玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/101.6231.735.1811.54-15.274.07N/A-
2024/91.231.59-8.189.92-17.893.651.49-
2024/81.211.03-3.38.68-19.13.761.44-
2024/71.2-10.38-5.477.47-21.193.811.42-
2024/61.345.64-14.416.27-23.633.621.41-
2024/51.2725.47-11.584.93-25.83.151.62-
2024/41.0116.91-26.043.66-29.732.731.87-
2024/30.871.71-41.342.65-31.042.651.9-
2024/20.85-8.57-29.891.78-24.613.191.58-
2024/10.93-34.1-19.040.93-19.044.011.26-
2023/121.41-15.28-32.7616.7-6.894.621.11-
2023/111.677.9-17.2915.29-3.464.551.13-
2023/101.5414.98-12.2513.62-1.454.141.24-
2023/91.346.99-29.4912.080.123.871.5-
2023/81.26-1.23-7.1310.735.684.091.42-
2023/71.27-18.850.259.487.654.271.36-
2023/61.579.142.078.218.894.371.51-
2023/51.444.945.016.6410.644.281.54-
2023/41.37-7.260.785.212.34.061.63-
2023/31.4721.5522.333.8417.073.841.84-
2023/21.215.5630.142.3614.04.461.58-
2023/11.15-45.270.81.150.85.261.34-
2022/122.14.2128.9117.9418.655.871.18-
2022/112.0114.4630.0615.8417.415.681.22-
2022/101.76-7.644.0113.8215.775.021.38-
2022/91.9140.9246.1812.0612.554.521.56-
2022/81.356.627.510.167.894.151.7-
2022/71.27-17.3810.488.87.954.171.7-
2022/61.5312.2913.487.547.544.261.6-
2022/51.370.713.336.06.123.931.74-
2022/41.3612.560.554.636.973.491.95-
2022/31.2129.31-0.753.289.873.282.12-
2022/20.93-18.2213.252.0717.173.71.88-
2022/11.14-30.0120.581.1420.584.321.61-
2021/121.635.142.8915.120.044.41.42-
2021/111.5526.7520.8313.49-0.284.071.53-
2021/101.22-6.214.3311.94-2.493.781.65-
2021/91.33.63-9.8210.72-3.213.711.83-
2021/81.269.58-0.389.41-2.223.761.81-
2021/71.15-15.141.068.15-2.53.821.78-
2021/61.352.25-15.637.01-3.064.021.53-
2021/51.32-1.98-9.925.650.523.891.59-
2021/41.3511.091.424.334.213.391.82-
2021/31.2147.5712.832.985.522.981.96-
2021/20.82-12.93-0.511.771.023.351.75-
2021/10.95-40.282.40.952.43.811.54-
2020/121.5823.48-16.215.11-5.14.041.39-
2020/111.289.44-0.813.53-3.613.91.44-
2020/101.17-18.940.8212.24-3.893.881.45-
2020/91.4514.48-19.9611.07-4.363.841.55-
2020/81.2611.181.79.63-1.484.01.48-
2020/71.14-29.162.098.36-1.954.211.41-
2020/61.69.17-0.517.23-2.554.41.32-
2020/51.4710.3610.355.63-3.123.881.49-
2020/41.3323.5920.574.16-7.133.231.79-
2020/31.0830.1-17.992.83-16.192.831.92-
2020/20.83-10.37-17.341.75-15.053.641.49-
2020/10.92-51.13-12.880.92-12.884.11.32-
2019/121.8946.1640.2215.9210.710.0N/A-
2019/111.2911.231.2314.037.660.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.932023/11.152022/11.142021/10.952020/10.92
2024/20.852023/21.212022/20.932021/20.822020/20.83
2024/30.872023/31.472022/31.212021/31.212020/31.08
2024/41.012023/41.372022/41.362021/41.352020/41.33
2024/51.272023/51.442022/51.372021/51.322020/51.47
2024/61.342023/61.572022/61.532021/61.352020/61.6
2024/71.22023/71.272022/71.272021/71.152020/71.14
2024/81.212023/81.262022/81.352021/81.262020/81.26
2024/91.232023/91.342022/91.912021/91.32020/91.45
2024/101.622023/101.542022/101.762021/101.222020/101.17
N/AN/A2023/111.672022/112.012021/111.552020/111.28
N/AN/A2023/121.412022/122.12021/121.632020/121.58
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 1.46%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.14-6.67-30.0
24Q2 (19)0.15-11.76-40.0
24Q1 (18)0.1721.43-29.17
23Q4 (17)0.14-30.0-17.65
23Q3 (16)0.2-20.017.65
23Q2 (15)0.254.17108.33
23Q1 (14)0.2441.1884.62
22Q4 (13)0.170.030.77
22Q3 (12)0.1741.676.25
22Q2 (11)0.12-7.69-25.0
22Q1 (10)0.130.0-40.91
21Q4 (9)0.13-18.75-7.14
21Q3 (8)0.160.0-11.11
21Q2 (7)0.16-27.27-38.46
21Q1 (6)0.2257.14-12.0
20Q4 (5)0.14-22.22-26.32
20Q3 (4)0.18-30.770.0
20Q2 (3)0.264.00.0
20Q1 (2)0.2531.580.0
19Q4 (1)0.190.00.0

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