玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 理想的成長型公司, 本業EPS的成長幅度會大於營收的成長幅度
  • 營收到某個數字後, 本業EPS呈現不成比例的增加, 有可能是規模經濟的效應
  • 如果是有淡旺季的公司, 是否有淡季不淡, 旺季更旺的情況
  • 漲很多的股票要留意 EPS 較上季是否有大幅衰退的情況
  • 如果EPS衰退,要觀察同業是不是有一樣的狀況
  • 要留意增資減資和公司債對股本及EPS的影響
成長能力-近20季
加權平均股數 QoQ YoYEPS QoQ YoY本業EPS QoQ YoY累計EPS QoQ YoY營收 QoQ YoY毛利率(%) QoQ YoY營業利益率 QoQ YoY稅後淨利率 QoQ YoY營業利益 QoQ YoY稅後淨利 QoQ YoY稅前淨利率(%) QoQ YoY稅後淨利率(%) QoQ YoY兩季平均(YOY)營收成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)EPS成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)本業EPS成長率(%)
24Q3 (20)590.01.720.784.081.40.697.8101.7183.872000.04.2913.1928.8337.93-0.390.4511.0836.4512411.1110.76-8.8144.620.4751.6100.462.2284.012.1622.5863.4410.76-8.8144.6217.52160.341020.57
24Q2 (19)591.721.720.75316.67426.090.642033.33320.690.93416.67278.853.7921.8643.5638.080.912.738.121209.68227.8711.80254.35337.420.311450.0282.350.45350.0446.159.92197.9299.611.80254.35337.428.34123.59969.25
24Q1 (18)580.03.570.18-69.49160.00.03-94.83109.380.18-64.0160.03.11-5.1843.9837.74-9.064.140.62-93.15107.293.33-67.76142.970.02-93.33111.110.1-70.59158.823.33-63.29142.973.33-67.76142.97-3.34-16.14-47.41
23Q4 (17)580.03.570.5937.21493.330.580514.290.50655.56-81.753.28-1.515.0941.509.911.089.0510155.56282.4610.3338.84450.170.30314.290.3436.0525.09.0721.91277.8410.3338.84450.1712.32162.0850.00
23Q3 (16)580.03.570.43286.96126.320.00100.0-100.0-0.0982.69-103.113.3326.145.0537.7611.78-3.99-0.0998.58-104.747.44249.7120.770100.0-100.00.25292.31127.277.44249.799.467.44249.7120.7724.18155.1454.69
23Q2 (15)583.573.57-0.2323.33-122.77-0.299.38-136.25-0.52-73.33-119.262.6422.22-45.1133.78-6.79-19.21-6.3525.29-143.79-4.9735.87-142.59-0.175.56-124.29-0.1323.53-123.21-4.9735.87-130.27-4.9735.87-142.59-1.00-38.34-59.59
23Q1 (14)560.07.69-0.30-100.0-116.57-0.32-128.57-125.81-0.30-110.95-116.572.16-24.21-60.6636.24-3.0-13.86-8.50-71.37-149.94-7.75-162.71-145.27-0.18-28.57-119.35-0.17-112.5-118.09-7.75-51.96-137.35-7.75-162.71-145.27-17.15-139.47-201.78
22Q4 (13)560.07.69-0.15-178.95-106.67-0.14-275.0-107.732.74-5.19-56.992.85-10.09-52.5837.36-5.01-15.26-4.96-361.05-126.38-2.95-187.54-115.28-0.14-333.33-112.39-0.08-172.73-106.9-5.10-236.73-125.21-2.95-187.54-115.28-22.09-130.07-182.50
22Q3 (12)560.07.690.19-81.19-90.690.08-90.0-95.322.897.04-30.193.17-34.1-46.0939.33-5.93-11.141.90-86.9-90.793.37-71.12-81.140.06-91.43-95.040.11-80.36-89.523.73-77.28-82.563.37-71.12-81.14-23.25-62.70-62.74
22Q2 (11)567.6919.151.01-44.2-36.880.80-35.48-37.982.7049.1717.394.81-12.39-6.7841.81-0.623.4414.50-14.81-17.811.67-31.83-19.740.7-24.73-23.080.56-40.43-25.3316.42-20.87-6.0611.67-31.83-19.74-10.52-31.88-33.48
