玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/110.5737.011.375.6330.131.43N/A.
2024/100.42-4.8-2.665.0634.441.36N/A.
2024/90.44-12.77-29.254.6439.221.398.15.
2024/80.513.551.574.2154.861.398.15.
2024/70.440.72-3.643.766.751.348.42.
2024/60.44-3.7935.723.2685.151.477.95.
2024/50.46-20.151.192.8296.31.786.55.
2024/40.57-24.0437.592.36108.341.926.07.
2024/30.7526.09232.421.79149.341.796.78因肌肉注射劑型美國FDA發出拒絕提交信函,本季重新評估未來預計銷售數量,故本月營收有包括部分合約負債調整認列。
2024/20.636.29147.41.04110.991.627.47.
2024/10.44-25.4675.740.4475.741.597.63.
2023/120.594.18-39.224.92-13.11.588.0-
2023/110.5631.55-57.284.33-7.711.617.84因去年度與Thera EU 中止合約,相關合約負債轉列收入,導致去年度收入較高
2023/100.43-30.8-57.253.7611.731.548.19因去年度與Thera EU 中止合約,相關合約負債轉列收入,導致去年度收入較高
2023/90.6225.2160.863.3441.021.588.54本月營收包含CDMO...等業務
2023/80.57.7265.532.7237.151.2810.52.
2023/70.4641.8963.682.2232.11.0912.39.
2023/60.327.1618.271.7625.761.0412.95.
2023/50.3-27.29-3.41.4427.580.9414.29-
2023/40.4283.52.51.1339.520.8815.27.
2023/30.23-6.1575.890.7276.450.7219.15.
2023/20.24-3.1868.20.4976.721.469.42.
2023/10.25-74.2285.830.2585.832.545.41.
2022/120.97-26.77419.555.6636.883.294.2差異主要原因係將部分帳列合約負債權利金調整轉列營業收入認列所致。
2022/111.3231.65526.474.6918.822.715.1差異主要原因係本月認列部分Theratechnology歐洲權利金
2022/101.0160.39177.923.37-9.831.698.18差異主要原因係本月認列部分Theratechnology歐洲權利金
2022/90.3928.8537.552.37-29.930.9715.52-
2022/80.36.52-3.041.98-36.040.8517.55.
2022/70.282.52-12.831.68-39.690.8717.27-
2022/60.27-12.47-41.071.4-43.210.9914.83.
2022/50.31-22.84-39.551.13-43.710.8517.36-
2022/40.41214.89-28.70.81-45.160.6821.7.
2022/30.13-10.2546.730.41-55.430.4137.03本公司規畫預計111年4月起開始銷售三星生物SBL生產之存貨給Theratechnologies
2022/20.146.95-65.110.28-66.310.4632.45.
2022/10.13-27.93-67.50.13-67.50.5328.33歐洲銷售因會計認列時點調整遞延至Theratech實際銷售時認列收入,故ㄧ月銷售Theratech的一批次Trogarzo 暫不認列
2021/120.19-11.71-53.834.13-42.770.7615.4.
2021/110.21-41.59-62.313.95-42.120.8513.7.
2021/100.3628.88-36.73.74-40.310.9512.29.
2021/90.28-9.176855.833.38-40.670.9112.67.
2021/80.31-4.22-43.453.1-45.561.110.54.
2021/70.32-30.68-66.362.79-45.781.318.85.
2021/60.46-10.220.922.46-41.071.557.57-
2021/50.52-8.99-18.92.0-46.271.1710.0-
2021/40.57548.05-17.661.48-51.941.0711.0.
2021/30.09-78.66-92.620.91-61.840.9113.72請參閱110年4月7日重大訊息「三月營收公告補充說明」
2021/20.41-0.3638.320.82-31.371.2310.19-
2021/10.412.38-54.30.41-54.31.389.1.
2020/120.4-27.920.07.222.61.538.21.
2020/110.56-1.92-43.366.82-3.121.1311.1-
2020/100.5714064.5-47.956.263.441.1211.24-
2020/90.0-99.26-99.425.6914.821.517.63因疫情影響TH庫存調整未採購,營收屬Q3折讓調整,與去年度比較今年營收成長15%目標不變。季底匯率評價調減本月大部分合併營收。
2020/80.55-43.03-36.115.6933.631.965.85本月營收為出貨給Theratechnologies用於歐洲未來銷售使用,先以較低之約定價格出售,待確認實際銷售價格時再予以調整。
2020/70.96108.0169.865.1451.152.065.59.
2020/60.46-27.86-8.774.1847.431.795.8Q2因疫情美國各地封城影響,新病患人數減少,TH庫存調整本月未下訂單,本月營收 46,069仟元屬Q1及Q2銷貨折讓與實際數差異調整。
2020/50.64-7.61.143.7259.612.524.12.
2020/40.69-41.9265.753.0881.322.184.76.
2020/31.19299.9379.422.3986.372.394.24.
2020/20.3-67.0829.011.293.821.28.45本月份Theratechnologies尚在進行調整庫存並未下採購訂單,本月中裕銷貨收入為2019第四季暫估銷售折讓與實際數差異調整
2020/10.90.0132.20.9132.20.0N/A.
2019/120.0-100.0-100.07.04192.110.0N/A本月無營收主要係Theratechnologies進行存貨調整,108/12無訂貨,將遞延至109年開始訂貨,細節請參閱12/19重大訊息說明
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.442023/10.252022/10.132021/10.412020/10.9
2024/20.62023/20.242022/20.142021/20.412020/20.3
2024/30.752023/30.232022/30.132021/30.092020/31.19
2024/40.572023/40.422022/40.412021/40.572020/40.69
2024/50.462023/50.32022/50.312021/50.522020/50.64
2024/60.442023/60.322022/60.272021/60.462020/60.46
2024/70.442023/70.462022/70.282021/70.322020/70.96
2024/80.52023/80.52022/80.32021/80.312020/80.55
2024/90.442023/90.622022/90.392021/90.282020/90.0
2024/100.422023/100.432022/101.02021/100.362020/100.57
2024/110.572023/110.562022/111.322021/110.212020/110.56
N/AN/A2023/120.592022/120.972021/120.192020/120.4
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 3.08%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.846.333.7
24Q2 (19)0.7936.218.22
24Q1 (18)0.58-36.2631.82
23Q4 (17)0.9112.3559.65
23Q3 (16)0.8110.9650.0
23Q2 (15)0.7365.9197.3
23Q1 (14)0.44-22.8141.94
22Q4 (13)0.575.56137.5
22Q3 (12)0.5445.9592.86
22Q2 (11)0.3719.3515.62
22Q1 (10)0.3129.1710.71
21Q4 (9)0.24-14.29-36.84
21Q3 (8)0.28-12.5-9.68
21Q2 (7)0.3214.2910.34
21Q1 (6)0.28-26.3216.67
20Q4 (5)0.3822.5872.73
20Q3 (4)0.316.90.0
20Q2 (3)0.2920.830.0
20Q1 (2)0.249.090.0
19Q4 (1)0.220.00.0

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