玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 理想的成長型公司, 本業EPS的成長幅度會大於營收的成長幅度
  • 營收到某個數字後, 本業EPS呈現不成比例的增加, 有可能是規模經濟的效應
  • 如果是有淡旺季的公司, 是否有淡季不淡, 旺季更旺的情況
  • 漲很多的股票要留意 EPS 較上季是否有大幅衰退的情況
  • 如果EPS衰退,要觀察同業是不是有一樣的狀況
  • 要留意增資減資和公司債對股本及EPS的影響
成長能力-近20季
加權平均股數 QoQ YoYEPS QoQ YoY本業EPS QoQ YoY累計EPS QoQ YoY營收 QoQ YoY毛利率(%) QoQ YoY營業利益率 QoQ YoY稅後淨利率 QoQ YoY營業利益 QoQ YoY稅後淨利 QoQ YoY稅前淨利率(%) QoQ YoY稅後淨利率(%) QoQ YoY兩季平均(YOY)營收成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)EPS成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)本業EPS成長率(%)
24Q3 (20)620.00.02.123.922.422.5224.7543.185.0173.36122.6715.450.394.2525.081.6220.2912.1419.0214.18.861.96-5.841.8819.7518.991.323.942.3310.582.52-11.988.861.96-5.8415.2471.9663.38
24Q2 (19)620.00.02.04140.01175.02.02102.01453.852.89240.01505.5615.3930.0946.8524.689.1631.8410.2053.38529.638.6990.99429.881.5798.73823.531.27139.621170.010.3274.32463.938.6990.99429.8814.1842.0220.16
24Q1 (18)620.00.00.85-55.964150.01.00-61.69525.00.85-79.674150.011.83-1.7427.222.61-47.228.036.65-37.97150.04.55-53.6215266.670.79-38.76216.00.53-55.835200.05.92-18.01258.794.55-53.6215266.67-10.25-31.36-6.70
23Q4 (17)620.00.01.93-6.76271.152.6148.3153.44.1885.78-33.3312.04-18.762.9942.84105.4776.0810.720.7563.419.814.25176.341.29-18.3567.531.2-6.98275.07.22-39.9388.029.814.25176.3411.32593.50651.07
23Q3 (16)620.00.02.071193.755.081.761253.85122.782.251150.0-60.8714.8241.4112.120.8511.38-20.8710.64556.7918.889.41473.78-17.531.58829.4133.91.291190.04.8812.02556.83-17.339.41473.78-17.5327.05946.88617.55
23Q2 (15)620.0-1.590.16700.0-91.490.13-18.75-91.610.18800.0-95.2410.4812.69-45.3618.72-10.568.461.62-39.1-77.441.645566.67-75.00.17-32.0-87.680.1900.0-91.451.8310.91-77.91.645566.67-75.0-3.88301.93-51.61
23Q1 (14)620.0-1.590.02-96.15-98.950.16-84.47-91.30.02-99.68-98.959.3-20.44-41.0320.93-13.975.62.66-59.45-67.72-0.03-100.85-100.40.25-67.53-80.770.01-96.88-99.161.65-57.03-80.66-0.03-100.85-100.4-16.01-84.88-27.05
22Q4 (13)620.00.00.52-73.6-46.391.0330.38-4.636.279.04-16.5111.69-11.57-21.0124.33-7.6741.216.56-26.718.843.55-68.89-8.510.77-34.75-6.10.32-73.98-46.673.84-73.59-23.663.55-68.89-8.51-21.32-34.40-9.33
22Q3 (12)62-1.59-1.591.974.79-9.630.79-49.03-58.25.7552.12-12.2113.22-31.07-6.9726.3552.677.778.9524.65-19.811.4173.9319.61.18-14.49-25.791.235.13-9.5614.5475.616.3211.4173.9319.6-4.721.87-32.40
22Q2 (11)630.016.671.88-1.05-7.841.55-15.76-26.193.7898.95-25.019.1821.627.8717.26-12.92-11.127.18-12.86-25.526.56-11.592.821.386.15-19.31.17-1.685.418.28-2.93-3.276.56-11.592.8214.0947.4127.31
22Q1 (10)631.6118.871.9095.88-36.881.8470.37-26.41.90-74.7-36.8815.776.55-6.6919.8215.03-12.698.2449.28-36.767.4291.24-21.981.358.54-40.911.1998.33-24.688.5369.58-35.537.4291.24-21.985.3520.1913.76
21Q4 (9)62-1.5929.170.97-55.5-74.941.08-42.86-62.637.5114.66-21.5314.84.15-20.2217.23-29.53-22.675.52-50.54-58.213.88-59.33-60.160.82-48.43-66.530.6-55.88-67.395.03-59.76-62.633.88-59.33-60.16-7.96-24.32-26.43
