玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/103.635.510.8648.4724.7611.63N/A-
2024/93.44-24.61-15.8144.8527.212.520.66-
2024/84.560.8338.3241.4132.8312.920.64-
2024/74.5217.8836.8236.8532.1812.310.68-
2024/63.84-2.8622.3232.3331.5611.870.56-
2024/53.95-3.2547.428.4932.9115.730.42-
2024/44.08-45.81.5224.5430.8416.450.4-
2024/37.764.7271.2920.6239.9420.620.27依客戶訂單交期出貨
2024/24.67-43.3913.0712.9226.1918.230.31-
2024/18.2555.735.068.2535.0616.920.33-
2023/125.357.21-10.3847.52-15.4512.270.72-
2023/113.37-6.25-18.1242.22-16.0511.050.8-
2023/103.6-11.92-2.1338.85-15.8610.980.81-
2023/94.0823.8622.3535.26-17.0510.690.69-
2023/83.3-0.26-16.1131.17-20.419.740.76-
2023/73.315.39-7.9527.88-20.899.120.81-
2023/63.1417.05-1.3324.57-22.359.840.71-
2023/52.68-33.36-23.4821.43-24.711.190.62-
2023/44.02-10.49-12.8918.76-24.8712.640.55-
2023/34.498.73-9.4414.73-27.5914.730.55-
2023/24.13-32.38-21.8910.24-33.4416.160.5-
2023/16.113.31-39.56.11-39.516.140.5-
2022/125.9143.63-14.7356.216.0213.710.8-
2022/114.1212.05-4.2950.39.1511.130.99-
2022/103.6710.1-33.2846.1810.5410.941.0-
2022/93.34-15.07-24.5842.517.1910.861.11-
2022/83.939.4320.1639.1723.010.71.12-
2022/73.5912.96-1.5135.2423.3210.271.17-
2022/63.18-9.2218.4831.6526.9611.31.07-
2022/53.5-24.14-1.6328.4727.9813.080.92-
2022/44.62-6.9417.1224.9733.6214.870.81-
2022/34.96-6.2129.9520.3538.0320.350.58-
2022/25.29-47.635.4115.3940.8622.330.53-
2022/110.145.5970.9710.170.9721.340.55依客戶交期出貨
2021/126.9461.2388.2453.0219.7116.750.76依客戶訂單交期出貨
2021/114.3-21.8949.4446.0813.4914.240.9-
2021/105.5124.4725.2841.7810.7413.20.97-
2021/94.4335.3116.6836.278.8311.341.07-
2021/83.27-10.3-2.331.847.829.61.26-
2021/73.6535.923.3428.579.119.891.23-
2021/62.68-24.638.1824.937.310.180.84-
2021/53.56-9.6718.722.247.211.320.76-
2021/43.943.2444.9518.685.2512.780.67-
2021/33.82-23.92-19.8914.74-1.9214.740.49-
2021/25.02-15.06102.4110.936.4114.610.5依客戶訂單交期出貨
2021/15.9160.31-24.145.91-24.1412.470.58-
2020/123.6827.990.5244.29166.7510.960.8併購致累計合併營收較去年增加。
2020/112.88-34.51-12.5240.6213.8511.070.79本月係部分訂單因運輸貨櫃調度略為延誤,致出貨延後;另因併購致累計合併營收較去年增加。
2020/104.415.934.6237.72291.111.540.76併購致累計合併營收較去年增加。
2020/93.7913.283.9233.33512.2710.10.53併購致累計合併營收較去年增加。
2020/83.3513.23134.0629.531546.378.780.61本月接單優於去年同期,致出貨營收增加,另因併購致累計合併營收較去年增加。
2020/72.9619.26012.7526.197098.988.430.64因併購致合併營收較去年同期增加。
2020/62.48-17.2912134.723.237265.548.20.62因併購致合併營收較去年同期增加。
2020/53.010.2915262.420.756931.110.480.48因併購致合併營收較去年同期增加
2020/42.72-42.942221.8417.756341.239.960.51因併購致合併營收較去年同期增加,惟因循序進入出貨淡季,故營收較上月減少
2020/34.7792.236164.1215.039385.0215.030.36遵行簽訂之收購股權合約書,引進家居用品設計開發及業務團隊,並依約開始進行訂單交易,致本月營收大幅成長。
2020/22.48-68.1713671.410.2712358.113.930.39因併購致合併營收較去年同期增加,惟因應大陸武漢新型冠狀病毒肺炎疫情延後開工,致2月出貨天數較少,故營收較上月減少。
2020/17.79112.4411991.17.7911991.114.740.37遵行簽訂之收購股權合約書,引進家居用品設計開發及業務團隊,並依約開始進行訂單交易,致本月營收大幅成長。
2019/123.6711.384956.9716.65708.70.0N/A遵行簽訂之收購股權合約書,引進家居用品設計開發及業務團隊,並依約開始進行訂單交易,致本月營收大幅成長。
2019/113.29-21.6721510.012.945964.150.0N/A遵行簽訂之收購股權合約書,引進家居用品設計開發及業務團隊,並依約開始進行訂單交易,致本月營收大幅成長。
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/18.252023/16.112022/110.12021/15.912020/17.79
2024/24.672023/24.132022/25.292021/25.022020/22.48
2024/37.72023/34.492022/34.962021/33.822020/34.77
2024/44.082023/44.022022/44.622021/43.942020/42.72
2024/53.952023/52.682022/53.52021/53.562020/53.0
2024/63.842023/63.142022/63.182021/62.682020/62.48
2024/74.522023/73.312022/73.592021/73.652020/72.96
2024/84.562023/83.32022/83.932021/83.272020/83.35
2024/93.442023/94.082022/93.342021/94.432020/93.79
2024/103.632023/103.62022/103.672021/105.512020/104.4
N/AN/A2023/113.372022/114.122021/114.32020/112.88
N/AN/A2023/125.32022/125.912021/126.942020/123.68
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 1.12%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.09-47.06-35.71
24Q2 (19)0.1788.8970.0
24Q1 (18)0.09-18.18-18.18
23Q4 (17)0.11-21.43-15.38
23Q3 (16)0.1440.0-41.67
23Q2 (15)0.1-9.09-23.08
23Q1 (14)0.11-15.380.0
22Q4 (13)0.13-45.83-27.78
22Q3 (12)0.2484.6250.0
22Q2 (11)0.1318.18116.67
22Q1 (10)0.11-38.89120.0
21Q4 (9)0.1812.50.0
21Q3 (8)0.16166.6714.29
21Q2 (7)0.0620.0-78.57
21Q1 (6)0.05-72.22-82.14
20Q4 (5)0.1828.575.88
20Q3 (4)0.14-50.00.0
20Q2 (3)0.280.00.0
20Q1 (2)0.2864.710.0
19Q4 (1)0.170.00.0

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