玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1110.63-9.34-27.48147.9123.335.27N/A0.121.77-
2024/1011.73-9.16-10.47137.2830.3739.09N/A0.111.65-
2024/912.91-10.6819.88125.5536.1843.23.06-
2024/814.46-8.7229.32112.6438.3350.392.620.051.43-
2024/715.84-21.1763.2198.1839.7755.42.390.161.38主係認列建案完工交屋營收所致
2024/620.093.18104.5982.3436.0151.262.47主係認列建案完工交屋營收所致
2024/519.4766.4180.362.2522.7343.132.930.310.85主係認列建案完工交屋營收所致
2024/411.7-2.1712.1542.787.1631.354.04-
2024/311.9655.531.2831.085.3931.083.99-
2024/27.69-32.71-24.8219.128.1431.593.930.010.15-
2024/111.43-8.3853.4111.4353.4138.573.220.150.15主係市場需求增加及去年同期為農曆新年假期所致
2023/1212.48-14.926.16132.43-9.8140.242.640.091.52-
2023/1114.6611.9239.33119.95-12.4138.532.750.141.43-
2023/1013.121.6422.74105.29-16.7235.053.030.171.29-
2023/910.77-3.65-4.5292.19-20.3631.652.990.141.12-
2023/811.1815.19-6.0581.42-22.0730.73.080.110.98-
2023/79.7-1.19-22.6170.24-24.1230.323.120.190.87-
2023/69.82-9.06-26.2660.54-24.3631.052.84-
2023/510.83.51-23.2850.72-23.9833.042.67-
2023/410.43-11.65-24.0539.92-24.1732.472.72-
2023/311.8115.42-26.5829.49-24.2129.492.89-
2023/210.2337.323.4917.68-22.5527.573.09-
2023/17.45-24.65-42.447.45-42.4427.863.05-
2022/129.89-6.03-30.72146.85-14.5831.082.75-
2022/1110.52-1.4-29.89136.96-13.1232.482.64-
2022/1010.67-5.38-19.45126.44-11.3533.852.53-
2022/911.28-5.19-20.22115.76-10.5235.722.41-
2022/811.9-5.1-18.74104.48-9.3337.762.28-
2022/712.54-5.86-14.4392.59-7.9639.942.16-
2022/613.32-5.38-17.7980.05-6.8641.132.11-
2022/514.082.46-5.466.73-4.3243.91.98-
2022/413.74-14.58-10.6452.65-4.0339.712.19-
2022/316.0862.72-0.9638.91-1.4638.912.21-
2022/29.88-23.63-4.622.83-1.837.12.32-
2022/112.94-9.310.4312.940.4342.232.04-
2021/1214.27-4.90.97171.9222.8442.531.93-
2021/1115.0113.2712.82157.6525.342.41.94-
2021/1013.25-6.286.45142.6426.7742.031.96-
2021/914.14-3.429.33129.3929.343.441.87-
2021/814.64-0.0826.62115.2532.2645.51.79-
2021/714.65-9.5532.8100.633.1245.741.78-
2021/616.28.8845.7385.9533.1846.461.69-
2021/514.88-3.2147.3669.7430.5746.51.69-
2021/415.37-5.3333.6754.8626.6541.981.87-
2021/316.2456.7427.9839.4924.1239.491.82-
2021/210.36-19.5913.4823.2521.5637.381.92-
2021/112.89-8.8328.9312.8928.9340.331.78-
2020/1214.146.2513.43139.95-13.239.891.75-
2020/1113.36.880.76125.81-15.4438.681.81-
2020/1012.45-3.75-10.87112.51-17.0136.941.89-
2020/912.9311.84-7.48100.06-17.7235.531.99-
2020/811.564.79-19.3787.13-19.0533.722.1-
2020/711.03-0.75-20.4275.57-19.032.252.19-
2020/611.1210.1-13.6664.53-18.7532.722.14-
2020/510.1-12.19-26.7853.41-19.7434.292.04-
2020/411.5-9.36-21.7643.32-17.933.322.1-
2020/312.6938.99-7.9231.81-16.431.812.27-
2020/29.13-8.65-1.5719.12-21.2231.592.29-
2020/19.99-19.79-33.379.99-33.370.0N/A-
2019/1212.46-5.61-16.81161.25-18.750.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/111.432023/17.452022/112.942021/112.892020/19.99
2024/27.692023/210.232022/29.882021/210.362020/29.13
2024/311.962023/311.812022/316.082021/316.242020/312.69
2024/411.72023/410.432022/413.742021/415.372020/411.5
2024/519.472023/510.82022/514.082021/514.882020/510.1
2024/620.092023/69.822022/613.322021/616.22020/611.12
2024/715.842023/79.72022/712.542021/714.652020/711.03
2024/814.462023/811.182022/811.92021/814.642020/811.56
2024/912.912023/910.772022/911.282021/914.142020/912.93
2024/1011.732023/1013.12022/1010.672021/1013.252020/1012.45
2024/1110.632023/1114.662022/1110.522021/1115.012020/1113.3
N/AN/A2023/1212.482022/129.892021/1214.272020/1214.14
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 9.28%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)6.3-35.78-31.74
24Q2 (19)9.81-2.49-0.41
24Q1 (18)10.0632.8932.72
23Q4 (17)7.57-17.982.3
23Q3 (16)9.23-6.29-56.15
23Q2 (15)9.8529.95-39.83
23Q1 (14)7.582.43-51.5
22Q4 (13)7.4-64.85-30.71
22Q3 (12)21.0528.59252.01
22Q2 (11)16.374.73199.82
22Q1 (10)15.6346.35179.11
21Q4 (9)10.6878.6122.96
21Q3 (8)5.989.5230.0
21Q2 (7)5.46-2.5117.53
21Q1 (6)5.616.91227.49
20Q4 (5)4.794.13237.32
20Q3 (4)4.683.270.0
20Q2 (3)2.5146.780.0
20Q1 (2)1.7120.420.0
19Q4 (1)1.420.00.0

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