玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/101.13-16.08-2.0711.6515.63.85N/A-
2024/91.34-2.7414.8610.5217.883.960.45-
2024/81.3811.6531.029.1818.343.950.45-
2024/71.24-7.5643.247.816.353.680.49-
2024/61.3420.6230.376.5612.373.620.49-
2024/51.11-5.523.725.238.543.390.52-
2024/41.176.1355.564.129.922.980.59因客戶需求增加所致。
2024/31.1158.56-9.052.95-1.582.950.6-
2024/20.7-38.98-19.01.843.532.910.61-
2024/11.147.0624.71.1424.73.260.54-
2023/121.071.46-9.2512.19-10.823.270.45-
2023/111.05-8.53-0.8411.13-10.963.370.44-
2023/101.15-1.579.710.08-11.93.370.44-
2023/91.1710.9311.168.93-14.083.080.53-
2023/81.0522.0632.397.76-16.922.940.55-
2023/70.86-15.86-8.766.7-21.522.960.55-
2023/61.03-4.03-22.645.84-23.112.850.55-
2023/51.0741.699.794.82-23.23.040.52-
2023/40.75-37.95-50.953.75-29.272.830.55因客戶需求減少所致。
2023/31.2241.21-22.82.99-20.42.990.57-
2023/20.86-6.0511.221.78-18.662.950.58-
2023/10.92-22.09-35.060.92-35.063.150.54-
2022/121.1810.86-22.4413.6713.233.290.56-
2022/111.061.2-8.3912.518.353.160.58-
2022/101.05-0.2611.2311.4421.652.890.63-
2022/91.0532.11-1.3810.3922.812.790.65-
2022/80.8-15.88-26.549.3426.33.070.59-
2022/70.95-28.66-16.778.5435.373.240.56-
2022/61.3336.2132.97.646.823.840.52-
2022/50.97-36.7-5.026.2750.154.090.49因客戶需求增加所致。
2022/41.54-2.3379.115.368.093.890.51因客戶需求增加所致。
2022/31.57103.4667.443.7663.973.760.65因客戶需求增加所致。
2022/20.77-45.1517.532.1961.553.70.66本年增減百分比達 61.56%,因客戶需求增加所致。
2022/11.41-6.95103.331.41103.334.090.6因客戶需求增加所致。
2021/121.5230.9562.3412.0825.373.620.73因客戶需求增加所致。
2021/111.1622.8766.2510.5621.43.170.83因客戶需求增加所致。
2021/100.94-11.5740.849.417.53.090.85-
2021/91.07-1.5936.88.4615.373.290.82-
2021/81.08-4.6870.57.3912.823.220.84因客戶需求增加所致。
2021/71.1413.9184.676.316.633.160.85因客戶需求增加所致。
2021/61.0-2.6515.095.17-2.422.880.81-
2021/51.0219.3624.254.18-5.852.820.83-
2021/40.86-8.69-2.193.15-12.722.460.95-
2021/30.9442.811.392.29-16.12.290.95-
2021/20.66-5.11-31.361.35-25.092.290.95-
2021/10.69-25.7-18.00.69-18.02.320.93-
2020/120.9334.09-23.169.63-26.92.30.9-
2020/110.74.09-31.578.7-27.282.140.96-
2020/100.67-14.11-52.388.0-26.882.080.99受疫情之影響, 造成10月部分銷售訂單延遲出貨。
2020/90.7822.64-28.237.33-23.122.031.19-
2020/80.643.23-47.276.55-22.462.121.14-
2020/70.62-29.0-46.525.92-18.342.311.05-
2020/60.875.08-28.655.3-13.022.571.09-
2020/50.82-6.03-6.874.44-9.132.631.06-
2020/40.88-5.353.923.61-9.632.761.01-
2020/30.93-3.32-18.412.73-13.262.731.06-
2020/20.9613.3516.481.81-10.363.020.96-
2020/10.85-30.38-28.930.85-28.933.080.94-
2019/121.2219.41-6.8513.1827.650.0N/A-
2019/111.02-27.55-8.8111.9632.650.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.142023/10.922022/11.412021/10.692020/10.85
2024/20.72023/20.862022/20.772021/20.662020/20.96
2024/31.112023/31.222022/31.572021/30.942020/30.93
2024/41.172023/40.752022/41.542021/40.862020/40.88
2024/51.112023/51.072022/50.972021/51.022020/50.82
2024/61.342023/61.032022/61.332021/61.02020/60.87
2024/71.242023/70.862022/70.952021/71.142020/70.62
2024/81.382023/81.052022/80.82021/81.082020/80.64
2024/91.342023/91.172022/91.052021/91.072020/90.78
2024/101.132023/101.152022/101.052021/100.942020/100.67
N/AN/A2023/111.052022/111.062021/111.162020/110.7
N/AN/A2023/121.072022/121.182021/121.522020/120.93
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 4.5%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.19-32.14-24.0
24Q2 (19)0.28-15.1516.67
24Q1 (18)0.330.013.79
23Q4 (17)0.3332.037.5
23Q3 (16)0.254.1713.64
23Q2 (15)0.24-17.24-7.69
23Q1 (14)0.2920.83-52.46
22Q4 (13)0.249.09-56.36
22Q3 (12)0.22-15.38-51.11
22Q2 (11)0.26-57.38-50.94
22Q1 (10)0.6110.9141.86
21Q4 (9)0.5522.22189.47
21Q3 (8)0.45-15.09275.0
21Q2 (7)0.5323.26140.91
21Q1 (6)0.43126.3265.38
20Q4 (5)0.1958.33137.5
20Q3 (4)0.12-45.450.0
20Q2 (3)0.22-15.380.0
20Q1 (2)0.26225.00.0
19Q4 (1)0.080.00.0

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