玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 理想的成長型公司, 本業EPS的成長幅度會大於營收的成長幅度
  • 營收到某個數字後, 本業EPS呈現不成比例的增加, 有可能是規模經濟的效應
  • 如果是有淡旺季的公司, 是否有淡季不淡, 旺季更旺的情況
  • 漲很多的股票要留意 EPS 較上季是否有大幅衰退的情況
  • 如果EPS衰退,要觀察同業是不是有一樣的狀況
  • 要留意增資減資和公司債對股本及EPS的影響
成長能力-近20季
加權平均股數 QoQ YoYEPS QoQ YoY本業EPS QoQ YoY累計EPS QoQ YoY營收 QoQ YoY毛利率(%) QoQ YoY營業利益率 QoQ YoY稅後淨利率 QoQ YoY營業利益 QoQ YoY稅後淨利 QoQ YoY稅前淨利率(%) QoQ YoY稅後淨利率(%) QoQ YoY兩季平均(YOY)營收成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)EPS成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)本業EPS成長率(%)
24Q3 (20)1170.860.860.27-34.15-63.010.23-58.18-68.490.9340.91-58.679.77-1.11-34.6120.52-1.87-4.293.85-52.82-58.023.23-32.43-43.330.38-53.09-72.260.32-31.91-62.354.36-32.61-52.453.23-32.43-43.3318.6414.9326.68
24Q2 (19)1160.00.00.4164.0-57.730.55111.54-44.440.66164.0-56.589.8838.38-23.1120.919.19-11.778.1616.41-39.824.7816.02-45.50.8162.0-53.450.4762.07-58.416.47-4.99-51.324.7816.02-45.5-6.36-7.6718.04
24Q1 (18)1160.00.00.25-79.34-54.550.26-75.47-56.670.25-92.77-54.557.14-51.1-11.5219.15-13.66-7.47.01-47.01-46.24.12-57.17-47.520.5-74.09-52.380.29-79.29-53.976.81-52.41-43.814.12-57.17-47.52-26.69-6.80-15.13
23Q4 (17)1160.00.01.2165.75-1.631.0645.21-10.173.4653.78-9.914.6-2.283.8422.183.45-6.113.2344.27-7.689.6268.77-5.411.9340.88-3.981.464.71-2.114.3156.05-2.529.6268.77-5.416.9920.519.47
23Q3 (16)1160.00.00.73-24.74-41.130.73-26.26-39.672.2548.03-13.7914.9416.260.0721.44-9.54-4.969.17-32.37-35.335.70-35.01-40.691.37-21.26-35.380.85-24.78-40.979.17-31.0-36.285.70-35.01-40.6937.7425.8119.37
23Q2 (15)1160.00.00.9776.3622.780.9965.045.591.52176.3610.9512.8559.234.7323.7014.611.3213.564.0723.388.7711.7217.721.7465.7128.891.1379.3724.1813.299.6511.598.7711.7217.728.3110.547.93
23Q1 (14)1160.00.00.55-55.28-6.780.60-49.151.690.55-85.68-6.788.07-42.6-20.4920.68-12.45-0.4313.03-9.0720.097.85-22.8117.341.05-47.76-4.550.63-55.94-7.3512.12-17.4412.437.85-22.8117.34-24.21-28.05-25.81
22Q4 (13)1160.00.01.23-0.8117.141.18-2.4814.563.8447.1322.6814.06-5.83-7.2623.624.727.7414.331.0624.0710.175.8327.122.01-5.1914.861.43-0.6918.1814.682.0226.4410.175.8327.127.9228.0737.73
22Q3 (12)1160.00.01.2456.9616.981.2177.9418.632.6190.5125.4814.9321.680.3422.565.9722.6114.1829.0320.279.6128.9915.922.1257.0421.141.4458.2417.0714.3920.8219.129.6128.9915.9221.2945.4346.59
22Q2 (11)1160.00.00.7933.936.210.6815.2521.431.37132.234.3112.2720.8911.5521.292.513.6110.991.2925.747.4511.3621.341.3522.7340.620.9133.8233.8211.9110.4834.127.4511.3621.34-6.08-4.96-13.73
22Q1 (10)1160.00.00.59-43.8134.090.59-42.7234.090.59-81.1534.0910.15-33.0513.1520.7712.33-2.8110.85-6.0626.66.69-16.3718.621.1-37.1442.860.68-43.833.3310.78-7.1528.036.69-16.3718.62-15.58-22.38-20.87