22Q1 (10)520.010.641.81-19.56158.571.24-31.49110.171.81-71.59158.575.49-8.6527.9742.07-4.5821.9417.02-9.4773.3217.12-11.34124.080.93-17.7121.430.94-18.97184.8520.752.57123.1217.12-11.34124.08-3.22-4.63-12.82
21Q4 (9)520.010.642.2510.29316.671.815.85293.486.3753.86390.06.012.2147.344.09-0.3836.7618.80-8.91176.4719.318.06215.011.13-6.61303.571.1610.48364.020.23-5.42225.2419.318.06215.018.0818.8919.21
21Q3 (8)5210.6410.642.0427.5397.561.7132.56375.04.1480.0444.745.8813.9551.1644.269.529.8720.6417.01182.7417.8722.9265.441.2132.97332.141.0540.0452.6321.3922.37220.6917.8722.9265.4417.1278.0375.60
21Q2 (7)470.02.171.60128.57566.671.29118.64545.02.30228.57557.145.1620.2844.5440.4217.1629.2617.6479.63269.0414.5490.31370.550.91116.67435.290.75127.27581.8217.4887.96299.0914.5490.31370.5512.7179.1073.45
21Q1 (6)470.02.170.7029.63483.330.5928.261866.670.70-46.15483.334.295.1546.4234.507.0111.699.8244.41467.637.6424.63310.750.4250.0740.00.3332.0560.09.3049.52222.927.6424.63310.755.0230.6728.02
20Q4 (5)470.00.00.5431.71170.00.4627.78130.01.3071.05160.04.084.8842.6632.24-5.4-6.716.80-6.8518.886.1325.3687.460.280.075.00.2531.58177.786.22-6.7530.46.1325.3687.46--0.00
20Q3 (4)472.170.00.4170.830.00.3680.00.00.76117.140.03.898.960.034.088.990.07.3052.720.04.8958.250.00.2864.710.00.1972.730.06.6752.280.04.8958.250.0--0.00
20Q2 (3)460.00.00.24100.00.00.20566.670.00.35191.670.03.5721.840.031.271.230.04.78176.30.03.0966.130.00.17240.00.00.11120.00.04.3852.080.03.0966.130.0--0.00
20Q1 (2)46-2.130.00.12-40.00.00.03-85.00.00.12-76.00.02.932.450.030.89-10.620.01.73-69.760.01.86-43.120.00.05-68.750.00.05-44.440.02.88-39.620.01.86-43.120.0--0.00
19Q4 (1)470.00.00.200.00.00.200.00.00.500.00.02.860.00.034.560.00.05.720.00.03.270.00.00.160.00.00.090.00.04.770.00.03.270.00.0--0.00
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/111.1-8.3-1.7613.4930.253.71N/A-
2024/101.2-14.79.012.3934.134.1N/A-
2024/91.41-5.7718.8811.1837.544.291.63-
2024/81.497.7832.889.7840.724.191.67-
2024/71.396.0935.318.2842.233.991.75-
2024/61.310.9643.986.943.73.791.65-
2024/51.299.0346.885.5943.643.621.72-
2024/41.194.1139.254.342.693.181.96-
2024/31.1433.7141.213.1144.053.112.03-
2024/20.85-23.821.431.9745.753.032.09-
2024/11.125.3471.991.1271.993.31.92庫存去化訂單增加
2023/121.06-5.2316.3911.42-30.043.281.85-
2023/111.121.7414.4910.35-32.793.411.79-
2023/101.1-6.9714.589.23-36.03.411.78-
2023/91.185.3214.138.13-39.613.331.89-
2023/81.129.759.496.95-44.093.062.06-
2023/71.0212.88-7.015.82-48.922.812.24-
2023/60.912.99-32.294.8-53.42.642.74因通膨等原因影響,整體市場需求面下降
2023/50.883.37-49.443.89-56.562.542.85因通膨等原因影響,整體市場需求面下降
2023/40.855.57-50.793.01-58.282.363.06因通膨等原因影響,整體市場需求面下降
2023/30.8114.99-55.912.16-60.642.163.63因通膨等原因影響,整體市場需求面下降
2023/20.77.92-57.941.35-63.012.263.46因通膨等原因影響,整體市場需求面下降
