玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/112.8911.7650.7727.832.057.63N/A客戶訂單增加
2024/102.5819.8947.3624.9130.197.39N/A-
2024/92.16-18.760.8422.3328.477.190.87-
2024/82.6511.4934.6520.1732.37.230.87-
2024/72.388.180.0217.5131.976.920.91-
2024/62.2-6.0339.3315.1339.037.430.84-
2024/52.34-19.0352.4512.9338.857.710.81客戶訂單增加
2024/42.8916.8851.5410.5836.047.410.85客戶訂單增加
2024/32.4720.9712.687.731.087.690.8-
2024/22.04-35.6111.465.2242.097.660.81-
2024/13.1830.3772.533.1872.537.530.82客戶訂單增加
2023/122.4427.1518.4423.49-3.866.11.09-
2023/111.929.23-15.5421.05-5.935.811.15-
2023/101.75-17.955.5419.13-4.835.861.13-
2023/92.148.454.9317.38-5.766.491.09-
2023/81.97-17.174.1515.24-7.095.931.19-
2023/72.3850.6914.9313.27-8.565.491.28-
2023/61.582.81-37.1510.88-12.545.021.39-
2023/51.54-19.51-10.39.31-6.255.641.24-
2023/41.91-13.0825.147.78-5.395.941.18-
2023/32.219.66-9.975.87-12.165.871.13-
2023/21.83-0.3314.243.68-13.525.731.16-
2023/11.84-10.49-30.241.84-30.246.171.08-
2022/122.06-9.33-0.6224.43-10.725.991.18-
2022/112.2736.5215.4722.38-11.545.971.18-
2022/101.66-18.42-8.8220.11-13.825.591.26-
2022/92.047.6413.1518.44-14.256.01.3-
2022/81.89-8.59-37.4916.41-16.786.471.2-
2022/72.07-17.6-30.6614.52-12.996.291.24-
2022/62.5146.747.9112.45-9.15.751.41-
2022/51.7112.28-13.969.93-12.595.681.42-
2022/41.52-37.47-27.838.22-12.295.571.45-
2022/32.4451.861.686.68-7.996.681.07-
2022/21.61-39.15-20.224.25-12.686.311.13-
2022/12.6427.51-7.572.64-7.576.671.07-
2021/122.075.35-23.2127.3732.515.861.2-
2021/111.967.78-14.6725.340.75.591.26-
2021/101.821.24-8.1323.3348.696.651.06-
2021/91.8-40.53-10.5821.5156.857.810.77客戶訂單增加
2021/83.031.3852.6119.7268.438.340.72客戶訂單增加
2021/72.9928.2460.9116.6871.567.30.82客戶訂單增加
2021/62.3316.9857.1313.6974.156.430.83客戶訂單增加
2021/51.99-5.8269.3411.3678.226.50.82客戶訂單增加
2021/42.11-11.8942.519.3880.26.520.82客戶訂單增加
2021/32.419.1450.547.2795.47.270.6客戶訂單增加
2021/22.01-29.49140.384.87129.317.560.58客戶訂單增加
2021/12.865.93121.932.86121.937.850.55客戶訂單增加
2020/122.717.07110.0120.6530.236.980.59客戶訂單增加
2020/112.316.0587.8217.9823.386.30.65客戶訂單增加
2020/101.98-1.4562.4715.6917.555.980.69客戶訂單增加
2020/92.011.4948.4213.7113.045.850.64-
2020/81.986.8960.7411.718.655.320.7客戶訂單增加
2020/71.8625.2322.059.721.94.510.83-
2020/61.4826.072.157.86-1.964.140.86-
2020/51.18-20.74-14.966.38-2.914.250.84-
2020/41.48-6.9318.915.20.323.910.91-
2020/31.5990.2321.813.72-5.593.721.0-
2020/20.84-34.9-10.532.12-19.323.411.09-
2020/11.290.24-23.971.29-23.970.0N/A-
2019/121.284.73.6215.861.220.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/13.182023/11.842022/12.642021/12.862020/11.29
2024/22.042023/21.832022/21.612021/22.012020/20.84
2024/32.472023/32.22022/32.442021/32.42020/31.59
2024/42.892023/41.912022/41.522021/42.112020/41.48
2024/52.342023/51.542022/51.712021/51.992020/51.18
2024/62.22023/61.582022/62.512021/62.332020/61.48
2024/72.382023/72.382022/72.072021/72.992020/71.86
2024/82.652023/81.972022/81.892021/83.032020/81.98
2024/92.162023/92.142022/92.042021/91.82020/92.01
2024/102.582023/101.752022/101.662021/101.822020/101.98
2024/112.892023/111.922022/112.272021/111.962020/112.3
N/AN/A2023/122.442022/122.062021/122.072020/122.7
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 2.26%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.12-7.69-73.91
24Q2 (19)0.13-40.91-70.45
24Q1 (18)0.220.0-52.17
23Q4 (17)0.22-52.17-52.17
23Q3 (16)0.464.550.0
23Q2 (15)0.44-4.3518.92
23Q1 (14)0.460.024.32
22Q4 (13)0.460.027.78
22Q3 (12)0.4624.3227.78
22Q2 (11)0.370.02.78
22Q1 (10)0.372.782.78
21Q4 (9)0.360.00.0
21Q3 (8)0.360.05.88
21Q2 (7)0.360.09.09
21Q1 (6)0.360.024.14
20Q4 (5)0.365.8828.57
20Q3 (4)0.343.030.0
20Q2 (3)0.3313.790.0
20Q1 (2)0.293.570.0
19Q4 (1)0.280.00.0

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