玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/101.23-36.06-7.1613.9729.064.44N/A-
2024/91.9350.3520.9712.7433.994.580.61-
2024/81.28-7.1116.210.8136.293.970.7-
2024/71.384.8552.339.5339.484.390.64自有光電元件產品的AI數據中心客戶需求持續穩定,加上光電元件晶圓代工訂單需求持續穩健,致本月銷量較去年同期增加52.33%。
2024/61.31-22.41-30.428.1537.544.70.62-
2024/51.690.33135.896.8468.894.910.59自有光電元件產品的AI數據中心客戶需求持續穩定,加上部分急單提前在5月交貨,致本月銷量較去年同期增加124%。
2024/41.6910.99171.945.1554.674.230.69今年AI數據中心客戶需求持續穩健及部份五一長假前預先拉貨, 致本月銷量較去年同期增加157%。
2024/31.5249.153.313.4728.283.470.89-
2024/21.029.429.571.9557.833.330.93因去年KGD市場需求減緩,KGD產品銷售遠低於過往,今年市場回暖,致整體累積銷量較去年增加52.7%。
2024/10.93-32.31107.970.93107.973.620.852023/1 因適逢農曆年節及KGD市場需求減緩,KGD產品銷售遠低於過往,今年市場回暖,致整體銷量較去年同期增加102.84%。
2023/121.384.86-2.113.511.254.020.64-
2023/111.31-0.9140.5612.131.564.230.61-
2023/101.33-16.6910.5810.82-1.534.020.64-
2023/91.5944.422.659.51-2.933.60.87-
2023/81.121.7623.37.93-4.13.90.8-
2023/70.9-52.11-8.926.83-7.293.510.89-
2023/61.89163.0716.515.93-6.983.231.04-
2023/50.7215.66-27.164.05-15.242.811.2-
2023/40.62-57.83-22.663.33-12.072.881.17-
2023/31.4787.071.662.7-9.072.711.35-
2023/20.7975.59-11.971.24-19.512.641.38-
2023/10.45-68.13-30.340.45-30.342.791.31-
2022/121.4150.5713.2313.347.923.540.95-
2022/110.93-22.04-9.6911.947.463.680.92-
2022/101.2-22.6748.4210.999.083.640.93-
2022/91.5573.4714.179.795.613.441.13-
2022/80.89-10.06-13.838.274.593.511.11-
2022/70.99-38.7326.837.377.263.61.08-
2022/61.6264.4632.346.374.663.410.95-
2022/50.9922.82.74.78-1.733.241.0-
2022/40.8-44.56-9.443.78-2.943.151.03-
2022/31.4561.978.452.97-1.262.991.02-
2022/20.8938.951.531.54-8.342.781.09-
2022/10.64-48.2-19.130.64-19.132.921.04-
2021/121.2420.08-6.4412.36-16.593.090.91-
2021/111.0328.1115.9711.11-17.573.20.87-
2021/100.81-40.51-34.0110.08-20.043.20.87-
2021/91.3630.92-1.69.27-18.53.181.03-
2021/81.0432.38-4.277.91-20.863.051.07-
2021/70.78-36.07-30.126.87-22.882.971.1-
2021/61.2327.63-24.06.09-21.873.071.04-
2021/50.968.27-24.914.86-21.333.181.01-
2021/40.89-33.6-27.63.9-20.373.11.03-
2021/31.3451.63-7.63.01-17.973.011.15-
2021/20.8810.66-11.851.68-24.743.011.15-
2021/10.8-40.07-35.180.8-35.183.021.15-
2020/121.3348.86-31.9514.82-17.043.441.05-
2020/110.89-27.1-41.7113.48-15.23.51.04-
2020/101.22-11.3-3.5612.6-12.283.690.98-
2020/91.3827.36-24.1711.38-13.133.581.02-
2020/81.08-3.35-9.99.99-11.43.820.96-
2020/71.12-30.47-31.728.91-11.554.010.91-
2020/61.6126.08-8.077.79-7.574.120.89-
2020/51.284.4-24.586.18-7.583.950.93-
2020/41.23-15.261.04.9-1.873.671.0-
2020/31.4544.64-19.553.67-2.793.671.0-
2020/21.0-18.62-4.112.2312.394.180.88-
2020/11.23-37.0830.681.2330.684.710.78-
2019/121.9527.4925.5917.86-8.50.0N/A-
2019/111.5320.69.1615.9-11.50.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.932023/10.452022/10.642021/10.82020/11.23
2024/21.022023/20.792022/20.892021/20.882020/21.0
2024/31.522023/31.472022/31.452021/31.342020/31.45
2024/41.692023/40.622022/40.82021/40.892020/41.23
2024/51.692023/50.722022/50.992021/50.962020/51.28
2024/61.312023/61.892022/61.622021/61.232020/61.61
2024/71.382023/70.92022/70.992021/70.782020/71.12
2024/81.282023/81.12022/80.892021/81.042020/81.08
2024/91.932023/91.592022/91.552021/91.362020/91.38
2024/101.232023/101.332022/101.22021/100.812020/101.22
N/AN/A2023/111.312022/110.932021/111.032020/110.89
N/AN/A2023/121.382022/121.412021/121.242020/121.33
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.98%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.1183.3322.22
24Q2 (19)0.06-25.0-14.29
24Q1 (18)0.08-33.33-38.46
23Q4 (17)0.1233.33-7.69
23Q3 (16)0.0928.57-50.0
23Q2 (15)0.07-46.15-70.83
23Q1 (14)0.130.0-31.58
22Q4 (13)0.13-27.78-40.91
22Q3 (12)0.18-25.0-30.77
22Q2 (11)0.2426.32-42.86
22Q1 (10)0.19-13.6458.33
21Q4 (9)0.22-15.3846.67
21Q3 (8)0.26-38.152.94
21Q2 (7)0.42250.0425.0
21Q1 (6)0.12-20.033.33
20Q4 (5)0.15-11.7625.0
20Q3 (4)0.17112.50.0
20Q2 (3)0.08-11.110.0
20Q1 (2)0.09-25.00.0
19Q4 (1)0.120.00.0

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