玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 理想的成長型公司, 本業EPS的成長幅度會大於營收的成長幅度
  • 營收到某個數字後, 本業EPS呈現不成比例的增加, 有可能是規模經濟的效應
  • 如果是有淡旺季的公司, 是否有淡季不淡, 旺季更旺的情況
  • 漲很多的股票要留意 EPS 較上季是否有大幅衰退的情況
  • 如果EPS衰退,要觀察同業是不是有一樣的狀況
  • 要留意增資減資和公司債對股本及EPS的影響
成長能力-近20季
加權平均股數 QoQ YoYEPS QoQ YoY本業EPS QoQ YoY累計EPS QoQ YoY營收 QoQ YoY毛利率(%) QoQ YoY營業利益率 QoQ YoY稅後淨利率 QoQ YoY營業利益 QoQ YoY稅後淨利 QoQ YoY稅前淨利率(%) QoQ YoY稅後淨利率(%) QoQ YoY兩季平均(YOY)營收成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)EPS成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)本業EPS成長率(%)
24Q3 (20)821.232.51.25-37.5-30.941.3818.97181.635.2031.6548.157.321.243.9831.42-2.2118.1616.26-13.6950.4213.91-38.23-32.871.19-12.556.581.02-37.42-30.1414.83-47.6-42.6713.91-38.23-32.879.78-17.47125.20
24Q2 (19)810.01.252.002.5626.581.16231.4365.713.95102.56132.357.2318.339.8832.1314.599.7718.8467.1738.9422.52-13.1816.741.3697.152.811.632.5228.3528.30-12.8417.3322.52-13.1816.743.1886.7076.19
24Q1 (18)811.251.251.95170.831672.730.35-79.04483.331.95-53.791672.736.11-11.9637.9228.04-5.1432.3311.27-35.34536.7225.94212.151153.140.69-42.98762.51.59174.141666.6732.47441.171148.8525.94212.151153.14-6.6955.3180.89
23Q4 (17)800.00.00.72-60.2201.67240.82192.984.2220.2317.556.94-1.4240.7729.5611.1776.917.4361.24307.248.31-59.8983000.01.2159.21476.190.58-60.2706.00-76.81216.288.31-59.8983000.02.79-22.83105.41
23Q3 (16)800.00.01.8114.5681.00.49-30.0263.333.51106.47-2.237.046.9971.7126.59-9.1651.6810.81-20.281100.9320.727.415.930.76-14.612000.01.4614.9682.525.877.265.3820.727.415.9327.76675.46518.34
23Q2 (15)800.00.01.581336.366.040.701066.67-30.691.701445.45-34.366.5848.53-5.629.2738.131.3913.56666.1-17.1119.29831.8813.010.891012.5-21.931.271311.116.7224.12827.6912.2419.29831.8813.0119.20668.18488.60
23Q1 (14)800.00.00.110-90.00.06-89.47-91.780.11-96.94-90.04.43-10.14-35.9821.1926.81-9.131.77-58.64-85.012.0720600.0-83.780.08-61.9-90.240.090-89.772.60150.39-83.672.0720600.0-83.785.05-50.00100.27
22Q4 (13)800.00.00.00-100.0-100.00.57290.0-35.233.590.0-1.914.9320.24-34.4416.71-4.68-27.354.28496.3-59.470.01-99.95-99.890.21625.0-73.420-100.0-100.0-5.16-121.02-150.240.01-99.95-99.89-10.47-66.4480.15
22Q3 (12)800.00.01.00-32.89-0.99-0.30-129.7-132.263.5938.6129.144.1-41.18-46.8917.53-39.28-29.09-1.08-106.6-108.5719.5614.5986.29-0.04-103.51-104.120.8-32.77-1.2324.5514.2486.1319.5614.5986.29-20.231.28-45.67
22Q2 (11)800.00.01.4935.4565.561.0138.363.062.59135.4546.336.970.72-6.4428.8723.813.4816.3638.5324.1317.0733.7877.441.1439.0216.331.1935.2365.2821.4934.9977.917.0733.7877.44-3.6330.9510.65
22Q1 (10)800.00.01.1026.4426.440.73-17.05-14.121.10-69.9526.446.92-7.98-0.1423.321.39-8.811.8111.84-7.5212.7637.827.60.823.8-7.870.8825.7127.5415.9255.0126.5512.7637.827.6-5.296.29-11.21
