玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/101.19-7.2342.0214.148.964.61N/A-
2024/91.28-40.38-28.1612.956.694.860.54-
2024/82.1549.5124.811.6712.684.930.54-
2024/71.446.47-16.779.5310.275.010.53-
2024/61.35-39.592.678.0917.014.720.57-
2024/52.2395.257.736.7420.374.490.6本月係因電線電纜產品依客戶施工需求增加所致。
2024/41.142.68-3.454.517.763.680.73-
2024/31.11-21.69-9.213.3712.173.370.83-
2024/21.4270.0919.952.2626.924.190.67-
2024/10.84-56.6740.850.8440.854.250.66-
2023/121.9329.93208.7516.396.034.250.57本月係因光電非消費性產品出貨及電線電纜產品依客戶施工需求增加所致。
2023/111.4877.6718.9214.46-2.54.10.59-
2023/100.84-53.07-34.5612.98-4.464.340.56-
2023/91.783.5621.6612.14-1.345.220.54-
2023/81.72-0.29109.6610.36-4.454.760.59本月係因光電非消費性產品出貨及電線電纜產品依客戶施工需求增加所致。
2023/71.7231.3553.398.64-13.794.450.63主係電線電纜產品依客戶施工需求出貨增加所致。
2023/61.31-7.19-26.666.92-22.273.910.69-
2023/51.4119.48-16.115.6-21.173.820.71-
2023/41.18-3.44-28.754.19-22.743.60.75-
2023/31.233.46-37.613.0-20.093.00.87-
2023/21.1999.7216.951.78-0.892.41.09-
2023/10.59-5.02-24.050.59-24.052.471.06-
2022/120.62-49.95-54.2315.466.643.150.76本月差異原因:係因光電非消費性產品出貨減少及電線電纜產品依客戶施工需求減少所致。
2022/111.25-2.2350.3814.8312.973.990.6本月增加:係因電線電纜產品依客戶施工需求增加所致。
2022/101.28-12.76-14.9713.5810.453.560.67-
2022/91.4678.48-4.8712.3113.993.410.82-
2022/80.82-27.05-14.7810.8417.123.730.75-
2022/71.12-37.19-34.9110.0220.834.60.61-
2022/61.796.14103.448.935.495.140.56本月增加原因:主係電線電纜產品依客戶施工需求出貨增加所致。
2022/51.691.4858.667.1124.985.310.54本月增加原因:係因光電非消費性產品出貨增加所致。
2022/41.66-15.4532.75.4217.234.640.62-
2022/31.9793.9727.283.7611.493.760.91-
2022/21.0129.692.191.79-1.833.161.09-
2022/10.78-42.77-6.610.78-6.612.981.16-
2021/121.3764.4624.2314.4956.433.70.88本年度增加原因:係因光電非消費性產品出貨增加所致。
2021/110.83-44.72-15.3413.1360.763.870.84本年度增加原因:係因光電非消費性產品出貨增加所致。
2021/101.5-2.463.1712.371.144.00.82本月及本年度增加原因:係因光電非消費性產品出貨增加所致。
2021/91.5459.8924.8110.872.324.230.79本年度增加原因:係因光電非消費性產品出貨增加所致。
2021/80.96-44.28163.279.2683.953.570.93本月及本年度增加原因:係因光電非消費性產品出貨增加所致。
2021/71.7396.353.838.2977.743.670.91本月及本年度增加原因:係因光電非消費性產品出貨增加所致。
2021/60.88-17.21-22.876.5785.323.20.86本年增加原因:係因光電非消費性產品出貨增加所致。
2021/51.06-15.1223.985.69136.693.860.71本年增加原因:係因光電非消費性產品出貨增加所致。
2021/41.25-18.89229.64.62199.213.790.73本月及本年增加原因:係因電線電纜產品依客戶施工需求月份出貨及光電非消費性產品出貨增加所致。
2021/31.5455.73384.93.37189.33.370.74本月及本年增加原因:係因電線電纜產品依客戶施工需求月份出貨及光電非消費性產品出貨增加所致。
2021/20.9918.51194.471.83115.782.930.86本月增加原因:係電線電纜產品依客戶施工需求月份出貨增加所致。
2021/10.84-23.8663.880.8463.882.920.86本月增加原因:係光電非消費性產品出貨增加所致。
2020/121.112.0623.919.261.463.00.66-
2020/110.986.54-22.58.17-0.943.130.63-
2020/100.92-25.34-11.497.192.962.520.79-
2020/91.23237.26-6.596.275.492.720.59-
2020/80.37-67.44-39.445.038.942.630.61-
2020/71.12-1.5865.974.6716.223.120.51與去年同期增加:係因電線電纜產品依客戶施工需求月份出貨,使得營業額變動增加。
2020/61.1433.0967.843.546.142.380.77與去年同期增加:係因電線電纜產品依客戶施工需求月份出貨,使得營業額變動增加。
2020/50.86125.62-0.052.4-9.631.561.17-
2020/40.3819.31-9.371.55-14.191.041.76-
2020/30.32-5.42-17.391.17-15.651.171.42-
2020/20.34-34.043.890.85-14.981.730.96-
2020/10.51-42.43-24.070.51-24.072.660.62-
2019/120.89-29.9157.489.1323.370.0N/A較去年同期月增主係光電工控產品訂單出貨增加及電線電纜產品依客戶工程進度出貨增加所致。
2019/111.2721.67294.688.2416.820.0N/A較去年同期月增主係光電工控產品訂單出貨增加及電線電纜產品依客戶工程進度,本期出貨量增加所致。
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.842023/10.592022/10.782021/10.842020/10.51
2024/21.422023/21.192022/21.012021/20.992020/20.34
2024/31.112023/31.232022/31.972021/31.542020/30.32
2024/41.142023/41.182022/41.662021/41.252020/40.38
2024/52.232023/51.412022/51.692021/51.062020/50.86
2024/61.352023/61.312022/61.792021/60.882020/61.14
2024/71.442023/71.722022/71.122021/71.732020/71.12
2024/82.152023/81.722022/80.822021/80.962020/80.37
2024/91.282023/91.782022/91.462021/91.542020/91.23
2024/101.192023/100.842022/101.282021/101.52020/100.92
N/AN/A2023/111.482022/111.252021/110.832020/110.98
N/AN/A2023/121.932022/120.622021/121.372020/121.1
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 1.39%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.21200.0425.0
24Q2 (19)0.07-41.6775.0
24Q1 (18)0.12140.0100.0
23Q4 (17)0.0525.0-16.67
23Q3 (16)0.040.0-20.0
23Q2 (15)0.04-33.33-33.33
23Q1 (14)0.060.0-25.0
22Q4 (13)0.0620.00.0
22Q3 (12)0.05-16.670.0
22Q2 (11)0.06-25.0-25.0
22Q1 (10)0.0833.33100.0
21Q4 (9)0.0620.0-60.0
21Q3 (8)0.05-37.5-16.67
21Q2 (7)0.08100.014.29
21Q1 (6)0.04-73.330.0
20Q4 (5)0.15150.0400.0
20Q3 (4)0.06-14.290.0
20Q2 (3)0.0775.00.0
20Q1 (2)0.0433.330.0
19Q4 (1)0.030.00.0

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