21Q4 (9)1160.00.01.05-0.9438.161.030.9827.163.1350.4840.9915.161.8811.0618.490.49-15.5311.55-2.049.98.00-3.523.651.750.022.381.21-1.6337.511.61-3.8916.228.00-3.523.6518.5840.9141.56
21Q3 (8)1160.00.01.0682.7620.451.0282.1427.52.08103.9242.4714.8835.274.8618.40-1.81-12.9211.7934.917.28.2935.0215.461.7582.2922.381.2380.8820.5912.0836.0413.968.2935.0215.4628.9557.2954.70
21Q2 (7)1160.00.00.5831.82-36.960.5627.27-35.631.02131.8275.8611.022.635.9718.74-12.31-9.218.741.98-43.96.148.87-40.160.9624.68-40.740.6833.33-36.458.885.46-44.676.148.87-40.16-5.83-5.14-9.21
21Q1 (6)1160.00.00.44-42.11229.410.44-45.68237.50.44-80.18229.418.97-34.2959.3321.37-2.3829.678.57-18.46195.335.64-12.83181.620.77-46.15250.980.51-42.05230.778.42-15.72190.155.64-12.83181.62-19.05-27.88-22.21
20Q4 (5)1160.00.00.76-13.64-19.150.811.25-8.992.2252.05-31.0613.65-3.814.8421.893.60.9710.514.47-10.636.47-9.89-23.071.430.0-6.540.88-13.73-20.09.99-5.75-18.256.47-9.89-23.07--0.00
20Q3 (4)1160.00.00.88-4.350.00.80-8.050.01.46151.720.014.1936.710.021.132.370.010.06-35.430.07.18-30.020.01.43-11.730.01.02-4.670.010.60-33.960.07.18-30.020.0--0.00
20Q2 (3)1160.00.00.92370.590.00.87371.870.00.58270.590.010.3884.370.020.6425.240.015.58273.30.010.26248.480.01.62417.650.01.07374.360.016.05271.840.010.26248.480.0--0.00
20Q1 (2)1160.00.0-0.34-136.170.0-0.32-135.960.0-0.34-110.560.05.63-56.760.016.48-23.990.0-8.99-176.450.0-6.91-182.160.0-0.51-133.330.0-0.39-135.450.0-9.34-176.430.0-6.91-182.160.0--0.00
19Q4 (1)1160.00.00.940.00.00.890.00.03.220.00.013.020.00.021.680.00.011.760.00.08.410.00.01.530.00.01.10.00.012.220.00.08.410.00.0--0.00
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/103.17-1.38-33.4530.04-26.049.74N/A-
2024/93.22-4.06-42.9526.79-25.269.790.28-
2024/83.354.09-29.9723.58-21.949.790.28-
2024/73.220.0-28.2620.24-20.399.750.28-
2024/63.22-2.5-24.2717.02-18.629.910.31-
2024/53.3-2.29-19.3213.8-17.039.970.31-
2024/43.382.82-24.1910.51-16.158.170.37-
2024/33.29119.73-14.057.14-11.57.150.41-
2024/21.5-36.62-52.043.86-8.928.840.33本月適逢中國大陸春節假期較長,工作天數相較去年同期為少,故本期銷售相比去年同期減少約52%。
2024/12.36-52.6114.072.36114.0712.20.24去年同期因大陸地區疫情蔓延,生產銷售天數僅7天,故本期銷售相比去年同期增加約114%。
2023/124.982.671.8250.46-1.8414.60.18-
2023/114.851.84.9245.47-2.2215.260.17-
2023/104.77-15.455.2540.62-2.9915.190.17-
2023/95.6417.753.9435.85-3.9914.920.21-
2023/84.796.64-6.530.21-5.3613.530.23-
2023/74.495.552.3725.42-5.1512.840.24-
2023/64.253.87-0.0420.92-6.6912.810.25-
2023/54.09-8.194.9916.64-8.3912.380.26-
2023/44.4616.578.1412.53-12.111.410.28-
2023/33.8322.652.228.07-20.468.050.4去年3月泉州爆發疫情,物流中斷,因此導致去年3月份的營收斷崖式下降。所以使得今年3月營收相比去年同期上升50%以上。
2023/23.12182.98.544.24-44.319.120.35-
2023/11.1-77.45-76.651.1-76.6510.620.3因疫情快速蔓延,1月份提前放假,生產銷售天數僅7天,所以銷售相比去年同期下降76%多。
2022/124.895.79-7.5351.42.7914.050.23-
2022/114.632.13-10.1746.53.9914.580.22-
