玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1020.915.7711.38189.5211.8760.88N/A-
2024/919.76-2.28.11168.6111.9360.880.49-
2024/820.21-3.328.27148.8512.4560.330.49-
2024/720.918.7919.01128.6413.1460.260.49-
2024/619.22-4.579.08107.7312.0757.830.49-
2024/520.148.9813.8388.5112.7457.510.5-
2024/418.48-2.2118.9968.3812.4249.810.57-
2024/318.951.924.5949.910.1749.90.55-
2024/212.44-33.0-18.8231.013.8748.880.56-
2024/118.573.8655.9718.5755.9754.970.5去年當月營收受春節長假影響
2023/1217.88-3.533.5205.81-6.4655.170.48-
2023/1118.53-1.27-6.71187.94-7.3155.580.48-
2023/1018.772.660.66169.41-7.3855.720.48-
2023/918.28-2.06-8.19150.64-8.2954.510.48-
2023/818.676.26-6.34132.36-8.353.850.49-
2023/717.57-0.28-6.71113.69-8.6252.870.5-
2023/617.62-0.42-4.5896.12-8.9650.830.49-
2023/517.6913.91-7.0878.51-9.8951.280.48-
2023/415.53-14.04-16.5660.82-10.6748.920.51-
2023/318.0717.9-8.5745.29-8.4645.290.58-
2023/215.3228.7214.5427.23-8.3844.50.59-
2023/111.9-31.07-27.1511.9-27.1549.040.54-
2022/1217.27-13.062.1220.0422.3855.780.51-
2022/1119.866.5416.37202.7724.4858.420.48-
2022/1018.64-6.3725.82182.9125.4358.490.48-
2022/919.91-0.0845.41164.2625.3958.670.48-
2022/819.935.8552.49144.3523.0557.220.5去年8月越南區配合當地政府防疫政策暫時停工
2022/718.831.9922.96124.4219.3656.330.5-
2022/618.46-3.0314.76105.5918.7456.110.61-
2022/519.042.2932.7287.1319.6257.410.6-
2022/418.61-5.819.668.0916.4151.750.66-
2022/319.7647.7216.2949.4815.2549.480.65-
2022/213.38-18.1439.4929.7214.5746.630.69-
2022/116.34-3.37-0.0416.34-0.0450.320.64-
2021/1216.91-0.9311.62179.815.6148.80.6-
2021/1117.0715.1913.03162.8916.0445.580.65-
2021/1014.828.23.25145.8216.441.580.71-
2021/913.694.78-1.03131.018.1142.080.71-
2021/813.07-14.643.5117.320.8444.470.67-
2021/715.31-4.8112.22104.2323.4345.740.65-
2021/616.0912.1337.9388.9225.5945.990.58-
2021/514.35-7.8142.5272.8323.1546.90.57-
2021/415.56-8.4132.158.4919.1842.140.63-
2021/316.9977.1925.042.9315.142.930.58-
2021/29.59-41.34-20.3225.949.4341.090.61-
2021/116.357.940.1216.3540.1246.60.54-
2020/1215.150.314.53155.51-9.1244.60.49-
2020/1115.15.221.13140.36-10.3943.290.5-
2020/1014.353.71-9.29125.26-11.640.820.53-
2020/913.849.59-8.45110.91-11.8940.110.47-
2020/812.63-7.45-14.697.07-12.3637.930.5-
2020/713.6416.99-8.7284.44-12.0235.370.53-
2020/611.6615.86-15.570.8-12.6333.510.54-
2020/510.07-14.55-32.8259.14-12.0435.440.51-
2020/411.78-13.33-19.5349.07-6.0837.410.48-
2020/313.5912.94-5.3537.29-0.8437.290.59-
2020/212.033.1525.5923.71.9338.240.57-
2020/111.67-19.75-14.6511.67-14.6541.140.53-
2019/1214.54-2.639.09171.186.840.0N/A-
2019/1114.93-5.633.29156.646.630.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/118.572023/111.92022/116.342021/116.352020/111.67
2024/212.442023/215.322022/213.382021/29.592020/212.03
2024/318.92023/318.072022/319.762021/316.992020/313.59
2024/418.482023/415.532022/418.612021/415.562020/411.78
2024/520.142023/517.692022/519.042021/514.352020/510.07
2024/619.222023/617.622022/618.462021/616.092020/611.66
2024/720.912023/717.572022/718.832021/715.312020/713.64
2024/820.212023/818.672022/819.932021/813.072020/812.63
2024/919.762023/918.282022/919.912021/913.692020/913.84
2024/1020.912023/1018.772022/1018.642021/1014.822020/1014.35
N/AN/A2023/1118.532022/1119.862021/1117.072020/1115.1
N/AN/A2023/1217.882022/1217.272021/1216.912020/1215.15
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 3.48%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.4227.277.69
24Q2 (19)0.336.4526.92
24Q1 (18)0.316.910.71
23Q4 (17)0.29-25.64-14.71
23Q3 (16)0.3950.08.33
23Q2 (15)0.26-7.14-23.53
23Q1 (14)0.28-17.65-36.36
22Q4 (13)0.34-5.56-24.44
22Q3 (12)0.365.885.88
22Q2 (11)0.34-22.7336.0
22Q1 (10)0.44-2.2246.67
21Q4 (9)0.4532.3545.16
21Q3 (8)0.3436.061.9
21Q2 (7)0.25-16.6747.06
21Q1 (6)0.3-3.23114.29
20Q4 (5)0.3147.6263.16
20Q3 (4)0.2123.530.0
20Q2 (3)0.1721.430.0
20Q1 (2)0.14-26.320.0
19Q4 (1)0.190.00.0

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