玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.3813.677.323.2614.150.97N/A-
2024/90.3329.73-5.852.8815.120.941.51-
2024/80.26-26.13-14.962.5418.590.871.64-
2024/70.3533.4420.742.2924.120.991.44-
2024/60.26-30.34-4.781.9424.750.961.25-
2024/50.3815.6732.491.6731.111.031.17-
2024/40.32-0.7915.251.330.710.961.25-
2024/30.337.07.480.9736.830.971.0-
2024/20.31-10.3925.450.6558.751.040.94近年歐洲市場開發耕耘有成帶來效益,加上日本、美國客戶區間拉貨影響,致使本月營收增加。
2024/10.34-12.21108.270.34108.271.150.85歐洲市場開發耕耘有成帶來效益,加上中國客戶因應春節停工年前拉貨影響,歐洲、中國客戶出貨較去年同期成長,致使本月營收增加。
2023/120.39-6.4190.563.662.751.160.91歐洲市場開發耕耘有成,並進入出貨旺季,另受到美國、中國客戶出貨較去年 基期相較回穩,致使本月營收顯著增加
2023/110.4217.25105.823.27-2.581.120.94歐洲市場開發耕耘有成,並進入出貨旺季,另受到美國、中國客戶出貨較去年 基期相較回穩,致使本月營收顯著增加
2023/100.35-0.2875.232.85-9.511.011.05歐洲市場開發耕耘有成,並進入出貨旺季,另受到美國、中國客戶出貨較去年基期相較回穩,致使本月營收顯著增加
2023/90.3617.1737.712.5-15.320.951.41-
2023/80.34.8918.732.14-20.40.871.55-
2023/70.295.22-5.221.84-24.50.851.58-
2023/60.27-3.07-15.821.55-27.250.841.68-
2023/50.280.622.01.28-29.320.871.62-
2023/40.28-7.47-25.440.99-35.010.831.7-
2023/30.324.89-31.830.71-38.150.712.09-
2023/20.2448.75-26.930.41-42.160.612.44-
2023/10.16-19.68-55.840.16-55.840.572.62受市場景氣及一月份工作天數影響生產及相關運輸調配,致使出貨及訂單趨緩,營運收入較去年同期下滑
2022/120.21.08-50.673.56-22.120.612.8受市場景氣變化、全球通膨影響,致使出貨及訂單趨緩,營運收入較去年同期下滑
2022/110.2-0.17-50.393.36-19.280.662.57
2022/100.2-21.63-49.823.15-15.90.722.38-
2022/90.261.02-48.772.95-11.820.822.2-
2022/80.26-16.27-45.792.69-5.270.892.03-
2022/70.31-6.54-34.332.442.760.911.98-
2022/60.3317.45-11.782.1311.790.982.0-
2022/50.28-26.44-14.991.8117.471.11.78-
2022/40.38-15.49.371.5326.231.161.69-
2022/30.4533.8631.271.1532.951.151.62-
2022/20.33-10.121.960.734.031.121.66-
2022/10.37-10.2647.120.3747.121.191.56-
2021/120.411.6630.594.5729.171.221.32-
2021/110.410.9724.254.1629.031.311.23-
2021/100.4-20.012.863.7529.581.381.17-
2021/90.56.946.13.3531.931.440.94-
2021/80.471.4240.082.8429.71.311.04-
2021/70.4625.5552.682.3727.821.161.17主要受惠於歐美地區逐步解封,帶動整體新車銷售市場。
2021/60.3713.1833.231.9122.941.040.97-
2021/50.33-5.3640.561.5420.71.011.0-
2021/40.351.5337.821.2116.270.961.05-
2021/30.3424.373.570.879.440.871.02-
2021/20.278.4326.590.5313.610.841.04-
2021/10.25-20.342.240.252.240.90.98-
2020/120.32-3.27-6.073.542.041.00.81-
2020/110.33-8.277.943.222.911.030.79-
2020/100.363.5518.642.892.371.040.78-
2020/90.342.510.872.540.430.990.88-
2020/80.3410.549.462.19-1.020.920.95-
2020/70.39.560.581.86-2.710.811.07-
2020/60.2819.42-13.441.55-3.330.761.2-
2020/50.23-7.2-26.71.27-0.810.811.12-
2020/40.25-23.69-19.111.047.670.81.14-
2020/30.3352.036.00.7920.30.791.26-
2020/20.22-12.418.370.4611.190.81.25-
2020/10.25-26.8313.790.2513.790.891.13-
2019/120.3411.1646.723.47-7.360.0N/A-
2019/110.30.8135.213.13-10.90.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.342023/10.162022/10.372021/10.252020/10.25
2024/20.312023/20.242022/20.332021/20.272020/20.22
2024/30.332023/30.32022/30.452021/30.342020/30.33
2024/40.322023/40.282022/40.382021/40.352020/40.25
2024/50.382023/50.282022/50.282021/50.332020/50.23
2024/60.262023/60.272022/60.332021/60.372020/60.28
2024/70.352023/70.292022/70.312021/70.462020/70.3
2024/80.262023/80.32022/80.262021/80.472020/80.34
2024/90.332023/90.362022/90.262021/90.52020/90.34
2024/100.382023/100.352022/100.22021/100.42020/100.36
N/AN/A2023/110.422022/110.22021/110.412020/110.33
N/AN/A2023/120.392022/120.22021/120.412020/120.32
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 4.29%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.10.0-52.38
24Q2 (19)0.142.86-60.0
24Q1 (18)0.07-53.33-75.86
23Q4 (17)0.15-28.57-40.0
23Q3 (16)0.21-16.0-27.59
23Q2 (15)0.25-13.79-21.88
23Q1 (14)0.2916.0-12.12
22Q4 (13)0.25-13.79-28.57
22Q3 (12)0.29-9.38383.33
22Q2 (11)0.32-3.03433.33
22Q1 (10)0.33-5.71371.43
21Q4 (9)0.35483.33775.0
21Q3 (8)0.060.0500.0
21Q2 (7)0.06-14.29500.0
21Q1 (6)0.0775.0600.0
20Q4 (5)0.04300.0300.0
20Q3 (4)0.010.00.0
20Q2 (3)0.010.00.0
20Q1 (2)0.010.00.0
19Q4 (1)0.010.00.0

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