玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/107.6515.5816.4265.348.9622.33N/A-
2024/96.62-17.86-3.657.698.0521.070.43-
2024/88.0626.0128.1351.089.7720.330.45-
2024/76.398.835.2943.026.918.860.48-
2024/65.88-10.859.836.627.1819.270.4-
2024/56.59-3.156.0430.756.720.330.38-
2024/46.81-1.8821.1224.166.8817.950.43-
2024/36.9464.58-2.5617.352.1617.350.45-
2024/24.21-32.07-20.2210.425.5816.640.47-
2024/16.2-0.3735.316.235.3119.190.41-
2023/126.23-7.82-12.4772.95-25.6619.550.37-
2023/116.762.8-8.5766.72-26.6920.190.36-
2023/106.57-4.29-26.7859.97-28.2919.730.37-
2023/96.879.18-20.3753.4-28.4719.230.39-
2023/86.293.55-22.8146.53-29.5317.710.43-
2023/76.0713.49-10.6140.24-30.4817.640.43-
2023/65.35-13.9-39.1134.17-33.1217.180.44-
2023/56.2110.62-32.1228.82-31.8718.960.4-
2023/45.62-21.19-32.1822.6-31.8118.030.42-
2023/37.1334.96-20.0917.0-31.6417.00.51-
2023/25.2815.21-21.379.87-38.116.980.51-
2023/14.58-35.55-50.294.58-50.2919.090.45受年節假期影響。
2022/127.11-3.71-26.2298.13-8.4523.480.38-
2022/117.39-17.67-6.7691.02-6.6924.990.36-
2022/108.984.09-23.3483.63-6.6925.740.35-
2022/98.625.84-4.9574.65-4.1923.560.51-
2022/88.1519.918.0366.03-4.0923.730.5-
2022/76.79-22.69-4.1557.89-5.5824.740.48-
2022/68.79-4.0214.0451.09-5.7726.230.55-
2022/59.1610.516.242.3-9.0526.360.55-
2022/48.28-7.13-28.8133.15-12.5223.920.6-
2022/38.9232.79-1.2224.86-5.324.860.51-
2022/26.72-27.166.0315.94-7.4325.580.5-
2022/19.22-4.35-15.279.22-15.2726.790.48-
2021/129.6421.682.21107.28.5229.280.42-
2021/117.92-32.31-39.2297.559.1828.710.43-
2021/1011.7129.061.189.6317.4628.320.44-
2021/99.0720.31-18.7577.9220.3823.70.59-
2021/87.546.38-25.7868.8528.5522.330.63-
2021/77.09-8.01-18.961.3141.2723.410.6-
2021/67.71-10.61-7.6154.2256.4527.970.47客戶訂單增加,帶動我司營收成長
2021/58.62-25.9211.9446.5176.7529.290.45客戶訂單增加,帶動我司營收成長
2021/411.6428.8554.437.89103.5727.010.48客戶訂單增加,帶動我司營收成長
2021/39.0342.5569.1626.25137.0226.250.47客戶訂單增加,帶動我司營收成長
2021/26.34-41.8211.8917.22200.1726.660.46客戶訂單增加,帶動我司營收成長
2021/110.8915.39193.7410.89193.7433.360.37客戶訂單增加,帶動我司營收成長
2020/129.43-27.6558.2298.7860.5334.050.31客戶訂單增加使營收成長;2申報數已排除停業單位,108/12及108/12累計合併營收(含停業單位)為596,262千元及6,343,468千元。
2020/1113.0412.59151.9689.3457.5135.790.28客戶訂單增加,帶動我司營成長
2020/1011.583.71118.0376.3148.0332.910.31客戶訂單增加,帶動我司營收成長
2020/911.179.8996.964.7239.9930.070.26客戶訂單增加,帶動我司營收成長
2020/810.1616.25103.5153.5632.0327.240.29客戶訂單增加,帶動我司營收成長
2020/78.744.7885.8143.421.9924.780.32客戶訂單增加,帶動我司營收成長
2020/68.348.383.7534.6612.2723.580.32客戶訂單增加,帶動我司營收成長
2020/57.72.1741.826.32-0.0420.580.36-
2020/47.5441.1733.0218.61-10.9214.910.5-
2020/35.34162.82-20.1911.08-27.2711.080.74-
2020/22.03-45.18-30.055.74-32.8211.660.71-
2020/13.71-37.39-34.253.71-34.2514.80.56-
2019/125.9214.39-5.9962.641.110.0N/A-
2019/115.18-2.562.156.721.910.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/16.22023/14.582022/19.222021/110.892020/13.71
2024/24.212023/25.282022/26.722021/26.342020/22.03
2024/36.942023/37.132022/38.922021/39.032020/35.34
2024/46.812023/45.622022/48.282021/411.642020/47.54
2024/56.592023/56.212022/59.162021/58.622020/57.7
2024/65.882023/65.352022/68.792021/67.712020/68.34
2024/76.392023/76.072022/76.792021/77.092020/78.74
2024/88.062023/86.292022/88.152021/87.542020/810.16
2024/96.622023/96.872022/98.622021/99.072020/911.17
2024/107.652023/106.572022/108.982021/1011.712020/1011.58
N/AN/A2023/116.762022/117.392021/117.922020/1113.04
N/AN/A2023/126.232022/127.112021/129.642020/129.43
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 1.97%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.2161.5410.53
24Q2 (19)0.13-40.91-58.06
24Q1 (18)0.2237.5-37.14
23Q4 (17)0.16-15.79-60.0
23Q3 (16)0.19-38.7118.75
23Q2 (15)0.31-11.4340.91
23Q1 (14)0.35-12.584.21
22Q4 (13)0.4150.0166.67
22Q3 (12)0.16-27.27-11.11
22Q2 (11)0.2215.79100.0
22Q1 (10)0.1926.6718.75
21Q4 (9)0.15-16.6766.67
21Q3 (8)0.1863.64-43.75
21Q2 (7)0.11-31.25120.0
21Q1 (6)0.1677.78128.57
20Q4 (5)0.09-71.88-47.06
20Q3 (4)0.32540.00.0
20Q2 (3)0.05-28.570.0
20Q1 (2)0.07-58.820.0
19Q4 (1)0.170.00.0

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