21Q4 (9)800.01.270.87-13.86-11.220.88-5.38-28.463.6631.6544.667.52-2.59-4.4523.00-6.96-13.3710.56-16.19-31.129.26-11.81-5.510.79-18.56-34.710.7-13.58-9.0910.27-22.14-16.169.26-11.81-5.510.52-0.82-5.24
21Q3 (8)800.01.271.0112.2242.250.93-5.120.782.7857.0678.217.723.62-2.7724.72-2.8319.5912.60-4.438.0110.509.1549.150.97-1.0234.720.8112.544.6413.199.1960.0710.509.1549.155.567.845.09
21Q2 (7)800.01.270.903.4560.710.9815.2944.121.77103.45108.247.457.513.0525.44-0.5123.9213.183.2156.99.62-3.843.580.9810.1178.180.724.3563.6412.08-3.9783.039.62-3.843.58-2.22-3.89-7.80
21Q1 (6)801.272.560.87-11.22200.00.85-30.89553.850.87-65.61200.06.93-11.9442.5925.57-3.6948.7512.77-16.7260.7310.002.04116.920.89-26.45423.530.69-10.39213.6412.582.69118.410.002.04116.92-6.4113.4114.43
20Q4 (5)790.02.60.9838.033366.671.2359.74179.552.5362.18107.387.87-0.8836.426.5528.4547.8315.3367.91152.979.8039.22748.651.2168.06245.710.7737.53950.012.2548.672600.09.8039.22748.65--0.00
20Q3 (4)790.00.00.7126.790.00.7713.240.01.5683.530.07.9420.490.020.670.680.09.138.690.07.045.070.00.7230.910.00.5627.270.08.2424.850.07.045.070.0--0.00
20Q2 (3)791.280.00.5693.10.00.68423.080.00.85193.10.06.5935.60.020.5319.430.08.40137.290.06.7045.340.00.55223.530.00.44100.00.06.6014.580.06.7045.340.0--0.00
20Q1 (2)781.30.00.291066.670.00.13-70.450.00.29-76.230.04.86-15.770.017.19-4.290.03.54-41.580.04.611345.950.00.17-51.430.00.221200.00.05.761275.510.04.611345.950.0--0.00
19Q4 (1)770.00.0-0.030.00.00.440.00.01.220.00.05.770.00.017.960.00.06.060.00.0-0.370.00.00.350.00.0-0.020.00.0-0.490.00.0-0.370.00.0--0.00
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/112.92.1624.8726.416.128.12N/A-
2024/102.8418.7919.8523.515.127.88N/A-
2024/92.39-10.040.020.6614.57.320.71-
2024/82.6516.23.1718.2816.717.480.69-
2024/72.28-10.379.8715.6219.377.170.73-
2024/62.558.9914.4113.3421.177.230.62-
2024/52.34-0.24-1.9310.7922.886.880.65-
2024/42.346.4618.828.4632.126.10.74-
2024/32.241.5716.776.1138.046.110.69-
2024/21.55-34.046.53.9153.826.30.67去年同期因清庫存及通膨導致營收大幅下滑
2024/12.36-1.23117.562.36117.567.060.6去年同期因清庫存及通膨導致營收大幅下滑
2023/122.392.8637.6425.129.587.070.65-
2023/112.32-1.9335.2622.737.287.070.65-
2023/102.37-0.8958.9520.414.817.320.63去年同期因清庫存及通膨導致營收大幅下滑
2023/92.39-7.1893.2118.050.347.040.57去年同期因清庫存及通膨導致營收大幅下滑
2023/82.5723.7678.0615.66-6.516.880.58去年同期因清庫存及通膨導致營收大幅下滑
2023/72.08-6.6619.5413.09-14.496.690.6-
2023/62.23-6.5716.3111.01-18.856.580.63-
2023/52.3820.8612.828.78-24.636.240.66-
2023/41.974.62-24.696.4-32.925.320.78-
2023/31.8829.13-31.164.43-36.034.430.89-
2023/21.4634.72-25.872.54-39.214.280.93-
2023/11.08-37.51-51.081.08-51.084.530.87營收下滑5成以上原因:(1)農曆過年在一月(去年在二月) (2)通貨膨脹因素使消費大減,大大影響營收
