玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1020.1522.8310.59215.6-2.2557.7N/A-
2024/916.4-22.45-18.79195.45-3.4161.750.54-
2024/821.15-12.584.94179.05-1.771.810.47-
2024/724.2-8.5613.98157.9-2.5376.370.44-
2024/626.462.933.71133.71-5.0276.110.41-
2024/525.727.464.21107.24-11.3573.810.42-
2024/423.93-0.98-6.8481.53-15.3464.180.48-
2024/324.1750.3-19.0457.6-18.4457.60.63-
2024/216.08-7.34-31.133.43-18.055.180.66-
2024/117.35-20.22-0.4617.35-0.4658.170.62-
2023/1221.7514.08-14.79261.39-6.3159.030.51-
2023/1119.074.66-37.13239.64-5.4557.480.52-
2023/1018.22-9.81-38.11220.57-1.1458.570.51-
2023/920.20.21-26.56202.364.4661.580.76-
2023/820.15-5.05-24.08182.169.661.170.77-
2023/721.237.26-7.71162.016.065.690.71-
2023/619.79-19.79-27.28140.7820.6870.150.6-
2023/524.67-3.9312.79120.9935.2880.210.52-
2023/425.69-13.9662.5396.3142.5778.880.53去年4月昆山廠因中國大陸防疫政策停工,因此營收基期低。
2023/329.8527.9260.2670.6236.4770.620.71今年3月營收年增率超過50%主因去年三月營收基期低。去年越南及昆山廠在人力及料況上均受到新冠肺炎的影響,導致出貨不順。
2023/223.3433.8547.1340.7723.0966.30.76-
2023/117.43-31.71.0117.431.0173.290.68-
2022/1225.53-15.8224.36279.021.9285.30.54-
2022/1130.333.0368.65253.4721.6887.270.53因訂單需求強勁,加上稼動率提升及料況好轉,使本月年增長幅度超過50%
2022/1029.447.0172.96223.1417.2483.490.55訂單需求強勁,加上越南廠稼動率大幅提升,因此本月年增長幅度超過50%
2022/927.513.654.53193.711.7777.060.78訂單需求強勁,加上越南廠稼動率大幅提升,因此本月年增長幅度超過50%
2022/826.5515.4132.45166.26.8776.770.78-
2022/723.0-15.4931.22139.653.0972.10.83-
2022/627.2224.4124.1116.65-1.0864.90.77-
2022/521.8838.43-2.8689.43-6.8456.310.89-
2022/415.8-15.16-25.067.55-8.0650.291.0-
2022/318.6317.44-9.0551.75-1.2551.751.12-
2022/215.86-8.16.433.123.7553.651.08-
2022/117.26-15.911.4317.261.4355.771.04-
2021/1220.5314.1421.97228.8314.8155.530.68-
2021/1117.985.6712.22208.314.1552.80.71-
2021/1017.02-4.386.06190.3214.3354.860.68-
2021/917.8-11.19-24.71173.315.2255.370.9-
2021/820.0414.34-9.04155.522.6659.50.84-
2021/717.53-20.07-19.75135.4629.3461.980.81-
2021/621.93-2.6213.8117.9342.2765.530.79-
2021/522.526.8824.2996.050.964.080.8新客戶、新產品帶動營收成長
2021/421.072.8810.1973.4861.556.460.91新客戶、新產品帶動營收成長
2021/320.4837.3966.3952.498.752.41.041.去年疫情基期低 2. 新客戶、新產品帶動營收成長
2021/214.91-12.38222.5931.92126.9848.751.121.去年疫情基期低 2. 新客戶、新產品帶動營收成長
2021/117.011.0980.1917.0180.1949.871.091.去年疫情基期低 2. 新客戶、新產品帶動營收成長
2020/1216.835.0228.78199.3110.3748.90.86-
2020/1116.02-0.1337.4182.488.9355.710.75-
2020/1016.05-32.1238.94166.456.861.720.68-
2020/923.647.2885.58150.414.2367.520.62由於5G及WiFi6產業之成長趨勢,國際局勢變動、產業鏈重組與及新客戶新產品等因素帶動正文營收之成長。
2020/822.040.8837.84126.77-3.6363.150.66-
2020/721.8413.3430.43104.73-9.3759.230.7-
2020/619.276.35-1.6882.89-16.1256.510.61-
2020/518.12-5.23-0.9463.62-19.6949.550.69-
2020/419.1255.3512.2745.49-25.3236.050.95-
2020/312.31166.37-28.5826.37-39.9226.371.45-
2020/24.62-51.06-55.6314.06-47.2427.131.41因武漢肺炎停工,且復工尚未完全恢復。
2020/19.44-27.74-41.869.44-41.8634.171.12-
2019/1213.0712.05-24.84180.574.170.0N/A-
2019/1111.660.98-38.79167.57.40.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/117.352023/117.432022/117.262021/117.012020/19.44
2024/216.082023/223.342022/215.862021/214.912020/24.62
2024/324.172023/329.852022/318.632021/320.482020/312.31
2024/423.932023/425.692022/415.82021/421.072020/419.12
2024/525.722023/524.672022/521.882021/522.522020/518.12
2024/626.462023/619.792022/627.222021/621.932020/619.27
2024/724.22023/721.232022/723.02021/717.532020/721.84
2024/821.152023/820.152022/826.552021/820.042020/822.04
2024/916.42023/920.22022/927.512021/917.82020/923.64
2024/1020.152023/1018.222022/1029.442021/1017.022020/1016.05
N/AN/A2023/1119.072022/1130.332021/1117.982020/1116.02
N/AN/A2023/1221.752022/1225.532021/1220.532020/1216.83
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 4.07%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)1.69-39.64-60.7
24Q2 (19)2.8-35.63-66.14
24Q1 (18)4.3511.8344.04
23Q4 (17)3.89-9.5319.33
23Q3 (16)4.3-48.025.73
23Q2 (15)8.27173.84174.75
23Q1 (14)3.02-7.36-34.06
22Q4 (13)3.26-4.686.19
22Q3 (12)3.4213.62106.02
22Q2 (11)3.01-34.28155.08
22Q1 (10)4.5849.19213.7
21Q4 (9)3.0784.9440.83
21Q3 (8)1.6640.68-19.81
21Q2 (7)1.18-19.18-52.42
21Q1 (6)1.46-33.03-49.48
20Q4 (5)2.185.31-10.66
20Q3 (4)2.07-16.530.0
20Q2 (3)2.48-14.190.0
20Q1 (2)2.8918.440.0
19Q4 (1)2.440.00.0

免責聲明

本網站所有資料僅供參考,如使用者依本資料交易發生交易損失需自行負責,本網站對資料內容錯誤﹑更新延誤不負任何責任。