21Q3 (8)6316.6734.042.186.86-24.311.89-10.0-28.686.5529.9613.7214.21-20.08-9.7224.4525.9-0.9711.1615.77-25.09.5449.5311.321.59-7.02-32.051.3622.520.7412.5046.03-3.859.5449.5311.32-7.43-12.68-13.00
21Q2 (7)541.8914.892.04-32.23-0.972.10-16.028.835.0467.4475.017.785.2152.6219.42-14.45-12.059.64-26.02-14.166.38-32.91-25.031.71-22.2730.531.11-29.7514.438.56-35.3-21.256.38-32.91-25.03-1.84-27.22-14.75
21Q1 (6)5310.4212.773.01-22.22262.652.50-13.49194.123.01-68.55262.6516.9-8.8992.722.701.89-9.9213.03-1.3651.869.51-2.36107.642.2-10.2193.331.58-14.13295.013.23-1.7187.139.51-2.36107.644.486.08-2.21
20Q4 (5)482.132.133.8734.3854.82.899.0642.369.5766.1574.9518.5517.8511.8122.28-9.763.9713.21-11.2231.579.7413.6534.532.454.747.591.8436.354.6213.463.5440.069.7413.6534.53--0.00
20Q3 (4)470.00.02.8839.810.02.6562.580.05.76100.00.015.7435.110.024.6911.820.014.8832.50.08.570.710.02.3478.630.01.3539.180.013.0019.60.08.570.710.0--0.00
20Q2 (3)470.00.02.06148.190.01.6391.760.02.88246.990.011.6532.840.022.08-12.380.011.2330.890.08.5185.810.01.3174.670.00.97142.50.010.8753.750.08.5185.810.0--0.00
20Q1 (2)470.00.00.83-66.80.00.85-58.130.00.83-84.830.08.77-47.140.025.2017.590.08.58-14.540.04.58-36.740.00.75-54.820.00.4-66.390.07.07-26.430.04.58-36.740.0--0.00
19Q4 (1)470.00.02.500.00.02.030.00.05.470.00.016.590.00.021.430.00.010.040.00.07.240.00.01.660.00.01.190.00.09.610.00.07.240.00.0--0.00
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/104.19-17.563.4746.8521.2914.12N/A-
2024/95.084.64-4.442.6723.3715.450.6-
2024/84.85-12.14-15.9437.5928.4215.050.62-
2024/75.5218.0749.2632.7439.3215.110.62-
2024/64.68-4.6226.9327.2137.4615.390.58-
2024/54.9-15.4643.8222.5439.8715.40.58-
2024/45.823.669.8717.6338.8113.50.66本期較去年同期增加,主係去化健身器材庫存及車用產品需求增加所致。
2024/34.6956.2419.111.8327.3811.830.7-
2024/23.0-27.2417.887.1333.4810.810.76-
2024/14.1312.2747.74.1347.712.10.68-
2023/123.68-14.3520.246.6-22.2312.020.68-
2023/114.296.153.9642.92-24.5113.650.6-
2023/104.05-23.83-8.9838.63-26.8415.130.54-
2023/95.31-7.9823.5234.58-28.3814.790.51-
2023/85.7756.042.8129.27-33.4513.160.57-
2023/73.70.41-26.9923.5-41.1710.80.7-
2023/63.698.06-48.9519.8-43.2310.510.78-
2023/53.41-0.15-51.9716.11-41.7410.770.76本期因市場需求疲軟以及客戶在 3C 和互聯健身庫存過剩,故與去年同期產生較大差異。
2023/43.42-13.34-27.9912.7-38.29.910.82-
2023/33.9454.64-39.459.29-41.269.290.95-
2023/22.55-8.83-37.95.34-42.548.41.04-
2023/12.8-8.63-46.22.8-46.29.990.88本期因遇過年期間,且大陸受疫情影響,客戶無法拉貨,致營收較去年同期減少
2022/123.06-25.92-42.9959.92-5.911.640.79-
2022/114.13-7.06-6.1756.86-2.4912.880.72-
2022/104.453.36-13.5852.8-2.0612.790.72-
2022/94.36.376.3448.29-0.9913.410.74-
2022/84.04-20.24-19.2543.99-1.6516.330.61-
2022/75.07-29.78-2.939.940.5619.390.51-
2022/67.221.6520.1334.881.0819.070.48-
2022/57.149.759.5627.66-2.9318.360.5本期因昆山解封,故營收較去年同期增加
