
23Q3 (16)0.070.00
23Q2 (15)0.07-75.00
23Q1 (14)0.283.70
22Q4 (13)0.270-3.57

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