玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/113.75-0.02-7.7736.48-10.710.55N/A-
2024/103.7522.423.6532.73-11.039.45N/A-
2024/93.0615.92-18.2828.99-12.638.242.16-
2024/82.644.01-27.3125.93-11.918.642.06-
2024/72.54-26.72-28.2223.28-9.749.181.94-
2024/63.469.11-15.0720.75-6.89.851.91-
2024/53.17-1.15-9.5217.28-4.9510.031.88-
2024/43.21-11.83-15.0414.11-3.8510.111.87-
2024/33.6412.09-10.2410.890.0210.891.6-
2024/23.25-18.770.537.256.1210.521.65-
2024/14.022.4311.154.011.1511.331.54-
2023/123.27-19.54-8.3144.1237.310.951.54-
2023/114.0612.366.4140.8543.011.421.48-
2023/103.62-3.4932.8236.7948.6410.991.53-
2023/93.753.149.1333.1850.5910.921.71市場需求回升,致使營收較去年同期增加。
2023/83.632.7146.3929.4350.7811.251.66市場需求回升,致使營收較去年同期增加。
2023/73.54-13.340.2725.851.4211.131.68市場需求回升,致使營收較去年同期增加。
2023/64.0816.2531.6622.2653.3611.371.33市場需求回升,致使營收較去年同期增加。
2023/53.51-7.1852.0918.1859.2411.351.33市場需求回升,致使營收較去年同期增加。
2023/43.78-6.8586.4214.6761.0511.071.37市場需求回升,致使營收較去年同期增加。
2023/34.0625.5584.410.8953.7910.891.12市場需求回升,致使營收較去年同期增加.
2023/23.23-10.272.16.8339.9910.41.18市場需求回升,致使營收較去年同期增加。
2023/13.60.9919.93.619.910.981.11-
2022/123.56-6.6134.5332.13-24.8210.11.32-
2022/113.8240.2327.028.57-28.749.051.47-
2022/102.728.36-9.4724.75-33.267.721.72-
2022/92.511.2-13.3622.03-35.367.512.05-
2022/82.48-1.57-18.4619.52-37.48.11.9-
2022/72.52-18.62-16.4717.04-39.457.931.95-
2022/63.134.297.9114.52-42.217.432.12-
2022/52.3113.76-42.3311.42-48.686.542.42-
2022/42.03-7.86-51.429.11-50.086.112.59市場需求觀望下,致使營收較去年同期減少。
2022/32.217.18-47.197.08-49.687.082.3-
2022/21.88-37.43-54.14.88-50.727.532.16因工作天數減少及市場顯卡短缺所致。
2022/13.013.31-48.343.0-48.348.661.88-
2021/122.65-11.83-34.842.74-19.018.661.87-
2021/113.01-0.04-30.6940.1-17.78.911.81-
2021/103.013.7-34.5837.09-16.438.951.81-
2021/92.9-4.75-44.9534.08-14.338.961.69-
2021/83.040.83-41.831.18-9.668.931.7-
2021/73.025.13-49.3528.14-3.929.891.53因市場顯卡短缺及運費高漲,造成客戶出貨放緩所致。
2021/62.87-28.23-49.7525.127.6711.051.37因市場顯卡短缺及運費高漲造成客戶出貨放緩所致
2021/54.0-4.16-17.9522.2526.312.341.23-
2021/44.170.1438.718.2543.2512.441.22-
2021/34.171.8545.5714.0744.6514.071.03-
2021/24.09-29.5831.789.9144.2713.971.04-
2021/15.8143.0354.595.8154.5914.211.02主要係客戶需求增加所致
2020/124.06-6.2827.0152.7830.0613.01.11-
2020/114.34-5.6426.148.7230.3314.21.01-
2020/104.6-12.7433.2944.3830.7515.090.95-
2020/95.270.7155.7839.7930.4716.460.66因在家工作增加,以致對產品需求增加。
2020/85.23-12.2447.4134.5227.3116.90.65-
2020/75.964.2985.2329.2924.2816.550.66因在家工作仍持續增加產品需求所致
2020/65.7117.1652.2123.3314.6513.60.73因在家工作持續增加產品需求所致
2020/54.8862.0251.917.626.1510.750.92因在家工作增加產品需求所致。
2020/43.015.1-1.7812.74-4.828.981.1-
2020/32.86-7.79-22.859.73-5.729.731.02-
2020/23.11-17.392.566.873.910.070.99-
2020/13.7617.525.033.765.030.0N/A-
2019/123.2-6.9513.840.583.720.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/14.02023/13.62022/13.02021/15.812020/13.76
2024/23.252023/23.232022/21.882021/24.092020/23.11
2024/33.642023/34.062022/32.22021/34.172020/32.86
2024/43.212023/43.782022/42.032021/44.172020/43.01
2024/53.172023/53.512022/52.312021/54.02020/54.88
2024/63.462023/64.082022/63.12021/62.872020/65.71
2024/72.542023/73.542022/72.522021/73.022020/75.96
2024/82.642023/83.632022/82.482021/83.042020/85.23
2024/93.062023/93.752022/92.512021/92.92020/95.27
2024/103.752023/103.622022/102.722021/103.012020/104.6
2024/113.752023/114.062022/113.822021/113.012020/114.34
N/AN/A2023/123.272022/123.562021/122.652020/124.06
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季
合約負債 QoQ YoY

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