玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.5635.091.013.54.731.39N/A因應產業趨勢調整客戶結構
2024/90.420.2519.142.94-3.571.181.06-
2024/80.4119.337.532.52-6.51.051.19-
2024/70.3519.826.92.11-8.840.961.3-
2024/60.29-10.36-21.131.76-11.410.91.45-
2024/50.3213.2632.721.47-9.210.891.46-
2024/40.291.04-2.081.15-16.610.81.63-
2024/30.2823.54-42.520.86-20.510.861.54-
2024/20.23-35.26-40.720.58-2.361.01.33-
2024/10.35-16.0668.030.3568.031.111.2去年因景氣低迷影響營收甚鉅,今年營收情形與前年類似並無特殊異常
2023/120.4225.232.134.1-28.161.051.23-
2023/110.3414.43-14.433.67-30.510.981.32-
2023/100.29-15.79-44.083.34-31.81.031.26-
2023/90.35-9.51-39.843.05-30.331.061.26-
2023/80.3918.63-20.442.7-28.881.081.24-
2023/70.32-11.59-35.852.31-30.110.931.42-
2023/60.3750.84-28.391.99-29.070.91.51-
2023/50.24-16.43-47.621.62-29.231.031.33-
2023/40.29-40.68-44.441.38-24.551.171.16-
2023/30.4927.41-5.621.09-16.541.091.28-
2023/20.3983.50.560.6-23.811.011.38-
2023/10.21-48.98-47.260.21-47.261.011.37-
2022/120.414.9-7.035.715.611.331.03-
2022/110.39-25.21-2.465.2917.851.50.92-
2022/100.52-9.418.754.919.851.590.86-
2022/90.5819.6718.554.3721.331.570.91受新冠肺炎影響所致
2022/80.48-4.356.173.7921.771.50.95-
2022/70.51-1.3124.213.3124.441.480.96-
2022/60.5110.3330.942.824.481.50.99-
2022/50.46-11.369.762.2923.121.510.98-
2022/40.520.7541.721.8327.061.431.04-
2022/30.5235.7820.771.321.981.31.12-
2022/20.38-3.7842.510.7822.791.221.19-
2022/10.4-10.058.370.48.371.241.17-
2021/120.4410.065.794.9333.551.331.14受新冠肺炎疫情影響
2021/110.4-16.6149.04.4937.11.371.1受疫情影響
2021/100.48-1.2572.174.0936.031.431.06受新冠肺炎影響所致
2021/90.497.1741.443.632.321.351.09-
2021/80.4611.8977.523.1130.991.251.17受新冠肺炎影響
2021/70.414.0318.122.6625.341.221.2-
2021/60.39-7.5166.642.2526.741.181.16受疫情影響
2021/50.4214.44164.771.8620.651.221.13受疫情影響所致
2021/40.37-14.13146.411.443.981.071.29去年受疫情影響,今年回升
2021/30.4360.211.651.07-13.361.071.27-
2021/20.27-26.83-41.720.64-21.241.051.28-
2021/10.37-12.186.00.376.01.061.28-
2020/120.4255.0-10.333.69-40.930.971.25-
2020/110.27-3.64-50.533.27-43.40.91.35受新冠肺炎影響所致
2020/100.28-18.87-49.223.0-42.650.881.37-
2020/90.3534.51-23.922.72-41.880.951.17-
2020/80.26-25.53-59.822.38-43.80.841.33受新冠肺炎疫情影響
2020/70.3446.77-37.852.12-40.940.741.5-
2020/60.2346.95-44.251.78-41.510.542.35-
2020/50.166.5-72.881.54-41.070.731.74因新冠肺炎疫情影響
2020/40.15-64.57-76.221.38-31.811.041.24受新冠肺炎疫情影響所致
2020/30.42-8.15-13.511.23-11.721.231.1-
2020/20.4633.137.720.81-10.761.271.06-
2020/10.35-25.72-39.230.35-39.231.360.99-
2019/120.47-14.48-40.726.25-20.550.0N/A-
2019/110.55-1.09-2.815.78-18.30.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.352023/10.212022/10.42021/10.372020/10.35
2024/20.232023/20.392022/20.382021/20.272020/20.46
2024/30.282023/30.492022/30.522021/30.432020/30.42
2024/40.292023/40.292022/40.522021/40.372020/40.15
2024/50.322023/50.242022/50.462021/50.422020/50.16
2024/60.292023/60.372022/60.512021/60.392020/60.23
2024/70.352023/70.322022/70.512021/70.412020/70.34
2024/80.412023/80.392022/80.482021/80.462020/80.26
2024/90.422023/90.352022/90.582021/90.492020/90.35
2024/100.562023/100.292022/100.522021/100.482020/100.28
N/AN/A2023/110.342022/110.392021/110.42020/110.27
N/AN/A2023/120.422022/120.412021/120.442020/120.42
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.19%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.0100

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