玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/113.1212.2-21.0326.591.698.35N/A-
2024/102.7813.8614.0523.475.747.46N/A-
2024/92.449.3521.7620.684.727.561.89-
2024/82.24-22.33-3.9918.242.797.591.88-
2024/72.8816.1962.2516.03.817.791.83專案收入認列與海外營收均較去年同期增長
2024/62.481.7816.813.12-3.787.121.91-
2024/52.4310.157.4610.65-7.576.672.04-
2024/42.219.25-11.968.21-11.255.952.29-
2024/32.0217.855.836.0-10.986.02.15-
2024/21.72-24.22-20.863.98-17.637.091.82-
2024/12.26-27.09-15.02.26-15.09.331.39-
2023/123.11-21.46-10.929.25-4.339.51.32-
2023/113.9662.05-30.9326.15-3.498.41.49-
2023/102.4421.569.9422.193.866.781.85-
2023/92.01-13.77-20.6819.753.166.112.37-
2023/82.3331.24-3.2317.746.796.222.33-
2023/71.77-16.35-20.9615.418.496.162.35-
2023/62.12-6.354.1713.6414.026.91.98-
2023/52.26-9.7636.3611.5216.046.692.04-
2023/42.5131.3552.459.2511.956.592.07本月營收增加主要來自本月專案認列營收較去年同期成長及海外市場開拓成效顯現
2023/31.91-11.88-8.596.741.886.742.12-
2023/22.17-18.613.314.836.728.321.72-
2023/12.66-23.571.892.661.8911.881.2-
2022/123.49-39.12-38.6930.582.4611.431.3-
2022/115.73157.98124.3627.0912.1510.481.42本月有大型專案完工驗收認列營收
2022/102.22-12.2917.1821.36-1.17.162.08-
2022/92.535.1915.2619.14-2.867.182.41-
2022/82.417.1915.6116.61-5.136.692.59-
2022/72.2410.25-0.614.21-7.935.942.92-
2022/62.0422.58-11.2611.96-9.195.342.99-
2022/51.660.88-25.349.93-8.755.42.96-
2022/41.65-21.24-29.888.27-4.495.652.82-
2022/32.099.23-8.666.624.966.622.02-
2022/21.91-26.8-0.024.5312.7210.221.31-
2022/12.61-54.0124.322.6124.3210.851.23-
2021/125.69122.78124.8529.8426.3410.131.18本月有大型專案完工驗收認列營收
2021/112.5534.7413.0624.1614.536.641.8-
2021/101.89-13.730.5821.614.716.171.94-
2021/92.25.58.019.7116.286.542.08-
2021/82.08-7.838.217.5117.46.632.05-
2021/72.26-1.569.7615.4318.776.782.01-
2021/62.293.1218.2213.1720.466.871.86-
2021/52.22-5.2411.7510.8820.946.861.87-
2021/42.352.5835.358.6523.566.551.95-
2021/32.2919.5711.46.3119.676.311.86-
2021/21.91-8.9850.694.0224.966.551.8去年受新冠病毒疫情影響,大陸工廠復工延遲,致基期營收低於正常水準
2021/12.1-16.838.162.18.166.891.71-
2020/122.5312.02-4.9323.62-4.886.671.68-
2020/112.2619.8725.2921.09-4.876.171.81-
2020/101.88-7.371.3118.83-7.545.841.92-
2020/92.035.79.0216.95-8.436.011.83-
2020/81.92-6.51-10.4114.92-10.395.921.86-
2020/72.066.02-33.3712.99-10.385.991.84-
2020/61.94-2.52-6.7110.94-4.165.671.94-
2020/51.9914.75-4.728.99-3.595.781.9-
2020/41.73-15.56-12.87.0-3.275.062.18-
2020/32.0561.748.165.270.345.271.82-
2020/21.27-34.67-24.133.21-4.095.881.63-
2020/11.94-26.9115.91.9415.90.0N/A-
2019/122.6647.65-3.6924.83-1.870.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/12.262023/12.662022/12.612021/12.12020/11.94
2024/21.722023/22.172022/21.912021/21.912020/21.27
2024/32.022023/31.912022/32.092021/32.292020/32.05
2024/42.212023/42.512022/41.652021/42.352020/41.73
2024/52.432023/52.262022/51.662021/52.222020/51.99
2024/62.482023/62.122022/62.042021/62.292020/61.94
2024/72.882023/71.772022/72.242021/72.262020/72.06
2024/82.242023/82.332022/82.412021/82.082020/81.92
2024/92.442023/92.012022/92.532021/92.22020/92.03
2024/102.782023/102.442022/102.222021/101.892020/101.88
2024/113.122023/113.962022/115.732021/112.552020/112.26
N/AN/A2023/123.112022/123.492021/125.692020/122.53
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 62.0%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)2.79-4.12-1.76
24Q2 (19)2.917.3835.35
24Q1 (18)2.7124.88-10.56
23Q4 (17)2.17-23.59-23.59
23Q3 (16)2.8432.09-16.72
23Q2 (15)2.15-29.04-3.59
23Q1 (14)3.036.6931.17
22Q4 (13)2.84-16.7251.06
22Q3 (12)3.4152.9150.22
22Q2 (11)2.23-3.4650.68
22Q1 (10)2.3122.876.94
21Q4 (9)1.88-17.18-14.55
21Q3 (8)2.2753.3835.93
21Q2 (7)1.48-31.4839.62
21Q1 (6)2.16-1.8245.95
20Q4 (5)2.231.7422.91
20Q3 (4)1.6757.550.0
20Q2 (3)1.06-28.380.0
20Q1 (2)1.48-17.320.0
19Q4 (1)1.790.00.0

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