玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/103.38-9.79-18.2333.77-9.1810.41N/A-
2024/93.7413.62-29.8730.39-8.0510.230.48-
2024/83.293.26-8.7426.65-3.859.510.52-
2024/73.195.34-5.123.35-3.129.970.49-
2024/63.03-19.15-7.9220.16-2.7910.180.45-
2024/53.759.993.0217.14-1.8310.950.42-
2024/43.41-10.21-21.8113.39-3.119.690.47-
2024/33.7952.5-9.859.985.59.980.44-
2024/22.49-32.8-30.926.1917.810.120.43-
2024/13.7-5.77123.943.7123.9411.860.371月營收較去年同期增加超50%,主係去年大陸疫情及春節放假的影響,本年公司已恢復正常運作。
2023/123.93-7.1756.4745.3511.4412.290.3212月營收較去年同期增加超50%,主係去年受新冠疫情影響,本年公司已恢復正常運作。
2023/114.232.4819.7541.428.4713.70.28-
2023/104.13-22.63-8.1737.197.3213.080.3-
2023/95.3447.8523.4133.069.6412.310.33-
2023/83.617.38-9.0527.727.3310.260.39-
2023/73.362.2-13.3924.1110.3110.290.39-
2023/63.29-9.53-22.0920.7415.4311.280.35-
2023/53.64-16.5359.7417.4626.9512.20.335月營收較去年同期增加超50%,主係去年受新冠疫情影響,本年公司已恢復正常運作。
2023/44.363.52281.0613.8220.4512.170.334月營收較去年同期增加超50%,主係去年受新冠疫情影響,本年公司已恢復正常運作。
2023/34.2116.862.739.46-8.399.460.49-
2023/23.6117.8335.215.25-15.77.770.6-
2023/11.65-34.16-53.691.65-53.697.70.61月營收較去年同期減少超50%,主係大陸疫情及春節放假的影響。公司已採取應變措施,預計逐步恢復正常運作。
2022/122.51-28.96-42.4940.69-22.810.540.46-
2022/113.53-21.41-29.8138.18-21.0212.360.39-
2022/104.53.99-20.4134.65-20.012.790.38-
2022/94.338.95-32.8730.15-19.9412.180.43-
2022/83.972.264.4425.82-17.2712.070.44-
2022/73.88-8.055.4521.85-20.2810.380.51-
2022/64.2285.472.3817.97-24.277.640.67-
2022/52.2899.1-46.9413.75-29.887.520.68-
2022/41.14-72.08-73.0111.47-25.17.90.654月營收較去年同期減少超50%,主係受新冠疫情影響。公司已採取應變措施,在政府容許和疫情改善的情況下儘快恢復正常運作。
2022/34.153.8-1.4810.33-6.7810.330.5-
2022/22.66-25.390.776.23-9.9710.60.49-
2022/13.57-18.24-16.613.57-16.6112.970.4-
2021/124.37-13.29-14.8752.7129.9615.050.3-
2021/115.04-10.891.1848.3536.4517.130.27-
2021/105.65-12.2928.2543.3142.2115.90.29-
2021/96.4469.5355.5937.6644.5813.930.349月營收較去年同期增加超50%,主係去年受新冠疫情影響。公司採取應變措施後,營收逐步恢復正常。
2021/83.83.2515.3331.2142.4911.610.41-
2021/73.68-10.7327.6327.4147.312.10.39-
2021/64.12-3.8833.1823.7350.9112.650.37累計新台幣營收較去年同期增加超50%,係去年受新冠疫情影響。公司採取應變措施後,營收逐步恢復正常。
2021/54.291.2640.519.6155.2612.690.37累計營收較去年同期增加超50%,係去年受新冠疫情影響。公司採取應變措施後,營收逐步恢復正常。
2021/44.241.8940.0915.3259.9611.040.42累計營收較去年同期增加超50%,係去年受新冠疫情影響。公司採取應變措施後,營收逐步恢復正常。
2021/34.1657.3441.2211.0869.1411.080.4累計營收較去年同期增加超50%,係去年受新冠疫情影響。公司採取應變措施後,營收逐步恢復正常。
2021/22.64-38.26111.026.9291.9312.050.36當月及累計營收較去年同期均增加超50%,係去年受新冠疫情影響。公司採取應變措施後,營收逐步恢復正常。
2021/14.28-16.5481.774.2881.7714.390.31月營收較去年同期增加超50%,主係去年受新冠疫情影響。公司採取應變措施後,營收逐漸恢復正常。
2020/125.133.063.6240.56-21.0714.510.32-
2020/114.9812.943.4335.43-23.713.530.35-
2020/104.416.4-0.1430.45-26.8411.840.39-
2020/94.1425.66-22.3826.05-30.010.320.52-
2020/83.314.25-11.1821.91-31.289.280.57-
2020/72.88-6.84-20.4618.61-33.939.030.59-
2020/63.11.39-22.8415.73-35.919.170.57-
2020/53.050.96-30.9512.63-38.479.020.58-
2020/43.022.71-31.939.58-40.537.220.72-
2020/32.94135.11-32.856.55-43.816.550.67-
2020/21.25-46.82-56.583.61-50.428.560.522月營收較去年同期減少超50%,主係受大陸疫情影響。公司已採取應變措施,在政府容許和疫情改善的情況下儘快恢復正常運作。
2020/12.36-52.42-46.382.36-46.3812.120.36-
2019/124.952.876.1451.3912.230.0N/A-
2019/114.819.034.2746.4412.920.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/13.72023/11.652022/13.572021/14.282020/12.36
2024/22.492023/23.62022/22.662021/22.642020/21.25
2024/33.792023/34.212022/34.12021/34.162020/32.94
2024/43.412023/44.362022/41.142021/44.242020/43.02
2024/53.752023/53.642022/52.282021/54.292020/53.05
2024/63.032023/63.292022/64.222021/64.122020/63.1
2024/73.192023/73.362022/73.882021/73.682020/72.88
2024/83.292023/83.612022/83.972021/83.82020/83.3
2024/93.742023/95.342022/94.332021/96.442020/94.14
2024/103.382023/104.132022/104.52021/105.652020/104.41
N/AN/A2023/114.232022/113.532021/115.042020/114.98
N/AN/A2023/123.932022/122.512021/124.372020/125.13
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 38.79%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)3.2-5.04-28.41
24Q2 (19)3.37-3.160.3
24Q1 (18)3.48-1.69-14.91
23Q4 (17)3.54-20.81-0.56
23Q3 (16)4.4733.04-4.08
23Q2 (15)3.36-17.85-35.26
23Q1 (14)4.0914.89-6.83
22Q4 (13)3.56-23.61-15.04
22Q3 (12)4.66-10.21-8.63
22Q2 (11)5.1918.2213.57
22Q1 (10)4.394.770.69
21Q4 (9)4.19-17.8416.39
21Q3 (8)5.111.643.26
21Q2 (7)4.574.82136.79
21Q1 (6)4.3621.1154.61
20Q4 (5)3.61.1249.38
20Q3 (4)3.5684.460.0
20Q2 (3)1.93-31.560.0
20Q1 (2)2.8217.010.0
19Q4 (1)2.410.00.0

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