玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/114.80.22-10.4453.8-17.6214.4N/A-
2024/104.79-0.63-8.6749.0-18.2614.68N/A-
2024/94.82-5.09-12.5344.21-19.1814.820.89-
2024/85.072.99-15.4439.4-19.9214.90.88-
2024/74.930.49-22.434.32-20.5414.750.89-
2024/64.9-0.34-22.729.4-20.2214.820.95-
2024/54.92-1.55-26.9224.49-19.7114.760.95-
2024/45.03.21-18.1119.57-17.6714.430.97-
2024/34.845.56-19.2414.58-17.5114.581.02-
2024/24.59-10.87-18.129.73-16.6215.230.97-
2024/15.15-6.38-15.245.15-15.2416.00.93-
2023/125.52.65-18.9670.8-20.2616.090.99-
2023/115.362.2-21.6865.3-20.3716.10.99-
2023/105.24-4.83-28.7759.95-20.2516.750.95-
2023/95.51-8.25-31.7454.71-19.3217.860.92-
2023/86.0-5.48-26.2149.2-17.6518.690.88-
2023/76.350.11-20.7643.2-16.319.430.84-
2023/66.34-5.79-17.0136.85-15.4819.180.89-
2023/56.7310.3-10.3630.51-15.1518.830.91-
2023/46.11.79-17.2323.77-16.4217.70.97-
2023/36.07.02-18.3417.67-16.1417.671.02-
2023/25.6-7.73-17.5411.67-14.9618.460.97-
2023/16.07-10.5-12.446.07-12.4419.70.91-
2022/126.78-0.797.2688.822.1520.980.88-
2022/116.84-7.042.7782.0123.5722.260.83-
2022/107.36-8.799.8175.1825.8923.560.78-
2022/98.07-0.8222.4667.8227.9224.220.73-
2022/88.131.4926.0259.7528.6923.790.74-
2022/78.014.8527.0251.6229.1223.170.76-
2022/67.641.7626.543.629.5122.530.74-
2022/57.511.8431.6835.9630.1722.230.75-
2022/47.380.4329.7728.4529.7821.510.78-
2022/37.348.0632.9821.0729.7821.070.73-
2022/26.79-2.0228.6913.7328.1420.050.77-
2022/16.949.6427.66.9427.619.910.77-
2021/126.32-4.9522.7572.6926.6119.680.74-
2021/116.65-0.6728.4666.3726.9919.940.73-
2021/106.71.738.159.7126.8319.740.74-
2021/96.592.0537.0953.0225.5319.350.74-
2021/86.452.2946.0646.4324.0518.810.76-
2021/76.314.4241.0839.9721.118.060.79-
2021/66.045.9326.6333.6617.9717.430.81-
2021/55.70.3615.7527.6216.2316.910.83-
2021/45.682.9115.0121.9216.3516.480.85-
2021/35.524.5815.716.2416.8316.240.8-
2021/25.28-2.8512.4310.7117.4215.870.82-
2021/15.435.4722.725.4322.7215.770.83-
2020/125.15-0.5213.1757.415.9415.180.84-
2020/115.186.7713.6352.265.2814.840.86-
2020/104.850.9610.6647.084.4314.070.91-
2020/94.88.7311.8442.233.7613.71.0-
2020/84.42-1.27.5337.432.8113.661.0-
2020/74.47-6.263.8133.012.2114.170.97-
2020/64.77-3.16-0.7728.541.9614.640.98-
2020/54.93-0.273.8823.762.5314.640.98-
2020/44.943.535.6918.842.1814.411.0-
2020/34.771.636.8613.90.9913.90.99-
2020/24.76.037.419.12-1.8213.681.0-
2020/14.43-2.73-10.024.43-10.020.0N/A-
2019/124.55-0.11-3.0654.19-15.80.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/15.152023/16.072022/16.942021/15.432020/14.43
2024/24.592023/25.62022/26.792021/25.282020/24.7
2024/34.842023/36.02022/37.342021/35.522020/34.77
2024/45.02023/46.12022/47.382021/45.682020/44.94
2024/54.922023/56.732022/57.512021/55.72020/54.93
2024/64.92023/66.342022/67.642021/66.042020/64.77
2024/74.932023/76.352022/78.012021/76.312020/74.47
2024/85.072023/86.02022/88.132021/86.452020/84.42
2024/94.822023/95.512022/98.072021/96.592020/94.8
2024/104.792023/105.242022/107.362021/106.72020/104.85
2024/114.82023/115.362022/116.842021/116.652020/115.18
N/AN/A2023/125.52022/126.782021/126.322020/125.15
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 2.95%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)1.13-19.29-60.63
24Q2 (19)1.47.69-43.78
24Q1 (18)1.3-31.58-63.79
23Q4 (17)1.9-33.8-42.42
23Q3 (16)2.8715.26-28.61
23Q2 (15)2.49-30.64-49.08
23Q1 (14)3.598.79-10.25
22Q4 (13)3.3-17.9121.32
22Q3 (12)4.02-17.7991.43
22Q2 (11)4.8922.2591.02
22Q1 (10)4.047.0670.21
21Q4 (9)2.7229.52102.99
21Q3 (8)2.1-17.9781.03
21Q2 (7)2.568.9493.94
21Q1 (6)2.3575.3775.37
20Q4 (5)1.3415.5236.73
20Q3 (4)1.16-12.120.0
20Q2 (3)1.32-1.490.0
20Q1 (2)1.3436.730.0
19Q4 (1)0.980.00.0

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