玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 理想的成長型公司, 本業EPS的成長幅度會大於營收的成長幅度
  • 營收到某個數字後, 本業EPS呈現不成比例的增加, 有可能是規模經濟的效應
  • 如果是有淡旺季的公司, 是否有淡季不淡, 旺季更旺的情況
  • 漲很多的股票要留意 EPS 較上季是否有大幅衰退的情況
  • 如果EPS衰退,要觀察同業是不是有一樣的狀況
  • 要留意增資減資和公司債對股本及EPS的影響
成長能力-近20季
加權平均股數 QoQ YoYEPS QoQ YoY本業EPS QoQ YoY累計EPS QoQ YoY營收 QoQ YoY毛利率(%) QoQ YoY營業利益率 QoQ YoY稅後淨利率 QoQ YoY營業利益 QoQ YoY稅後淨利 QoQ YoY稅前淨利率(%) QoQ YoY稅後淨利率(%) QoQ YoY兩季平均(YOY)營收成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)EPS成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)本業EPS成長率(%)
24Q3 (20)390.00.01.54-17.2-19.791.621.8912.55.5538.49.472.234.692.7648.02-7.21-0.5835.40-4.122.7926.89-21.12-22.170.790.05.330.6-17.81-20.034.20-18.9-21.1826.89-21.12-22.17-1.75-15.140.02
24Q2 (19)390.08.331.86-13.084.491.59-1.8534.754.0187.3816.912.13-8.19-2.7451.755.277.6336.922.0211.134.09-5.5716.990.79-5.958.220.73-13.114.0642.17-6.741.5734.09-5.5716.992.4937.324.56
24Q1 (18)390.08.332.1487.7229.71.6210.968.722.14-65.5429.72.3213.1721.4749.16-2.7312.3136.198.84-4.1336.1067.3617.170.8423.5316.670.8490.9142.3745.2269.1117.4536.1067.3617.173.8223.546.18
23Q4 (17)390.08.331.14-40.6383.871.461.3967.826.2122.4921.052.05-5.5320.5950.544.6411.4733.25-3.4641.7321.57-37.5765.030.68-9.3370.00.44-41.33100.026.74-38.3760.621.57-37.5765.03-3.22-16.3811.71
23Q3 (16)398.338.331.927.871.051.4422.0344.05.0747.8112.422.17-0.9126.1648.300.462.1134.443.644.2434.5518.57-12.750.752.7431.580.7517.1910.2943.394.5-12.7834.5518.57-12.756.887.880.61
23Q2 (15)360.00.01.787.8814.11.18-20.817.273.43107.8831.922.1914.6625.8648.089.8511.2733.23-11.979.2429.14-5.42-9.640.731.3937.740.648.4714.2941.527.849.9329.14-5.42-9.6413.5087.0025.23
23Q1 (14)360.00.01.65166.1358.651.4971.26132.811.65-67.8458.651.9112.3557.8543.77-3.461.0637.7560.9131.6730.81135.730.230.7280.0105.710.59168.1859.4638.50131.23-0.1330.81135.730.235.5949.3829.13
22Q4 (13)360.00.00.62-67.3747.620.87-13.0210.715.1313.75242.01.7-1.1660.3845.34-4.1432.5723.46-29.072.7513.07-66.99-8.670.4-29.82185.710.22-67.6546.6716.65-66.53-4.8613.07-66.99-8.67-1.15-22.79-11.04
22Q3 (12)360.00.01.9021.79280.01.00-9.09177.784.5173.46317.591.72-1.1543.3347.309.4738.6733.048.61123.2439.6022.79166.670.577.55216.670.6821.43277.7849.7531.72179.8139.6022.79166.6721.3235.8931.39
22Q2 (11)360.00.01.5650.0271.431.1071.88115.692.60150.0348.281.7443.865.7143.21-0.238.7330.426.140.0632.254.91122.720.5351.43130.430.5651.35273.3337.77-2.02123.8932.254.91122.7228.9798.81100.22
22Q1 (10)360.00.01.04147.62550.00.64128.57392.311.04-30.67550.01.2114.1565.7543.3126.6444.9928.67111.12276.7430.74114.81301.830.35150.0483.330.37146.67516.6738.55120.29312.7430.74114.81301.831.2465.8153.17