2022/44.74-27.12-32.2720.55-14.515.360.59本期因新冠狀病毒疫情,大陸封城工廠停工,致4月營收較去年同期減少許多。
2022/36.5158.59-4.4615.81-7.1915.810.54-
2022/24.1-21.02-0.579.3-9.0114.670.58-
2022/15.2-3.18-14.745.2-14.7414.970.57-
2021/125.3721.91-20.263.6916.9714.910.59-
2021/114.4-14.39-27.5958.3222.2113.590.64-
2021/105.1427.2-2.253.9229.4814.190.62-
2021/94.04-19.22-30.3748.7734.0614.270.68-
2021/85.01-4.09-9.1844.7346.3116.240.6-
2021/75.22-13.134.2939.7258.5215.680.62去年因新冠狀病毒疫情、全球經濟停滞及工廠停工外;今年客戶拉貨力道強,持續趕工出貨,導致兩期差異較大。
2021/66.0135.0257.6734.572.0617.460.42去年因新冠狀病毒疫情、全球經濟停滞及工廠停工外;今年客戶拉貨力道強,持續趕工出貨,導致兩期差異較大。
2021/54.45-36.4536.7328.4975.4318.270.4去年因新冠狀病毒疫情、全球經濟停滞及工廠停工外;今年客戶拉貨力道強,春節期間仍有趕工加班出貨,導致兩期差異較大。
2021/47.02.860.524.0485.1317.950.41去年因新冠狀病毒疫情、全球經濟停滞及工廠停工外;今年客戶拉貨力道強,春節期間仍有趕工加班出貨,導致兩期差異較大。
2021/36.8165.0595.6717.0497.617.040.43去年因新冠狀病毒疫情、全球經濟停滞及工廠停工外;今年客戶拉貨力道強,春節期間仍有趕工加班出貨,導致兩期差異較大。
2021/24.13-32.27158.1610.2298.9116.950.43去年因新冠狀病毒疫情、全球經濟停滞及工廠停工外;今年客戶拉貨力道強,春節期間仍有趕工加班出貨,導致兩期差異較大。
2021/16.1-9.3972.156.172.1518.90.38較去年同期成長較多主因係去年1月適逢春節工作天數較少;另外今年1月運動器材客戶拉貨較多所致,導致兩期比較差異較大。
2020/126.7310.6223.0554.459.0318.070.3512月為自結數
2020/116.0815.629.5747.727.3117.150.3711月為自結數
2020/105.26-9.443.9741.646.9816.580.3810月為自結數
2020/95.815.3515.1736.387.4316.330.369月為自結數
2020/85.5110.1320.6830.576.0814.330.418月為自結數
2020/75.0131.3245.2125.063.3312.070.487月為自結數
2020/63.8117.098.220.05-3.611.430.466月為自結數
2020/53.26-25.410.1216.24-6.0111.10.475月為自結數
2020/44.3625.3330.6112.99-7.439.450.564月為自結數
2020/33.48117.75-22.18.62-19.328.620.813月為自結數
2020/21.6-54.83-22.595.14-17.3310.610.662月為自結數
2020/13.54-35.23-14.713.54-14.7114.560.481月為自結數
2019/125.47-1.49-5.0249.93-17.570.0N/A12月為自結數
2019/115.559.71-25.5844.47-18.890.0N/A11月為自結數
成長能力-近10年
加權平均股數 YoYEPS YoY本業EPS YoY營收 YoY毛利率(%) YoY營業利益率 YoY稅後淨利率 YoY營業利益 YoY稅前淨利 YoY稅後淨利 YoY
2023 (10)620.04.18-26.414.66-10.5646.64-22.0726.0622.237.04-8.935.89-18.983.29-28.943.0-43.42.6-33.5
2022 (9)620.05.68-12.355.21-31.2759.85-6.0321.322.017.73-22.087.27-0.824.63-26.745.3-15.613.91-16.09
2021 (8)6229.176.48-30.557.58-5.663.6916.4120.90-10.689.92-20.777.33-11.796.32-7.746.28-2.334.662.19
2020 (7)482.139.3374.398.0357.4554.718.4923.4014.4312.5260.318.3159.816.8573.866.4390.84.5676.06
2019 (6)4717.55.35-43.625.10-29.0750.43-16.5520.45-3.97.81-22.135.20-22.53.94-34.983.37-37.822.59-32.2
2018 (5)400.09.4925.867.1982.4960.4341.9921.283.7510.0325.376.71-9.26.0677.715.4237.563.8228.19
2017 (4)400.07.54340.943.94110.742.5633.1220.51-13.868.00-20.087.39136.13.416.563.9444.852.98338.24
2016 (3)405.261.71-66.991.87-51.0531.979.2223.81-3.6810.01-2.913.13-54.73.25.962.724.210.68-65.31
2015 (2)3815.155.18-17.653.82-12.9829.27-4.624.725.5510.31-7.786.91-4.293.02-11.952.61-10.621.96-11.31
2014 (1)330.06.2957.644.39103.2430.6845.0623.42011.1807.2203.4399.422.9272.782.2168.7

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