玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/112.68-35.84-15.6450.023.0510.99N/A-
2024/104.181.0833.647.324.412.65N/A-
2024/94.13-4.79-14.343.142.413.910.77-
2024/84.34-20.0413.5739.014.5714.390.74-
2024/75.4317.7139.0134.663.6416.240.66-
2024/64.61-25.46-14.5829.24-0.9315.340.69-
2024/56.1936.3628.024.622.0716.750.64-
2024/44.54-24.62-2.7518.45-4.2913.720.78-
2024/36.0290.5-7.8613.91-4.8113.920.66-
2024/23.16-33.22-24.117.9-2.3211.190.82-
2024/14.7343.8120.74.7320.711.210.82-
2023/123.293.59-19.4951.83-30.359.60.84-
2023/113.181.610.4448.54-30.9211.130.73-
2023/103.13-35.16-5.2245.32-32.2311.770.69-
2023/94.8226.17-11.6342.13-33.3912.550.57-
2023/83.82-2.14-51.3237.3-35.2913.130.55客戶需求下降致本月營收減少
2023/73.91-27.67-31.9933.44-32.8514.140.51-
2023/65.411.7-18.2629.52-32.9214.910.49-
2023/54.843.59-38.5124.12-35.4416.040.46-
2023/44.67-28.58-46.9419.28-34.6315.370.48-
2023/36.5456.9-26.8914.61-29.5614.630.59-
2023/24.176.2-16.248.09-31.7312.180.71-
2023/13.92-4.07-42.93.92-42.911.180.77-
2022/124.0929.23-30.4574.430.3410.550.89-
2022/113.16-4.11-49.2970.272.8911.920.79-
2022/103.3-39.55-46.6466.887.7916.610.57客戶需求下降致本月營收減少
2022/95.46-30.49-34.2863.2513.2219.060.55-
2022/87.8536.75.6957.6521.2920.210.52-
2022/75.75-13.06-16.6849.8124.2720.220.52-
2022/66.61-15.979.1444.032.6323.270.6-
2022/57.87-10.621.0237.3637.7925.610.55-
2022/48.8-1.5858.8929.543.2222.710.62訂單成長致營收增加
2022/38.9479.7553.8620.7537.820.790.77訂單成長致營收增加
2022/24.97-27.622.3311.8528.1817.720.9-
2022/16.8716.8332.646.8732.6418.990.84-
2021/125.88-5.7619.474.1737.8818.310.85-
2021/116.240.8882.5768.2939.8320.730.75訂單成長致營收增加
2021/106.19-25.5446.4962.0536.5221.920.71-
2021/98.3111.7944.5155.8735.4622.630.59訂單成長致營收增加
2021/87.437.7651.3447.5333.8320.380.66去年受疫情影響致營收下降
2021/76.913.8820.8740.0831.0119.450.69-
2021/66.06-6.8384.7133.1833.4818.090.62去年受疫情影響致營收下降
2021/56.517.35152.1327.1125.5917.850.63去年同期受疫情影響致營收下降
2021/45.54-4.6916.4820.68.415.410.73-
2021/35.8142.91-5.2215.065.6815.060.65-
2021/24.07-21.493.359.2513.814.170.69-
2021/15.185.1621.715.1821.7113.520.73-
2020/124.9244.087.6953.79-27.0112.560.63-
2020/113.42-19.04-24.3848.84-29.3813.390.59-
2020/104.22-26.55-35.6945.45-29.7214.880.53-
2020/95.7517.07-13.6341.24-28.9916.360.34-
2020/84.91-13.93-30.1535.51-30.9413.890.4-
2020/75.774.03-20.7230.59-31.0911.560.49-
2020/63.2827.17-52.1324.86-33.1810.610.63受疫情影響,部分訂單延遲交貨,致本月營收下降。
2020/52.58-45.78-62.521.59-28.8313.460.5受疫情影響,部分訂單延遲交貨,致五月營收下降。
2020/44.75-22.46-25.3819.0-19.0414.820.45-
2020/36.1355.85-21.2614.25-16.714.320.64-
2020/23.93-7.55-6.648.12-12.812.760.71-
2020/14.26-6.94-16.624.26-16.620.0N/A-
2019/124.571.1615.2673.727.730.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/14.732023/13.922022/16.872021/15.182020/14.26
2024/23.162023/24.172022/24.972021/24.072020/23.93
2024/36.022023/36.542022/38.942021/35.812020/36.13
2024/44.542023/44.672022/48.82021/45.542020/44.75
2024/56.192023/54.842022/57.872021/56.52020/52.58
2024/64.612023/65.42022/66.612021/66.062020/63.28
2024/75.432023/73.912022/75.752021/76.92020/75.7
2024/84.342023/83.822022/87.852021/87.432020/84.91
2024/94.132023/94.822022/95.462021/98.312020/95.75
2024/104.182023/103.132022/103.32021/106.192020/104.22
2024/112.682023/113.182022/113.162021/116.242020/113.42
N/AN/A2023/123.292022/124.092021/125.882020/124.92
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季
合約負債 QoQ YoY

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