2022/104.53-16.5-4.0941.875.8115.070.21-
2022/95.425.910.5737.347.1514.930.22-
2022/85.1216.77-1.1531.928.4413.760.24-
2022/74.393.052.826.810.5612.540.26-
2022/64.269.14.4322.4212.2612.280.3-
2022/53.9-5.436.5118.1614.310.540.34-
2022/44.1264.0826.7914.2616.659.510.38-
2022/32.51-12.57-5.6610.1513.1310.120.33-
2022/22.88-39.1620.117.6120.712.890.26-
2022/14.73-10.720.794.7320.7915.170.22-
2021/125.292.7710.650.014.0415.160.23-
2021/115.159.0411.6544.7214.415.270.23-
2021/104.72-12.439.7539.5714.715.30.23-
2021/95.394.16.9134.8515.3814.840.22-
2021/85.1821.442.3829.4416.9213.520.24-
2021/74.274.694.1624.2420.4812.00.27-
2021/64.0711.287.4319.9724.7310.990.36-
2021/53.6612.56-0.1615.8930.289.580.41-
2021/43.2522.0813.7212.2243.848.310.47-
2021/32.6611.319.858.9759.418.970.32去年受新冠肺炎疫情延遲復工影響,致基期較低,今年恢復正常出貨水準
2021/22.39-38.81463.816.3185.4611.090.26去年受新冠肺炎疫情延遲復工影響,致基期較低,今年恢復正常出貨水準
2021/13.91-18.2331.123.9131.1213.310.21-
2020/124.793.755.6543.85-19.1813.70.22-
2020/114.617.182.9439.09-21.3913.960.22-
2020/104.3-14.77.2234.5-23.7414.410.21-
2020/95.04-0.3112.3230.2-26.7614.20.18-
2020/85.0623.568.4525.18-31.4812.950.2-
2020/74.17.97-11.2620.12-37.2711.560.22-
2020/63.793.4-18.3916.01-41.710.320.23-
2020/53.6728.23-32.0412.19-46.548.750.27-
2020/42.8628.65-37.998.5-51.185.510.43新冠肺炎疫情影響中國境內外工業製造生產動能及需求,因需求遞延而較去年全年同期銷售減少,另人民幣匯率較同期疲弱。
2020/32.22423.61-55.465.63-56.045.630.43主係新冠肺炎疫情影響中國境內外工業製造生產動能,中國各地區經銷商於3月逐步復工,故對比去年同期銷售減少。
2020/20.42-85.77-86.433.4-56.477.940.31新冠肺炎疫情影響2月復工進度延後,另因
2020/12.98-34.11-36.172.98-36.1711.990.2-
2019/124.531.09-5.954.26-28.060.0N/A-
2019/114.4811.64-18.7249.72-29.610.0N/A-
成長能力-近10年
加權平均股數 YoYEPS YoY本業EPS YoY營收 YoY毛利率(%) YoY營業利益率 YoY稅後淨利率 YoY營業利益 YoY稅前淨利 YoY稅後淨利 YoY
2023 (10)1160.03.46-9.93.47-4.9350.46-1.8322.280.4112.26-4.227.96-8.196.19-5.936.15-9.164.02-9.87
2022 (9)1160.03.8423.083.6519.2851.42.822.1916.6112.8022.258.6719.596.5825.576.7727.984.4622.87
2021 (8)1160.03.1240.543.0640.3750.014.0319.03-7.8510.4715.447.2523.35.2431.995.2931.923.6340.7
2020 (7)1160.02.22-31.062.18-27.5743.85-19.1920.651.529.07-10.645.88-14.533.97-27.954.01-29.92.58-30.83
2019 (6)11616.03.22-58.133.01-57.1854.26-28.0720.34-13.8910.15-38.346.88-32.555.51-55.65.72-51.893.73-51.56
2018 (5)1000.07.69-16.687.03-10.5675.43-7.1523.620.4716.46-3.5210.20-10.2912.41-10.4611.89-14.467.7-16.67
2017 (4)1005.269.23-14.547.86-2.8481.24-1.7223.51-1.8817.06-2.2911.37-8.0113.86-4.0213.9-8.499.24-9.59
2016 (3)955.5610.804.058.092.2882.668.5323.96-3.7817.46-4.5412.360.7314.443.6615.198.2710.229.3
2015 (2)908.4310.3821.697.9120.5876.1612.8624.904.7518.296.9612.279.0713.9320.7114.0322.539.3523.19
2014 (1)8376.68.53145.826.56220.067.4820.3323.77017.10011.25011.5418.3611.4527.367.59362.8

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