21Q4 (9)360.00.00.42-16.0950.00.28-22.22115.381.5038.8963.041.06-11.6776.6734.200.2644.9813.58-8.24169.9814.31-3.64530.40.14-22.22366.670.15-16.671400.017.50-1.571229.0314.31-3.64530.41.311.53-25.81
21Q3 (8)360.00.00.5019.05285.190.36-29.41271.431.0886.2122.731.214.2953.8534.11-14.17279.8414.80-31.86216.0814.852.56221.030.18-21.74280.00.1820.0280.017.785.39221.1214.852.56221.0329.0790.78131.45
21Q2 (7)360.00.00.42162.55.00.51292.314.080.58262.5-49.571.0543.8412.939.7433.04-2.1421.72185.41-21.0514.4889.28-4.670.23283.33-11.540.15150.07.1416.8780.62-25.1914.4889.28-4.6732.76231.25146.16
21Q1 (6)360.00.00.16300.0-78.670.130.0-76.790.16-82.61-78.670.7321.67-38.6629.8726.62-22.727.6151.29-68.547.65237.0-66.120.06100.0-79.310.06500.0-77.789.34702.58-67.547.65237.0-66.12-0.70207.4180.95
20Q4 (5)360.09.090.04114.81-96.230.13161.9-88.980.924.55-86.350.6-23.08-66.2923.59162.69-46.135.03139.45-83.872.27118.5-88.480.03130.0-94.550.01110.0-97.14-1.5589.44-106.22.27118.5-88.48--0.00
20Q3 (4)360.00.0-0.27-167.50.0-0.21-142.860.00.88-23.480.00.78-16.130.08.98-77.890.0-12.75-146.350.0-12.27-180.780.0-0.1-138.460.0-0.1-171.430.0-14.68-165.10.0-12.27-180.780.0--0.00
20Q2 (3)360.00.00.40-46.670.00.49-12.50.01.1553.330.00.93-21.850.040.615.070.027.5113.720.015.19-32.730.00.26-10.340.00.14-48.150.022.55-21.620.015.19-32.730.0--0.00
20Q1 (2)369.090.00.75-29.250.00.56-52.540.00.75-88.870.01.19-33.150.038.65-11.740.024.19-22.420.022.5814.620.00.29-47.270.00.27-22.860.028.7715.030.022.5814.620.0--0.00
19Q4 (1)330.00.01.060.00.01.180.00.06.740.00.01.780.00.043.790.00.031.180.00.019.700.00.00.550.00.00.350.00.025.010.00.019.700.00.0--0.00
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.8111.424.117.498.112.31N/A-
2024/90.72-6.53-7.986.686.452.232.3-
2024/80.785.79-6.665.958.532.252.28-
2024/70.73-1.033.145.1811.242.232.3-
2024/60.74-2.325.494.458.32.132.2-
2024/50.7620.34-5.413.718.892.162.17-
2024/40.63-17.92-8.322.9513.32.142.19-
2024/30.773.228.12.3221.062.321.86-
2024/20.74-7.6926.961.5528.712.261.91-
2024/10.8112.8830.370.8130.372.211.96-
2023/120.713.6927.968.3330.752.052.01-
2023/110.695.7727.17.6131.022.131.94-
2023/100.65-17.48.156.9231.422.271.82-
2023/90.79-5.225.876.2734.422.171.82-
2023/80.8350.9239.565.4935.742.081.9-
2023/70.55-21.5610.024.6635.092.051.92-
2023/60.7-12.4316.754.139.342.191.72-
2023/50.816.6537.363.445.142.21.71-
2023/40.69-3.2224.622.647.711.981.9-
2023/30.7121.2339.631.9158.241.911.95航太景氣可望逐步復甦,客戶需求增加,營收隨之成長
2023/20.59-5.274.091.271.751.762.12航太景氣可望逐步復甦,客戶需求增加,營收隨之成長
2023/10.6210.7969.590.6269.591.722.18航太景氣可望逐步復甦,客戶需求增加,營收隨之成長
2022/120.563.079.476.3757.651.72.26航太景氣可望逐步復甦,客戶需求增加,營收隨之成長
2022/110.54-9.9956.75.8155.831.772.18航太景氣可望逐步復甦,客戶需求增加,營收隨之成長
2022/100.6-3.8850.185.2755.751.822.11航太景氣可望逐步復甦,客戶需求增加,營收隨之成長
2022/90.635.167.594.6756.491.722.1航太景氣可望逐步復甦,客戶需求增加,營收隨之成長
2022/80.618.9850.64.0454.911.72.13航太景氣可望逐步復甦,客戶需求增加,營收隨之成長
