玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/102.926.54-5.8427.59-10.778.44N/A累計營業收入較去年減少,主係自去年第四季開始收縮減少銅線廠交易所致。
2024/92.74-1.52-13.6324.67-11.328.460.38-
2024/82.78-5.51-15.8721.93-11.038.340.38-
2024/72.9412.62-4.9419.15-10.288.480.38-
2024/62.61-10.59-9.6816.2-11.188.690.38-
2024/52.92-7.29-10.9213.59-11.479.140.36-
2024/43.153.043.310.67-11.617.390.44-
2024/33.06160.69-20.267.51-16.677.510.42-
2024/21.17-64.18-67.684.45-14.06.860.45係因113年2月適逢春節假期營業天數較少,致營收與去年相比大幅減少。
2024/13.2836.12112.33.28112.38.790.36係因112年1月適逢春節假期營業天數較少,致113年1月營收與去年相比大幅增加。
2023/122.41-22.32-29.8136.43-12.578.610.31-
2023/113.10.02-18.3234.02-11.039.370.29-
2023/103.1-2.261.6930.92-10.229.580.28-
2023/93.17-4.07-8.1727.82-11.389.570.31-
2023/83.316.758.5724.65-11.789.30.32-
2023/73.17.0-4.4321.34-14.279.270.32-
2023/62.89-11.82-12.9818.24-15.749.230.31-
2023/53.287.51-17.3715.35-16.2410.170.28-
2023/43.05-20.47-13.3512.07-15.9210.520.27-
2023/33.845.66-9.659.02-16.769.020.38-
2023/23.63135.2822.025.18-21.358.610.4-
2023/11.54-55.0-57.171.54-57.178.770.39係因112年1月適逢春節假期營業天數較少,致營收與去年相比大幅減少。
2022/123.43-9.6-19.2241.67-14.0810.270.33-
2022/113.824.54-9.4238.24-13.5810.30.32-
2022/103.05-11.74-19.2834.44-14.029.550.35-
2022/93.4513.41-12.5731.39-13.479.740.36-
2022/83.04-6.03-27.4127.94-13.589.610.37-
2022/73.24-2.56-20.7624.89-11.5210.540.34-
2022/63.33-16.26-17.621.65-9.9510.820.41-
2022/53.9712.74-10.618.33-8.4111.740.38-
2022/43.52-17.07-19.0414.35-7.7810.750.41-
2022/34.2542.7-7.9210.83-3.4110.830.43-
2022/22.98-17.4331.366.58-0.2610.830.43-
2022/13.61-15.11-16.793.61-16.7912.040.39-
2021/124.251.350.8748.534.812.210.35-
2021/114.1910.986.9844.2539.2911.920.36-
2021/103.78-4.419.040.0643.8411.920.36-
2021/93.95-5.8315.7336.2847.0312.230.38-
2021/84.192.5642.0332.3352.0612.320.37主係今年原材料上漲調高銷售單價且新冠肺炎疫情趨緩,市場需求增加所致。
2021/74.091.3132.8628.1453.6812.570.37主係今年原材料上漲調高銷售單價且新冠肺炎疫情趨緩,市場需求增加所致。
2021/64.04-9.1473.8224.0557.8812.830.36主係今年原材料上漲調高銷售單價且新冠肺炎疫情趨緩,市場需求增加所致。
2021/54.442.0956.3220.0155.0113.410.35主係去年因新冠肺炎影響,今年疫情趨緩市場需求逐漸恢復正常所致。
2021/44.35-5.6824.715.5754.6511.230.41主係去年因新冠肺炎影響,今年疫情趨緩市場需求逐漸恢復正常所致。
2021/34.61103.628.5511.2170.5411.210.39主係去年因新冠肺炎影響,今年疫情趨緩市場需求逐漸恢復正常所致。
2021/22.27-47.7146.276.6121.0110.810.41主係去年因新冠肺炎影響,今年疫情趨緩市場需求逐漸恢復正常所致。
2021/14.332.92109.764.33109.7612.460.35係因109年1月適逢春節假期營業天數較少,致110年1月營收與去年相比大幅成長。
2020/124.217.4823.4535.981.9411.30.33-
2020/113.9223.4512.2231.77-0.3610.50.35-
2020/103.17-7.021.5927.85-1.99.540.39-
2020/93.4115.5515.9324.67-2.349.440.33-
2020/82.95-4.051.9221.26-4.758.350.37-
2020/73.0832.55-0.418.31-5.748.240.38-
2020/62.32-18.29-11.0315.23-6.768.650.31-
2020/52.84-18.541.2812.91-5.949.920.27-
2020/43.49-2.7813.3610.07-7.88.00.34-
2020/33.59290.0518.146.58-16.126.580.45-
2020/20.92-55.45-46.372.99-37.86.40.46-
2020/12.07-39.42-33.032.07-33.038.970.33-
2019/123.41-2.289.4535.29-13.840.0N/A-
2019/113.4911.762.0331.88-15.750.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/13.282023/11.542022/13.612021/14.332020/12.07
2024/21.172023/23.632022/22.982021/22.272020/20.92
2024/33.062023/33.842022/34.252021/34.612020/33.59
2024/43.152023/43.052022/43.522021/44.352020/43.49
2024/52.922023/53.282022/53.972021/54.442020/52.84
2024/62.612023/62.892022/63.332021/64.042020/62.32
2024/72.942023/73.12022/73.242021/74.092020/73.08
2024/82.782023/83.312022/83.042021/84.192020/82.95
2024/92.742023/93.172022/93.452021/93.952020/93.41
2024/102.922023/103.12022/103.052021/103.782020/103.17
N/AN/A2023/113.12022/113.82021/114.192020/113.92
N/AN/A2023/122.412022/123.432021/124.252020/124.21
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.57%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.050.0-44.44
24Q2 (19)0.05-37.5-37.5
24Q1 (18)0.080.0-11.11
23Q4 (17)0.08-11.110.0
23Q3 (16)0.0912.5200.0
23Q2 (15)0.08-11.1133.33
23Q1 (14)0.0912.5-10.0
22Q4 (13)0.08166.6714.29
22Q3 (12)0.03-50.00
22Q2 (11)0.06-40.00
22Q1 (10)0.142.860
21Q4 (9)0.0700

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