2022/121.731.08-40.7622.92-22.614.940.75-
2022/111.7215.23-31.5121.19-20.624.440.84-
2022/101.4920.47-28.8819.47-19.54.170.89-
2022/91.24-14.46-52.9517.99-18.614.421.14美國打通膨之急速升息使美元太過強勢,導致全球消費支出急速且大幅度縮減
2022/81.44-16.9-43.2116.75-13.985.10.99-
2022/71.74-9.19-31.7115.31-9.585.760.88-
2022/61.91-9.38-16.0613.57-5.676.650.79-
2022/52.11-19.32-17.0811.65-3.717.470.7-
2022/42.62-4.37-0.269.54-0.157.330.72-
2022/32.7439.0612.486.92-0.16.920.67-
2022/21.97-11.0924.634.18-6.927.110.65-
2022/12.21-24.32-24.032.21-24.037.650.6-
2021/122.9316.869.3829.628.697.520.62-
2021/112.519.66-4.0326.78.627.220.64-
2021/102.09-20.3-18.8824.1910.127.260.64-
2021/92.633.24-4.2722.113.987.720.62-
2021/82.54-0.07-4.819.4716.997.370.65-
2021/72.5511.620.9216.9321.167.370.65-
2021/62.28-10.49-4.6814.3825.617.450.59-
2021/52.55-2.958.4812.133.627.610.58-
2021/42.637.8534.219.5542.426.640.67-
2021/32.4354.0734.136.9345.796.930.65-
2021/21.58-45.835.324.553.07.170.63由於去年一月過年,且目前遠距辦公與教學因疫情關係仍然暢旺所致
2021/12.928.9564.662.9264.668.20.55由於去年一月過年,且目前遠距辦公與教學因疫情關係仍然暢旺所致
2020/122.682.5320.527.2516.027.870.49-
2020/112.611.1542.6624.5815.557.930.49-
2020/102.58-5.9550.3821.9713.08.00.48疫情造成NB暢旺,使Q4起營收不致於衰退
2020/92.742.6734.919.399.397.940.38-
2020/82.675.9337.2716.646.087.590.4-
2020/72.525.4129.9713.971.667.260.42-
2020/62.391.8716.1811.45-2.986.70.53-
2020/52.3520.0515.589.06-7.046.120.58-
2020/41.967.782.526.71-13.04.940.72-
2020/31.8155.44-6.944.75-18.14.750.76-
2020/21.17-34.06-9.162.94-23.755.160.7-
2020/11.77-20.26-31.061.77-31.060.0N/A-
2019/122.2221.38-6.4523.49-11.080.0N/A-
成長能力-近10年
加權平均股數 YoYEPS YoY本業EPS YoY營收 YoY毛利率(%) YoY營業利益率 YoY稅後淨利率 YoY營業利益 YoY稅前淨利 YoY稅後淨利 YoY
2023 (10)800.04.1616.532.9346.524.988.9927.1720.4911.7726.9713.598.372.9438.683.9417.613.418.47
2022 (9)800.03.57-1.652.00-45.2122.92-22.6222.55-8.569.27-24.4512.5427.312.12-41.63.35-5.92.87-1.71
2021 (8)801.273.6344.623.6529.4329.628.724.6613.5912.2725.989.8534.563.6336.473.5652.792.9246.73
2020 (7)791.282.51107.442.82129.2727.2516.0121.7121.769.7490.237.3284.382.66121.672.33106.191.99111.7
2019 (6)781.31.21-32.41.236.9623.49-10.7517.838.595.1224.573.97-24.381.211.111.13-25.660.94-31.88
2018 (5)770.01.79383.781.15-0.8626.32-1.7916.423.664.1118.795.25400.01.0816.131.52462.961.38375.86
2017 (4)770.00.37-83.261.16-43.6926.8-19.7815.84-8.123.46-41.651.05-79.370.93-53.030.27-86.430.29-82.94
2016 (3)770.02.210.912.0629.5633.41-16.9717.2431.15.9348.255.0918.651.9822.981.99-2.451.7-1.73
2015 (2)770.02.19-25.261.59-40.2340.247.7113.15-24.034.00-46.454.29-31.581.61-42.292.04-30.851.73-26.07
2014 (1)770.02.93-45.232.66-48.4537.36-0.9517.3107.4706.2702.79-46.142.95-44.342.34-46.33

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