2023/10.65-28.71-67.270.65-67.272.543.08因過年工作天數減少及整體市場需求下降
2022/120.91-6.78-52.0416.32-23.542.852.83因通膨、疫情等原因影響,整體市場需求面下降
2022/110.981.82-51.1515.41-20.752.982.71因通膨、疫情等原因影響,整體市場需求面下降
2022/100.96-7.34-54.2514.43-17.263.032.67因通膨、疫情等原因影響,整體市場需求面下降
2022/91.041.05-49.9313.47-12.193.172.74-
2022/81.03-6.8-47.5112.43-6.33.472.5-
2022/71.1-17.79-40.6611.40.824.182.07-
2022/61.34-23.09-24.5110.38.974.811.6-
2022/51.740.621.038.9616.715.311.45-
2022/41.73-5.414.337.2221.255.231.47-
2022/31.839.720.125.4927.795.491.09-
2022/21.67-16.0133.243.6632.025.561.08-
2022/11.994.4431.01.9931.05.891.01-
2021/121.9-5.0532.7121.3447.556.010.76-
2021/112.0-4.6244.0319.4449.186.180.74-
2021/102.11.3967.3417.4449.796.130.75旺季客戶需求增加及新產品逐步發酵
2021/92.075.9344.9215.3447.675.880.67-
2021/81.965.3762.7313.2748.115.590.7旺季客戶需求增加及新產品逐步發酵
2021/71.864.5747.7411.3145.855.360.73-
2021/61.782.9246.659.4545.485.160.67-
2021/51.723.9144.417.6845.214.910.71-
2021/41.668.8842.945.9545.454.440.78-
2021/31.5221.6942.024.2946.444.290.81-
2021/21.25-17.4238.512.7748.984.20.83-
2021/11.525.8158.911.5258.914.340.8新產品逐步發酵
2020/121.433.0347.714.4737.984.080.83-
2020/111.3910.8145.7113.0336.994.080.83-
2020/101.26-12.1833.911.6436.013.890.87-
2020/91.4318.9454.7210.3936.273.890.94旺季客戶需求增加及新產品逐步發酵
2020/81.2-4.3330.988.9633.733.671.0-
2020/71.263.838.727.7534.163.661.0-
2020/61.211.3540.536.533.323.570.89-
2020/51.192.8543.25.2931.773.430.93-
2020/41.168.1843.34.0928.773.141.02-
2020/31.0718.6833.32.9323.82.931.1-
2020/20.9-5.2625.371.8618.92.831.14-
2020/10.95-1.6413.370.9513.370.0N/A-
2019/120.971.6418.2910.48-2.960.0N/A-
成長能力-近10年
加權平均股數 YoYEPS YoY本業EPS YoY營收 YoY毛利率(%) YoY營業利益率 YoY稅後淨利率 YoY營業利益 YoY稅前淨利 YoY稅後淨利 YoY
2023 (10)583.570.49-81.58-0.02011.42-30.0237.63-7.41-0.5002.53-72.91-0.0600.25-86.840.29-80.92
2022 (9)567.692.66-57.171.98-63.416.32-23.5240.64-1.659.50-44.839.34-39.391.55-57.881.9-49.741.52-53.8
2021 (8)5210.646.21385.165.41400.9321.3447.4841.3228.2417.22218.315.41268.663.68371.793.78404.03.29439.34
2020 (7)472.171.28156.01.08272.4114.4738.0732.22-7.255.41100.374.1887.440.78178.570.75120.590.61165.22
2019 (6)460.00.50-36.710.29-14.7110.48-2.9634.74-3.452.7033.662.23-34.990.2827.270.34-12.820.23-37.84
2018 (5)460.00.7979.550.34-8.1110.85.5735.985.172.02-48.63.4370.650.22-45.00.39-2.50.3776.19
2017 (4)460.00.44-79.910.37-77.9810.23-16.4234.21-2.843.93-63.712.01-76.180.4-69.920.4-70.80.21-79.61
2016 (3)460.02.194.781.6830.2312.2417.8135.21-5.2510.8316.28.44-10.211.3337.111.3715.131.035.1
2015 (2)462.222.09-7.111.29-1.5310.39-3.1737.163.869.32-6.89.40-3.090.97-9.351.19-11.190.98-5.77
2014 (1)450.02.25-8.911.31-12.0810.731.0435.78010.0009.7001.07-10.081.34-6.941.04-7.96

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