. 愛玩股

   玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看、自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/102.4710.22.7524.7410.217.36N/A-
2024/92.24-15.7311.022.2711.117.592.27-
2024/82.66-1.3819.6920.0411.127.692.24-
2024/72.6914.8520.9117.389.927.692.24-
2024/62.34-11.55-3.0614.698.117.492.27-
2024/52.656.385.1612.3410.547.852.16-
2024/42.49-8.0619.529.6912.117.532.26-
2024/32.7116.742.777.29.757.22.33-
2024/22.327.271.534.4914.456.562.56-
2024/12.164.2232.532.1632.536.592.55-
2023/122.08-11.49-42.7826.87-21.656.822.43去年同期營收基期較高
2023/112.35-2.24-18.4724.79-19.156.762.45-
2023/102.419.0511.1722.45-19.226.642.5-
2023/92.02-9.12-27.9220.05-21.796.462.51-
2023/82.22-0.37-9.9118.03-21.036.872.37-
2023/72.23-7.92-23.6415.81-22.387.172.27-
2023/62.42-4.05-27.813.58-22.177.032.19-
2023/52.5220.9-7.6911.16-20.837.242.13-
2023/42.09-20.95-24.468.64-23.997.012.2-
2023/32.6415.33-22.66.56-23.836.562.31-
2023/22.2940.03-11.223.92-24.647.552.01-
2023/11.63-55.0-37.811.63-37.818.141.86-
2022/123.6326.1119.134.34.218.671.691.9217.34-
2022/112.8833.290.5630.672.697.841.860.3815.42-
2022/102.16-22.81-16.4527.792.927.421.971.2615.04-
2022/92.813.588.9225.634.978.181.792.0713.78-
2022/82.46-15.562.4222.834.58.731.671.2511.71-
2022/72.92-12.933.3220.374.769.01.621.2610.46-
2022/63.3522.6615.9317.455.018.841.591.639.19-
2022/52.73-1.05-3.7114.12.718.91.580.917.56-
2022/42.76-19.0-10.8811.374.388.741.611.116.65-
2022/33.4132.2918.08.6110.458.611.64-
2022/22.58-1.91.595.26.018.251.72-
2022/12.63-13.8110.722.6310.728.541.66-
2021/123.056.483.3632.9115.798.491.69-
2021/112.8610.720.0129.8617.238.021.79-
2021/102.580.6314.227.019.417.561.9-
2021/92.576.8-1.8524.4219.997.81.88-
2021/82.4-14.8213.4721.8523.228.121.8-
2021/72.82-2.315.7519.4424.548.551.71-
2021/62.891.8756.0416.6226.178.821.67去年同期機械本業營收基期較低，及本年度穩定成長中。
2021/52.84-8.4229.3513.7321.288.821.67-
2021/43.17.2543.6410.8919.348.521.73-
2021/32.8913.96.737.811.837.82.01-
2021/22.546.927.994.9115.067.861.99-
2021/12.37-19.543.852.373.858.181.91-
2020/122.953.0213.4328.42-3.038.071.97-
2020/112.8626.4318.125.47-4.637.742.06-
2020/102.26-13.52-4.2322.61-6.90.0N/A-
2020/92.620.037.7820.35-7.190.0N/A-
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股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/12.162023/11.632022/12.632021/12.372020/92.62
2024/22.322023/22.292022/22.582021/22.542020/102.26
2024/32.712023/32.642022/33.412021/32.892020/112.86
2024/42.492023/42.092022/42.762021/43.12020/122.95
2024/52.652023/52.522022/52.732021/52.84N/AN/A
2024/62.342023/62.422022/63.352021/62.89N/AN/A
2024/72.692023/72.232022/72.922021/72.82N/AN/A
2024/82.662023/82.222022/82.462021/82.4N/AN/A
2024/92.242023/92.022022/92.82021/92.57N/AN/A
2024/102.472023/102.42022/102.162021/102.58N/AN/A
N/AN/A2023/112.352022/112.882021/112.86N/AN/A
N/AN/A2023/122.082022/123.632021/123.05N/AN/A
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 2.25%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.18-25.0-14.29
24Q2 (19)0.244.354.35
24Q1 (18)0.23-17.8621.05
23Q4 (17)0.2833.33-9.68
23Q3 (16)0.21-8.70.0
23Q2 (15)0.2321.05-4.17
23Q1 (14)0.19-38.710.0
22Q4 (13)0.3147.6224.0
22Q3 (12)0.21-12.523.53
22Q2 (11)0.2426.3250.0
22Q1 (10)0.19-24.046.15
21Q4 (9)0.2547.0625.0
21Q3 (8)0.176.2530.77
21Q2 (7)0.1623.086.67
21Q1 (6)0.13-35.00
20Q4 (5)0.253.850
20Q3 (4)0.13-13.330.0
20Q2 (3)0.1500.0

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