2022/70.5-16.7616.333.4555.681.692.14航太景氣可望逐步復甦,客戶需求增加,營收隨之成長
2022/60.63.0156.082.9565.171.742.02航太景氣可望逐步復甦,客戶需求增加,營收隨之成長
2022/50.585.8375.92.3467.671.642.13航太景氣可望逐步復甦,客戶需求增加,營收隨之成長
2022/40.558.4365.721.7665.111.42.51航太景氣可望逐步復甦,客戶需求增加,營收隨之成長
2022/30.5151.1459.591.2164.831.212.47航太景氣可望逐步復甦,客戶需求增加,營收隨之成長
2022/20.34-7.6564.280.768.861.012.96航太景氣可望逐步復甦,客戶需求增加,營收隨之成長
2022/10.3617.2573.320.3673.321.022.93航太景氣可望逐步復甦,客戶需求增加,營收隨之成長
2021/120.31-10.0671.424.0415.341.062.71航太景氣可望逐步復甦,客戶需求增加,營收隨之成長
2021/110.35-13.7371.823.7312.281.122.55航太景氣可望逐步復甦,客戶需求增加,營收隨之成長
2021/100.47.2684.483.388.451.172.45航太景氣可望逐步復甦,客戶需求增加,營收隨之成長
2021/90.37-5.5416.192.982.761.22.44-
2021/80.4-8.0973.92.611.081.212.41航太景氣可望逐步復甦,客戶需求增加,營收隨之成長
2021/70.4311.6785.462.21-5.941.152.55航太景氣可望逐步復甦,客戶需求增加,營收隨之成長
2021/60.3916.141.161.78-15.931.052.99-
2021/50.33-0.29-1.061.4-24.360.983.19-
2021/40.334.432.231.07-29.530.863.67-
2021/30.3255.58-14.710.73-38.230.734.4-
2021/20.2-2.57-50.420.42-49.030.65.42因受新冠肺炎疫情影響,致營收減少
2021/10.2115.96-47.590.21-47.590.595.45-
2020/120.18-9.85-67.213.5-57.030.65.29因受新冠肺炎疫情影響,致營收減少
2020/110.2-7.38-63.683.32-56.290.744.29因受新冠肺炎疫情影響,致營收減少
2020/100.22-32.44-67.63.12-55.710.774.14因受新冠肺炎疫情影響,致營收減少
2020/90.3241.35-54.272.9-54.450.784.23因受新冠肺炎疫情影響,致營收減少
2020/80.23-1.98-68.092.58-54.480.734.51因受新冠肺炎疫情影響,致營收減少
2020/70.23-14.99-67.252.35-52.520.843.93因受新冠肺炎疫情影響,致營收減少
2020/60.27-18.62-59.442.12-50.070.933.63因受新冠肺炎及B737max復飛延宕影響,致營收減少
2020/50.343.02-47.131.85-48.31.033.28-
2020/40.33-12.88-57.921.51-48.551.113.05主要係受B737Max停產事件影響,以及因新型冠狀病毒全球漫延,國外客戶為防堵疫情相繼關閉生產線所致。
2020/30.37-9.56-45.71.19-45.211.192.83-
2020/20.413.0-39.980.81-44.981.372.46-
2020/10.4-27.46-49.330.4-49.331.512.23-
2019/120.55-0.13-16.748.15-2.870.0N/A-
2019/110.55-17.39-27.647.6-1.680.0N/A-
成長能力-近10年
加權平均股數 YoYEPS YoY本業EPS YoY營收 YoY毛利率(%) YoY營業利益率 YoY稅後淨利率 YoY營業利益 YoY稅前淨利 YoY稅後淨利 YoY
2023 (10)398.336.2021.335.5452.28.3330.7747.756.3534.5919.5229.070.832.8856.523.1438.942.4231.52
2022 (9)360.05.11240.673.64184.386.3757.6744.9028.9128.9493.1928.83116.771.84206.672.26253.121.84240.74
2021 (8)360.01.5064.841.2831.964.0415.4334.8316.1814.9810.4713.3042.090.627.660.6448.840.5463.64
2020 (7)369.090.91-86.440.97-83.13.5-57.0629.98-37.2513.56-61.379.36-65.560.47-83.570.43-84.860.33-85.14
2019 (6)3310.06.71-15.385.742.688.15-2.8647.780.5535.10-0.3127.18-5.062.86-3.052.84-10.692.22-7.5
2018 (5)300.07.9358.925.5938.028.3948.7647.52-1.3935.21-2.5228.637.672.9544.613.1863.082.460.0
2017 (4)3025.04.99-3.484.0523.485.6411.6848.196.6936.129.9926.596.452.0422.891.9518.91.519.05
2016 (3)249.095.1703.2820.595.058.3745.172.5732.849.9424.983.011.6619.421.6412.331.2611.5
2015 (2)2200.0002.7204.66044.04029.87024.2501.3901.4601.130

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