玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/110.6-21.53432.73.16115.561.79N/A自113/9/19起合併重要子公司營收
2024/100.7678.09738.082.5789.331.34N/A自113/9/19起合併重要子公司營收
2024/90.43185.03284.21.8142.760.713.87自113/9/19起合併重要子公司營收
2024/80.1510.32-0.011.3819.480.456.11-
2024/70.14-18.2143.011.2322.390.515.41-
2024/60.17-20.3673.561.0920.240.570.46市場需求增加
2024/50.217.7123.250.9313.960.610.43庫存去化已近尾聲,客戶因應市場需求持續下單
2024/40.19-4.9731.730.72-0.230.480.54-
2024/30.2151.8428.490.52-8.440.520.53-
2024/20.08-66.19-64.320.32-22.590.470.6適逢農曆春節假期,出貨量減少
2024/10.2459.8728.030.2428.030.50.56-
2023/120.1533.58-42.311.62-50.070.350.82主要客戶去化庫存營收減少
2023/110.1123.44-49.241.47-50.740.310.92主要客戶去化庫存致營收減少
2023/100.09-18.35-51.21.36-50.870.350.82主要客戶去化庫存致營收減少
2023/90.11-25.82-48.341.26-50.840.360.84主要客戶去化庫存致營收減少
2023/80.1557.8-42.451.15-51.070.340.88主要客戶去化庫存致營收減少
2023/70.1-0.74-61.411.0-52.140.281.06主要客戶去化庫存致營收減少
2023/60.12.44-65.940.91-50.910.340.89主要客戶去化庫存致營收減少營收減少
2023/50.09-36.44-70.390.81-48.210.40.75主要客戶去化庫存致營收減少
2023/40.15-7.3-54.090.72-42.630.530.56主要客戶去化庫存營收減少
2023/30.16-30.08-57.330.57-38.710.570.56主要客戶去化庫存致營收減少
2023/20.2321.33-7.660.41-26.40.670.48-
2023/10.19-27.97-40.940.19-40.940.670.48-
2022/120.2617.534.143.24-11.560.670.62-
2022/110.2218.68-10.972.98-12.710.620.66-
2022/100.19-13.57-27.92.76-12.840.660.62-
2022/90.22-17.36-27.312.57-11.510.720.73-
2022/80.265.79-18.952.36-9.720.790.67-
2022/70.25-12.39-19.042.1-8.420.840.63-
2022/60.28-10.92-9.561.85-6.790.920.57-
2022/50.32-1.454.571.57-6.281.010.52-
2022/40.32-13.84-15.321.25-8.660.940.55-
2022/30.3751.29-3.230.93-6.130.930.59-
2022/20.25-22.39-4.430.56-7.960.810.68-
2022/10.3227.01-10.520.32-10.520.810.68-
2021/120.250.47-0.63.6610.010.760.74-
2021/110.25-3.881.223.4110.870.80.7-
2021/100.26-12.8518.753.1711.70.880.64-
2021/90.3-7.8722.182.9111.120.920.6-
2021/80.325.6828.272.619.990.940.59-
2021/70.3-2.1321.422.297.830.920.6-
2021/60.313.019.011.996.020.990.59-
2021/50.3-20.2139.341.673.911.060.55-
2021/40.38-1.5412.121.37-1.581.020.57-
2021/30.3849.41-10.330.99-5.950.990.63-
2021/20.26-27.33-31.840.61-2.960.860.73-
2021/10.3541.0940.180.3540.180.850.74-
2020/120.252.31-3.243.33-21.220.710.98-
2020/110.2512.75-18.143.08-22.390.70.99-
2020/100.22-10.33-34.762.83-22.740.710.99-
2020/90.24-3.28-30.722.62-21.540.740.77-
2020/80.250.03-32.112.37-20.460.760.75-
2020/70.25-4.08-30.642.12-18.820.730.78-
2020/60.2620.59-26.731.87-16.920.820.71-
2020/50.22-35.79-47.411.61-15.080.980.59-
2020/40.34-21.26-19.571.4-6.131.140.51-
2020/30.4313.576.041.06-0.841.060.63-
2020/20.3849.4644.280.63-5.040.890.75-
2020/10.25-2.61-37.150.25-37.150.0N/A-
2019/120.26-13.43-22.954.23-4.210.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.242023/10.192022/10.322021/10.352020/10.25
2024/20.082023/20.232022/20.252021/20.262020/20.38
2024/30.22023/30.162022/30.372021/30.382020/30.43
2024/40.192023/40.152022/40.322021/40.382020/40.34
2024/50.212023/50.092022/50.322021/50.32020/50.22
2024/60.172023/60.12022/60.282021/60.312020/60.26
2024/70.142023/70.12022/70.252021/70.32020/70.25
2024/80.152023/80.152022/80.262021/80.322020/80.25
2024/90.432023/90.112022/90.222021/90.32020/90.24
2024/100.762023/100.092022/100.192021/100.262020/100.22
2024/110.62023/110.112022/110.222021/110.252020/110.25
N/AN/A2023/120.152022/120.262021/120.252020/120.25
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季
合約負債 QoQ YoY

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