玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/111.0916.53-1.6111.56-7.292.95N/A-
2024/100.942.1-17.2110.47-7.852.94N/A-
2024/90.92-15.88-38.049.53-6.813.010.82-
2024/81.098.62-13.398.61-1.523.270.76-
2024/71.0-14.4324.297.520.473.320.74-
2024/61.172.852.336.52-2.43.460.69-
2024/51.14-0.083.55.34-3.393.490.68-
2024/41.14-5.461.474.2-5.13.090.77-
2024/31.2162.7-2.563.06-7.343.060.75-
2024/20.74-33.22-25.571.85-10.213.10.74-
2024/11.11-10.994.131.114.133.470.66-
2023/121.2512.5519.813.72-4.43.490.64-
2023/111.11-1.941.8812.47-6.33.720.6-
2023/101.13-23.58-15.8311.36-7.033.870.58-
2023/91.4817.57-10.3910.23-5.943.550.68-
2023/81.2655.9-13.098.75-5.143.210.76-
2023/70.81-29.55-44.17.49-3.663.060.8-
2023/61.154.03-26.66.685.573.370.71-
2023/51.1-2.040.715.5316.113.470.69-
2023/41.13-9.2357.434.4320.713.360.71因去年受上海疫情封控影響,上海出貨大幅降低,今年已恢復正常出貨。
2023/31.2424.2726.523.311.833.30.73-
2023/21.0-6.566.522.064.543.110.77-
2023/11.072.42.761.072.763.20.75-
2022/121.04-4.28-21.5314.3512.523.480.73-
2022/111.09-18.99-13.4813.3116.494.090.62-
2022/101.34-18.6427.5312.2220.24.450.57-
2022/91.6514.0344.7510.8719.354.550.57-
2022/81.450.2814.749.2215.714.460.58-
2022/71.45-7.4939.817.7715.894.10.63-
2022/61.5642.7451.776.3311.543.370.781.因受上海疫情影響,之前訂單遞延至本月份出貨2.各區域訂單增加
2022/51.0953.1219.964.762.622.790.94-
2022/40.71-27.05-37.773.67-1.612.631.0-
2022/30.984.62-16.692.9514.462.950.78-
2022/20.94-9.8580.541.9840.533.30.7營收增加主因:市場需求熱絡,接單增加。
2022/11.04-21.817.131.0417.133.630.63-
2021/121.335.5426.4912.7526.483.640.58-
2021/111.2619.445.211.4226.483.450.61-
2021/101.05-7.6634.3610.1624.493.460.61-
2021/91.14-9.617.249.1123.443.440.63-
2021/81.2622.1862.347.9724.393.330.65營收增加主因:1.去年同期因疫情影響,基期低2.各區域市場需求熱絡,接單增加。
2021/71.030.420.886.719.142.970.72-
2021/61.0312.8228.035.6723.213.090.58-
2021/50.91-20.5710.114.6422.193.240.55-
2021/41.15-2.3431.553.7325.552.840.63-
2021/31.18126.7447.952.5823.062.580.64-
2021/20.52-41.51-26.381.417.872.460.67-
2021/10.89-15.5548.220.8948.222.80.59-
2020/121.0521.157.5610.08-8.852.70.62-
2020/110.8710.49-5.429.03-10.442.630.64-
2020/100.78-19.42-12.698.16-10.952.540.66-
2020/90.9725.179.277.38-10.762.780.69-
2020/80.78-24.06-11.126.41-13.182.610.73-
2020/71.0227.442.095.63-13.452.660.72-
2020/60.8-2.96-20.754.6-16.292.510.8-
2020/50.83-5.1-17.923.8-15.282.50.81-
2020/40.879.833.22.97-14.522.370.85-
2020/30.7912.8-21.052.1-20.222.10.9-
2020/20.717.77-8.221.3-19.72.280.82-
2020/10.6-38.72-30.010.6-30.010.0N/A-
2019/120.986.5130.1811.061.090.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.112023/11.072022/11.042021/10.892020/10.6
2024/20.742023/21.02022/20.942021/20.522020/20.7
2024/31.212023/31.242022/30.982021/31.182020/30.79
2024/41.142023/41.132022/40.712021/41.152020/40.87
2024/51.142023/51.12022/51.092021/50.912020/50.83
2024/61.172023/61.152022/61.562021/61.032020/60.8
2024/71.02023/70.812022/71.452021/71.032020/71.02
2024/81.092023/81.262022/81.452021/81.262020/80.78
2024/90.922023/91.482022/91.652021/91.142020/90.97
2024/100.942023/101.132022/101.342021/101.052020/100.78
2024/111.092023/111.112022/111.092021/111.262020/110.87
N/AN/A2023/121.252022/121.042021/121.332020/121.05
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 3.58%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.211.1117.65
24Q2 (19)0.185.88-43.75
24Q1 (18)0.17-5.56-51.43
23Q4 (17)0.185.88-55.0
23Q3 (16)0.17-46.88-51.43
23Q2 (15)0.32-8.57-25.58
23Q1 (14)0.35-12.5-12.5
22Q4 (13)0.414.2973.91
22Q3 (12)0.35-18.652.17
22Q2 (11)0.437.572.0
22Q1 (10)0.473.9142.86
21Q4 (9)0.230.0-17.86
21Q3 (8)0.23-8.015.0
21Q2 (7)0.25-10.71-10.71
21Q1 (6)0.280.027.27
20Q4 (5)0.2840.033.33
20Q3 (4)0.2-28.570.0
20Q2 (3)0.2827.270.0
20Q1 (2)0.224.760.0
19Q4 (1)0.210.00.0

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